Voting is open
The existence of our airforce is a far greater problem then what 4 planes can do in combat as long as they are around the victorian airforce is forced to take at least some anti air missiles on each mission not knowing when we plan to send the remaining planes against them. And if we are realy lucky their pilots will claim they killed all and get believed after one or more days without our airforce allowing for a greater impact when we deploy them later.
 
Still no sign of the southern force? At this rate, we'll be able to just wipe out the entire eastern push and move our forces into better positions.
 
Still no sign of the southern force? At this rate, we'll be able to just wipe out the entire eastern push and move our forces into better positions.
The rest of the Victorian forces are in Toledo. They now lack sealift to land those amphibiously. If they want to send them against us they are going to have to go via land. Swampy land that lacks maintained roads that'll fuck their vehicles hard.
 
The rest of the Victorian forces are in Toledo. They now lack sealift to land those amphibiously. If they want to send them against us they are going to have to go via land. Swampy land that lacks maintained roads that'll fuck their vehicles hard.
Well then. All in favor of turning the southern and western approaches to Detroit into 1:1 scale replicas of Verdun, say aye.
 
"You fucking bastard!" howls Nixon as the plane responsible flies past the shredded corpse hanging from its chute. It's an utterly pointless act of spite, wasting ammo and time on an ejected pilot while there are still hostile birds in the sky. Nixon starts in on a turn, determined to make the fucker pay for it.

There will come a time, in the distant future, if we win this eventual fight against the Vics and establish a Prison Camp to house the assorted Vick prisoners, when we will have to have a War Crimes Tribunal as prescribed by International and Pre-Collapse American Rules of War. When that time comes, I imagine that many Vicks will be tried and found guilty of various minor infractions, but ultimately many will just be regular soldiers with some god-awful opinions.

Those guilty of acts like this will be tried, and if reasonable evidence is found, they will be hanged. It won't be public, it won't be a celebratory event or something like revenge, but they will be punished. In a yard in the Prison Camp, they will be hung by the neck till dead, then buried in a standard grave with all the rights and accompanying material that any person is entitled to. But they will hang.
 
Theres actually been some discussion about Victorian prisoners of war.

Namely if it's even moral to return them because there's a non zero chance they'll just be executed as traitors or tortured as "deprogramming".

Like if we return a mass of prisoners who have been treated fairly kindly that in and of itself would go a long way go undermining Victorian propaganda. Even leaving aside what possible ideological contamination they may have been subject to in the "Cultural Marxist Re-education Camps of the New Sodom"
 
Hmm. About how many planes do the Vicks have left? We traded one for one, ish, and they started with about fifty, but how many did we lose?

Part of me wants to sally out the air force again, kick them while they are down, but we really should keep our new heros alive for propaganda and cadre purposes. If we lose them, we can't rebuild.

The bad weather is interesting.

Given the Vick's ASMs are borked, their Air Force will be useless, like the USAAF during the opening stages of the Battle of the Bulge. All told, no reason to contest the air and lose our aces.

Naval-wise, fighting them in rough weather would give our trained sailors the advantage over their army grunts, but their "sailors" are probably so incompetent, and their salvaged ships so bad, that they'll sink themselves. Either that, or they will do that smart thing for once, and not go swimming.

We should pull back the combined arms for a spell.

Really, the big worry is what the Negaverse questers are up to. Prompt: they are saying "yes, everything according to plan". Why? What is the plan that they are so convinced that we are following the script for? Remember, the enemy is allowed to be smart. Even the Vicks. Especially the Vicks: you don't make such a Khemer-Rouge type philosophy work for long, even with outside support, by being doctrinaire idiots.

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Namely if it's even moral to return them because there's a non zero chance they'll just be executed as traitors or tortured as "deprogramming".
Hard labor, decent conditions, not directly connected to the war effort. Doing a prisoner exchange during hostilities is for countries that, well, aren't Victoria.
 
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Theres actually been some discussion about Victorian prisoners of war.

Namely if it's even moral to return them because there's a non zero chance they'll just be executed as traitors or tortured as "deprogramming".

Like if we return a mass of prisoners who have been treated fairly kindly that in and of itself would go a long way go undermining Victorian propaganda. Even leaving aside what possible ideological contamination they may have been subject to in the "Cultural Marxist Re-education Camps of the New Sodom"

I think we should offer them decent conditions and exposure to what we really represent, with maybe a little bit of light work so that they don't kill themselves out of boredom. Then when talks open and hot hostilities die down, we offer them ones with good behaviour the opportunity to stay, and explain to them our worries about what's waiting for them at home. If they stay, good. If they're too indoctrinated to do so, oh well, we did what we could.
 
Really, the big worry is what the Negaverse questers are up to. Prompt: they are saying "yes, everything according to plan". Why? What is the plan that they are so convinced that we are following the script for? Remember, the enemy is allowed to be smart. Even the Vicks. Especially the Vicks: you don't make such a Khemer-Rouge type philosophy work for long, even with outside support, by being doctrinaire idiots.
It depends on how long it takes the Victorians to realize the Leamington 'offensive' is completely hosed.

Remember, their amphibious force successfully took the beaches, and we retreated. Yes, that was the plan, but the Victorians don't necessarily know that, and if they did they'd probably sneer at us for planning on running away. The Victorian commanders are probably reasoning that hey, the loss of their navy and hardware is annoying, but their navy sucked anyway, and since the infantry is the backbone of the army, and that landed pretty intact, they're still mostly good. They can just lean on their air force a bit to cover up some of the artillery gap. Yes, they've had some setbacks, and things haven't gone exactly according to plan, but now they've got their forces about where they want them, and now all they have to do is roll our army up. Again, we're already retreating– a textbook example of the superiority of Fourth Generation warfare, no?

It's probably going to take a bit for the Victorians on shore to realize how dire their logistics are, and then a little more time after that for their commanders to realize that they can't even hold their position, much less advance. By then, there's a good chance that it's going to be too late for the Victorians to do anything but watch as we chew up their northern group and mop up the remnants.

And after hostilities end?
Hostilities end when Victoria does.

Less pithily, I see no reason to return Victorian soldiers. They'll probably just get executed, and on the off chance they don't, I don't see any reason to give the Victorians any extra manpower. Especially the kind of manpower that's intelligent enough to surrender when faced with overwhelming odds. The most I think we ould hope for is some kind of prisoner exchange, and that only if the people we've capured are really willing to go back, and we have good reason to believe they're not going to get immediately killed.
 
Let's pull back, keep our ships under the AAA envelope and let the Vicks impale themselves on our guns. Taking out their supplies was the key thing in that last round of combat, at this point we don't gain much from sending out our incredibly valuable and hard to replace warships to plink away at troops who are already fucked. Let the Vicks come at us and teach them why pros study logistics. Even with air support they can't win a ground assault if they don't have heavy equipment or reliable supply lines.

This is what the point of the plan was. We can trade space for time and now we're in a position where their amphibious landing is now running on fumes, something that wasn't in the plan but is a highly advantageous development. We also know they're going to try to come at us since we've been retreating in the face of their advance (something that, to them, proves they're winning on the moral front) and because they need Detroit at this point to properly resupply. Even before going into munitions there's simply no way there's enough food in the area to sustain five divisions for any appreciable length of time. They either need to spread out to forage, which dilutes the threat they pose and opens them up to defeat in detail, or come at us to take our ration tins and cartridge boxes with no heavy equipment and charging into the teeth of real artillery.

@PoptartProdigy can we get a write-in for the Navy of:

"Keep the ships close under Detroit's AAA envelope and in a good position to provide fire support for troops east of Detroit"?

That strikes me as the best use of the fleet's big guns and may just bait the Victorian Air Force into charging our much denser anti-air defenses around the city.
 
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hmm, how much does bad weather affect ground attack missions?
Lots, especially if you have unreliable radar and your missiles are usually only allegedly guided. I don't think the Viks will be doing much with their air force until the weather clears, if only because even most of the planes they already threw at us probably need a maintenance cycle. And because the Leamington landing force will need considerable time to dig out, sort themselves out, and figure out what to do with the limited resources they have left.

So I think we can expect an operational pause before anything really substantial happens. We don't have the assets to counterattack, but they don't have the assets to press that attack. The next move will either be a desperate balls-to-the-wall offensive by the Leamington forces, an attack from the south by the other (bigger) part of the Victorian army, or both.

Horrible as it is, we're more capable of rebuilding the army elements under threat here. We'll just have to hope that being out of supply actually matters in the combat engine for this quest, instead of the penalties from it being totally offset by various fanaticism-related bonuses. Otherwise, it doesn't matter what the hell we do, because reality would still be stacked in the Vics' favor.
Looking at the modifiers we've already seen in play, I'm expectingthat next time they attack up around the Leamington landings, the Viks will be fighting at anywhere from +2 relative advantage to -2 relative disadvantage. I think the less Vik-friendly interpretations of that are a bit more probable, but the more Vik-friendly ones aren't im-possible, unless we can find more sources of bonuses.

It is my hope that the oncoming inclement weather also neutralizes their airforce next turn as well.

Heck, bad weather favours us a great deal as the defenders.
Yeah. Attacking through mud isn't fun.

Bad weather can also be ruled to be a penalty to falling back, thus making it possibly a penalty to us as well.
Only if we don't hold them, which I would like to hope we can do this time...

Still no sign of the southern force? At this rate, we'll be able to just wipe out the entire eastern push and move our forces into better positions.
This has all taken place in only a day or two worth of combat. It's not unsurprising that the southern force hasn't gotten moving, ESPECIALLY if the true purpose of that attack was (as I speculated some time ago) to draw out our reserves and pin them in place on the wrong side of the Detroit River while the "real" offensive grinds us up from the South.

There will come a time, in the distant future, if we win this eventual fight against the Vics and establish a Prison Camp to house the assorted Vick prisoners, when we will have to have a War Crimes Tribunal as prescribed by International and Pre-Collapse American Rules of War. When that time comes, I imagine that many Vicks will be tried and found guilty of various minor infractions, but ultimately many will just be regular soldiers with some god-awful opinions.

Those guilty of acts like this will be tried, and if reasonable evidence is found, they will be hanged. It won't be public, it won't be a celebratory event or something like revenge, but they will be punished. In a yard in the Prison Camp, they will be hung by the neck till dead, then buried in a standard grave with all the rights and accompanying material that any person is entitled to. But they will hang.
You'll have my vote, but then I'm less anti-death-penalty than most people in the thread...

Hmm. About how many planes do the Vicks have left? We traded one for one, ish, and they started with about fifty, but how many did we lose?
We stated with about fifty. They started with at least a hundred and very possibly more in reserve.

The bad weather is interesting.

Given the Vick's ASMs are borked, their Air Force will be useless, like the USAAF during the opening stages of the Battle of the Bulge. All told, no reason to contest the air and lose our aces.

Naval-wise, fighting them in rough weather would give our trained sailors the advantage over their army grunts, but their "sailors" are probably so incompetent, and their salvaged ships so bad, that they'll sink themselves. Either that, or they will do that smart thing for once, and not go swimming.
The problem is, their ships are gone. The Victorian Navy isn't the trouble for us operating in bad weather. The problem is that our gunboats aren't seaworthy, and aren't numerous enough to put a curtain of AA fire up that can ward off massed air attack by what planes the Victorians still have ready to fly. We'll be operating at significant penalties during bad weather, which will reduce the effect of any shore bombardment. The bad weather may hurt the VAF as much as us, but again, that doesn't matter if our ships sink in a storm.

Really, the big worry is what the Negaverse questers are up to. Prompt: they are saying "yes, everything according to plan". Why? What is the plan that they are so convinced that we are following the script for? Remember, the enemy is allowed to be smart. Even the Vicks. Especially the Vicks: you don't make such a Khemer-Rouge type philosophy work for long, even with outside support, by being doctrinaire idiots.
Well, my theory is still that this attack is not meant to be decisive, but is meant to maneuver us into committing our reserves and being badly out of position to stop the second, harder attack from the south. If so, then to some extent they've succeeded (our air force was part of our reserves, in effect), and to a large extent they can still pull it off.

This is what the point of the plan was. We can trade space for time and now we're in a position where their amphibious landing is now running on fumes, something that wasn't in the plan but is a highly advantageous development. We also know they're going to try to come at us since we've been retreating in the face of their advance (something that, to them, proves they're winning on the moral front) and because they need Detroit at this point to properly resupply. Even before going into munitions there's simply no way there's enough food in the area to sustain five divisions for any appreciable length of time.
Hm yeah, even if they forage hard, the pre-Collapse population of Leamington was about 27000 (ironically, it was once voted the #1 place to live in Canada- trivia Wikipedia power!). Food shortages will be an issue for them soon, you're right about that.

On which note, they just captured (SOB) a pre-Collapse tomato cannery! (SOB) The Pizza Party will wear black armbands...

They either need to spread out to forage, which dilutes the threat they pose and opens them up to defeat in detail, or come at us to take our ration tins and cartridge boxes with no heavy equipment and charging into the teeth of real artillery.
Yeah pretty much, except...

@PoptartProdigy can we get a write-in for the Navy of:

"Keep the ships close under Detroit's AAA envelope and in a good position to provide fire support for troops east of Detroit"?

That strikes me as the best use of the fleet's big guns and may just bait the Victorian Air Force into charging our much denser anti-air defenses around the city.
I'm pretty sure, looking at maps, that the Victorian forces can threaten our second defense line without being in artillery range of positions on the Detroit River. I'll have to doublecheck in a bit, no time now.
 
Something for the thread's consideration: We still have 2 lines of defense on the east. Word of Breakfast Pastry is that the eastern defense consisted of two hardened lines, one of which was on the beach, plus a whole mess of minor barricades between them. Furthermore, though I forgot to ask at the time, I suspect the second line may in fact be the River Crossing. This, I think we can all agree will stonewall the enemy advance, especially considering that they have no heavy assets.

The eastern front is basically a non-issue at this point. The moment we get the option, I want eyes pointing south. And west, because hubris is a hell of a drug.
 
Hm yeah, even if they forage hard, the pre-Collapse population of Leamington was about 27000 (ironically, it was once voted the #1 place to live in Canada- trivia Wikipedia power!). Food shortages will be an issue for them soon, you're right about that.

On which note, they just captured (SOB) a pre-Collapse tomato cannery! (SOB) The Pizza Party will wear black armbands...

Plus active combat is pretty much what anyone would describe as highly suboptimal conditions for planting or maintaining arable land for later harvest.

They're going to need to send out long-range foraging parties or somehow capture large quantities of ration tins pretty soon if they don't want to be eating boot stew. I also bet the water off the lake is pretty much undrinkable thanks to all of the fuel oil and other incredibly toxic chemicals that would've been leaking out, spilled and otherwise scattered hither and yon by our Navy blowing their ships sky-high.
 
Plan voting? With only two binary choices? That's it?

[ ] Plan One
-[ ][AIR] The air force is shattered, its pilots badly burnt out. Stand them down and give them a break. In the unlikely event that you need to piss away four planes at a later date, you can always call them back up again. It's not like their odds of making a dent will meaningfully improve by staying geared up.
-[ ][NAVY] Keep them out. The Vicks are already far fewer, they've burned some ammo, and they'll be strained by the dogfight. You have AA on the boats. The weather is more risky, but you think being able to keep artillery tubes hitting the onshore Victorians is more important than preservation at this stage.

[ ] Plan Two
-[ ][AIR] The air force is shattered, its pilots badly burnt out. Stand them down and give them a break. In the unlikely event that you need to piss away four planes at a later date, you can always call them back up again. It's not like their odds of making a dent will meaningfully improve by staying geared up.
-[ ][NAVY] Enemy air supremacy and foul weather, in shallow-drafted boats with no deck armor? Yeah, no. Pull your gunships back, and await a better opportunity. Time plays to your advantage with both of these problems. The army can endure, but every ship you lose is precious.

[ ] Plan Three
-[ ][AIR] Actually, every little bit counts. They might only be a speed bump, but the Vicks' proverbial suspension is almost certainly wrecked by this point. Get them up and let them die for more time.
-[ ][NAVY] Keep them out. The Vicks are already far fewer, they've burned some ammo, and they'll be strained by the dogfight. You have AA on the boats. The weather is more risky, but you think being able to keep artillery tubes hitting the onshore Victorians is more important than preservation at this stage.

[ ] Plan Stupid
-[ ][AIR] Actually, every little bit counts. They might only be a speed bump, but the Vicks' proverbial suspension is almost certainly wrecked by this point. Get them up and let them die for more time.
-[ ][NAVY] Enemy air supremacy and foul weather, in shallow-drafted boats with no deck armor? Yeah, no. Pull your gunships back, and await a better opportunity. Time plays to your advantage with both of these problems. The army can endure, but every ship you lose is precious.

Turns out there are actually only three plans to choose from, since the fourth one is stupid. Feel free to come up with fancier plan names, but these are all of our possible choices.
 
Plan voting? With only two binary choices? That's it?

[ ] Plan One
-[ ][AIR] The air force is shattered, its pilots badly burnt out. Stand them down and give them a break. In the unlikely event that you need to piss away four planes at a later date, you can always call them back up again. It's not like their odds of making a dent will meaningfully improve by staying geared up.
-[ ][NAVY] Keep them out. The Vicks are already far fewer, they've burned some ammo, and they'll be strained by the dogfight. You have AA on the boats. The weather is more risky, but you think being able to keep artillery tubes hitting the onshore Victorians is more important than preservation at this stage.

[ ] Plan Two
-[ ][AIR] The air force is shattered, its pilots badly burnt out. Stand them down and give them a break. In the unlikely event that you need to piss away four planes at a later date, you can always call them back up again. It's not like their odds of making a dent will meaningfully improve by staying geared up.
-[ ][NAVY] Enemy air supremacy and foul weather, in shallow-drafted boats with no deck armor? Yeah, no. Pull your gunships back, and await a better opportunity. Time plays to your advantage with both of these problems. The army can endure, but every ship you lose is precious.

[ ] Plan Three
-[ ][AIR] Actually, every little bit counts. They might only be a speed bump, but the Vicks' proverbial suspension is almost certainly wrecked by this point. Get them up and let them die for more time.
-[ ][NAVY] Keep them out. The Vicks are already far fewer, they've burned some ammo, and they'll be strained by the dogfight. You have AA on the boats. The weather is more risky, but you think being able to keep artillery tubes hitting the onshore Victorians is more important than preservation at this stage.

[ ] Plan Stupid
-[ ][AIR] Actually, every little bit counts. They might only be a speed bump, but the Vicks' proverbial suspension is almost certainly wrecked by this point. Get them up and let them die for more time.
-[ ][NAVY] Enemy air supremacy and foul weather, in shallow-drafted boats with no deck armor? Yeah, no. Pull your gunships back, and await a better opportunity. Time plays to your advantage with both of these problems. The army can endure, but every ship you lose is precious.

Turns out there are actually only three plans to choose from, since the fourth one is stupid. Feel free to come up with fancier plan names, but these are all of our possible choices.
  1. Plan Naval Support
  2. Plan Force Preservation
  3. Plan Combined Arms
  4. Plan "I don't like planes anyway"
 
A further point in favor of the Force Preservation strategy in conjunction with the Vicks likely to be pinching food, water and ammo supply situation which based on their doctrines is likely to force them into going on the attack:

They're going to be charging entrenched troops backed up by artillery over open ground with no heavy artillery support.

That's a great way to get a lot of people killed at incredibly lopsided ratios. What's even better is their contempt for attritional warfare, fixed positions or any of the other stuff we've got as advantages in spades suggests they probably aren't well prepared or equipped for storming prepared entrenchments.
 
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Plus active combat is pretty much what anyone would describe as highly suboptimal conditions for planting or maintaining arable land for later harvest.

They're going to need to send out long-range foraging parties or somehow capture large quantities of ration tins pretty soon if they don't want to be eating boot stew. I also bet the water off the lake is pretty much undrinkable thanks to all of the fuel oil and other incredibly toxic chemicals that would've been leaking out, spilled and otherwise scattered hither and yon by our Navy blowing their ships sky-high.
I don't expect water supplies to be a critical problem; the area as a whole is fairly well watered and one side effect of the decline of American industrial economy as a whole is that agricultural runoff water is more likely to be drinkable, especially if you boil it.

Food is going to be an issue; they've landed in a farm region around or after the time of spring planting.

Google Maps

[NOTE: ALL DISTANCES ARE ESTIMATES]

Take a look at the map of the area, with an eye to Doctors Google and Wikipedia.

The theater of operations for the Leamington landing force is, roughly speaking, Essex County, Ontario, at the tip of the Ontario peninsula, and small parts of the adjoining Chatham-Kent Municipality, further up the peninsula (including Wheatley Harbor).

The area can be approximated as vaguely rectangular in shape, roughly 30 miles long (east-west) and roughly 15-20 miles wide (north-south). It is bounded on the north by Lake St. Clair, on the west by the Detroit River, and on the south by Lake Erie. To the east, a broad neck of land runs to the northeast, forming the southeast corner of Lake St. Clair and more of the shoreline of Lake Erie.

The terrain is relatively flat farmland with clay soils, having been bulldozed flat by the last Ice Age. In the present day, fields are intermixed with small woodlots. Post-Collapse, a substantial amount of the farmland has probably begun to revert to second-growth forest, however, the area remains fertile and it seems likely that this region would be a breadbasket for the surviving population of Detroit in peacetime and support a significant farming population in its own right, even if they are forced to farm for subsistence. The area was thickly forested before colonial settlers cleared it in the 1700s, but may or may not have had time to revert to extremely dense woodlands, especially with elevated demand for firewood and with this being some of the land best suited to feed the nearby city of Detroit-Windsor.

The only two urban (or urban-ish) areas of any note are the city of Windsor (pop. 217,000 as of 2016, ~40 square miles of heavily built-up land), occupying the northwest corner of the area, and the town of Leamington (pop. 27,500 as of 2016, ~10 square miles of heavily built-up land including several square miles of large industrial buildings and greenhouses). Leamington is near but not in the southeast corner of the area; to its east is a large region of swampy ground stretching a few miles inland and sweeping out into the lake in the form of Point Pelee. East of that along the shore of Lake Erie is Wheatley Harbor, a suitable location for offloading Victorian transports if only we hadn't sunk them. Wheatley Harbor can reasonably be viewed as the southeast corner of the area of operations; if we manage to push the Viks east of the line Wheatley-Tilbury-Lighthouse Cove, we're doing very well for ourselves.

Inconveniently, the only notable high ground in the area is a roughly 30-50 foot ridge in or near Leamington, that is to say, in Victorian hands. The good news is, the Victorians have little long range artillery, and a 50-foot ridge doesn't give them observation out to a horizon of more than about eight miles even in good visibility. In further consolation, taking this ridge may have been one of the things that so badly chewed up the first Victorian division to hit the beaches.

The weather includes frequent thunderstorms, most often in early spring (!) and late summer (hopefully this will be over by then). We may be getting about one thunderstorm a week; this will complicate air and naval operations, as we are now seeing. Thunderstorms are likely to be severe in many cases, and this area gets more tornadoes than any other part of Canada, so that's not out of the question either.

I will discuss some of the implications of this in a later post.
 
yeah, I think we do need to conserve our strength, at least till we get a better picture.
The Air force is done for this one, I feel we should preserve them as a core for our future AF and the navy? while I don't think we will have too many issues with the vic air, shallow draft ships in bad weather? yeah, no
 
Agreed. We can't risk our naval ships in weather like this. If they sink in the storm we could be looking at a case of win the battle lose the war. I don't believe we can replace any lost ships yet or at least replace them in a timely fashion. Lets keep our forces safe, we have the edge over the Vicks for now.
 
It's worth considering that operationally, considering the Vicks' obsession with maneuver and morale, that all we need to do for creating a situation where they contemplate retreat is break one of the two advancing prongs. Their plans, at least in the book, depended heavily on flanking maneuvers, surrounding the enemy and pushing them into a position where they're hit from too many sides to respond. If they lose the eastern force as an operational unit I doubt the Victorian commanders are going to throw good money after bad by sacrificing the CMC, their remaining mobile assets and whatever else is in their southern prong in a bid to roll up Detroit with troops who are ill-suited for prolonged urban warfare.

Especially since those CMC troopers are part of their security apparatus that keeps the domestic population in line.

They're also in a position where the eastern force either needs to heavily forage, which means opening them up to defeat in detail by spreading out across the entire peninsula, or come at us in a bid to help some kind of grand pincer move happen. If we manage to break the eastern amphib force's teeth on our defenses, which seems quite doable given their lack of heavy equipment and our preparations in conjunction with having real artillery, I don't think the southern force will keep at it on the offensive. It may not fully withdraw from the theater, instead opting to camp out in Toledo in a bid to keep us pinned in place, but I don't think they would press the attack if it looks like their grand envelopment has utterly failed.

And forcing the Victorians to withdraw from the field in that fashion would suit our strategic and political goals quite nicely. Any scenario where we pull off all of the above means we've defeated, possibly destroyed, a substantial body of Victorian troops while potentially forcing the feared CMC to withdraw from the field. That's going to send quite a message to our neighbors.
 
It's worth considering that operationally, considering the Vicks' obsession with maneuver and morale, that all we need to do for creating a situation where they contemplate retreat is break one of the two advancing prongs. Their plans, at least in the book, depended heavily on flanking maneuvers, surrounding the enemy and pushing them into a position where they're hit from too many sides to respond. If they lose the eastern force as an operational unit I doubt the Victorian commanders are going to throw good money after bad by sacrificing the CMC, their remaining mobile assets and whatever else is in their southern prong in a bid to roll up Detroit with troops who are ill-suited for prolonged urban warfare.

Especially since those CMC troopers are part of their security apparatus that keeps the domestic population in line.

They're also in a position where the eastern force either needs to heavily forage, which means opening them up to defeat in detail by spreading out across the entire peninsula, or come at us in a bid to help some kind of grand pincer move happen. If we manage to break the eastern amphib force's teeth on our defenses, which seems quite doable given their lack of heavy equipment and our preparations in conjunction with having real artillery, I don't think the southern force will keep at it on the offensive. It may not fully withdraw from the theater, instead opting to camp out in Toledo in a bid to keep us pinned in place, but I don't think they would press the attack if it looks like their grand envelopment has utterly failed.

And forcing the Victorians to withdraw from the field in that fashion would suit our strategic and political goals quite nicely. Any scenario where we pull off all of the above means we've defeated, possibly destroyed, a substantial body of Victorian troops while potentially forcing the feared CMC to withdraw from the field. That's going to send quite a message to our neighbors.
The problem is that we've cut off Victorian supplies to Toledo.

We've basically cut supplies to their entire field army they've deployed against us.

They either try to win or they die from having no supplies. If they want to withdraw from the field they have to march all the way from Toledo back to their land the hard way since we've basically eliminated their sea lift.
 
The problem is that we've cut off Victorian supplies to Toledo.

We've basically cut supplies to their entire field army they've deployed against us.

They either try to win or they die from having no supplies. If they want to withdraw from the field they have to march all the way from Toledo back to their land the hard way since we've basically eliminated their sea lift.

Have we?

We know that moving supplies by water is far more cost-effective for them and they did get in position by rapid sea-lift but what is there showing their only means of supplying the Toledo force is by water?

If that's the case then we're in a really dangerous position where they might actually win simply by refusing to quit and doing incredibly stupid, reckless things that will only work because they're stupid, reckless and show no regard for the loss of life and materiel. We know their landing force needs secure sea-lanes to carry the day but I don't think the ground force in Toledo is in such a risky situation especially when they have to advance slowly overland through swamps and on bad roads to hit us.
 
Have we?

We know that moving supplies by water is far more cost-effective for them and they did get in position by rapid sea-lift but what is there showing their only means of supplying the Toledo force is by water?

If that's the case then we're in a really dangerous position where they might actually win simply by refusing to quit and doing incredibly stupid, reckless things that will only work because they're stupid, reckless and show no regard for the loss of life and materiel. We know their landing force needs secure sea-lanes to carry the day but I don't think the ground force in Toledo is in such a risky situation especially when they have to advance slowly overland through swamps and on bad roads to hit us.
Yes. Look at where Toledo, Ohio is at with respect to Detroit. Its 60~ miles south of Detroit and the waterways can be interdicted by our navy. The only expedient way for Victoria to supply its forces in Toledo is by ships. Which we've essentially eliminated. They will have to scrape together more shipping to try to get supplies to there. Which also risks interception by our navy. Which the Victorians' air force will increasingly have problem interdicting as they need the sealift to move parts and ammunition for their air force at Toledo in the first place.

As long as we keep the waterways locked down the Victorians will soon have to choose between withdrawing their fighters from Toledo and try to strike from further away or risking them being stranded when their maintenance fails due to lack of parts.
 
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