- Location
- Canada
I think the idea is that Dragons don't hold territory very well, you still need the traditional army for thatBut for real how believable was the "Dorne guerrilla warfare'd the dragons" excuse? Like, from kinda similar IRL examples?
I mean I live in a tropical country so I know zilch about deserts but I highly doubt (x) they could have fit their entire population into cave/tunnel systems and even IRL with phones, internet and stuff evacuating cities is still a tall task. So my question is, does the "they hid in the caves/tunnels" reason imply that Dorne nobility straight up went into hiding, left the small folk as bait to be burned by the dragons, and just kept the army?
And Dorne just refused to commit to any open battle where dragons were around, ambushing supply lines and then fading into the deserts and mountain passes instead
Whether that would have actually been enough in the long run... I don't know
I don't think this is really a battle that can be won on guerilla warfare alone if it really came down to it
My inexpert understanding of these things is that guerilla warfare generally can't properly "win" wars, rather they stall the opponent until they give up by making it too frustrating and expensive to keep going
Which might be what happened
Aegon might have had to call it quits because the army's morale was too low, because plague broke out among the encampment (common in armies due to sanitation issues and cramped conditions), because the lords back home were starting to raise a fuss about all their men being away for too long and the fields going fallow and we need the harvests to come in before Winter or there's going to be a shortage and-
By denying Aegon an open battle where he could crush them quickly and cleanly, Dorne could have feasibly drawn things out long enough for enough problems to crop up that Aegon had to call the invasion off
Though on the other hand...
Sure, personally flying around to burn every single square inch of land to flush out all resistance isn't a very feasible thing to doWell, here's the problem. With dragons, you can trash large cities and castles on a large scale. It's not completely risk-free (as Queen Rhaenys found out rather fatally in the First Dornish War), but you can do it.
The thing is, in any medieval society, most of the population doesn't actually live in those cities. They live in the surrounding villages that grow food (in a desert this may only be happening around the oases and rivers but it still happens), which is then shipped into the cities to sustain them. Often the cities are actually not self-sustaining in population, with disease outbreaks regularly killing large fractions of the city. Then the place has to be replenished by migrants from rural areas where there are nearly always some families an able-bodied family member that they can't feed in a bad harvest year for lack of land, and they might as well tell the boy to go into the city to seek his fortune and hope for the best...
So even if you burn down every city in Dorne, you've probably only actually killed 5-10% of the population, especially since people will be fleeing those cities back into the countryside as word spreads of what you are doing.
If you want to go farther and burn every village in Dorne, you're going to be at it for years and years of nonstop hunting down and destroying villages. Because there are thousands of the little things, given that the overall population of Dorne is at least a couple of million. And some of them are very remote, and you're working your dragon pretty hard just flying all over the place looking for them, and you (and the dragon) have to sleep some time and that's a bad time to be ambushed by Dornish warriors, and so on and so on.
You don't really have to do that though
Dorne's armies need to be supplied somehow
And especially in a place like an arid desert, you just need to control the key areas that produce sufficient food and resources
If they've given up on actually meeting you in battle and stopping your forces because they know they can't, then just march in and take over
Hang around with your dragon for a few months while your army takes over the fortifications and builds some of their own for good measure, get really entrenched right in their breadbasket
Sure you and your dragon probably have better things to do than hang around forever, but once things are set up properly and word can be sent to you relatively quickly should Dorne's army start properly massing up in an attempt to reclaim key territory, you don't need to hang around
Farmlands take a lot of effort to create, and they're pretty obvious, especially from the sky
They're not going to be able to just create a whole new irrigation network and grow new food in the time they have before starvation
Force them to meet you in open battle, or else starve
All the nobles having gone into hiding also means that they're decentralized and cannot rule effectively
They've effectively abandoned the citizenry when they up and left
Start setting up your own government in their house if they aren't going to stop you
Start crowing from the rooftops that their old rulers have fled and effectively surrendered Dorne to you, it's basically true
It'll take some time, but if you start assuming the duties and expectations of a ruler (and keep them in line with the army and dragon) then in a couple decades you'll completely take over and really cut off the civilian support to the guerilla forces