"If belligerent speech could conjure food in the middle of a wasteland or open the fortresses of the barbaroi, then Ajax son of Lalage would be a formidable Strategos indeed. As the matter stands, to wage war upon the Dauni to complete their conquest would be a costly effort at best. We know all too well the difficulties of mounting a siege for even a few months and here would have to mount many sieges for many months while our fields go untended the whole while. And the Dauni have many fortified settlements away from the sea, with many cavalry and light-armed men with which to harass our supplies. They have declared their willingness to fire their fields so that we might not obtain any fodder or grain from their lands. I see no reason to doubt that they will resist fiercely, even if not to the degree their young Prince proclaims. And what would we gain?
Ajax claims we would have a secure border. And yet what we know of the Samnites says otherwise. Shall we then be compelled to conquer them as well for our security? And having conquered the Samnites, shall we be forced to press on against even more obscure peoples so that we can put our boots on the necks of all the barbaroi of Italia? How many talents would that cost? How many Eretrians would be required to keep our boots on those necks? More than exist today, I should imagine.
The Dauni have not waged war on Eretria in many years. And yet we have spoken in the Assembly, constantly, of the need to conquer them. If we cannot trust their word, and they have no reason to trust us, we may instead appeal to reason. If we forswear any ambition to conquer them, and they have admitted we can destroy them in war, then neither of us has any cause to seek to harm the other. Perhaps the Dauni might turn on us if we are distracted, but consider our current circumstances. Italia is unstable, and the Great War of the Athenians and Spartans may break out again at any moment. We have unrest among our vassals that the Dauni could exploit. If we go to war with the Dauni then how many other parties might exploit our distraction? And too, should the Samnites turn on the Dauni they would need to fear our efforts to undermine them in turn. We should then give this peace a chance so that we might, as we have with the Peuketti, learned mutual trust from mutual interest.
In any case we have far better opportunities to pursue than another war with the Dauni, which will profit the city in glory and coin to greater degree. Such is the view of Phokion Aristedeis of the matter at hand."
"I see you, who speaks so surely of peace, of the resistance of the Dauni.
Do you truly think the people will happily follow the Warlord who butchered their fellows at a Feast for Peace? A man known to not truly be popular? Do you truly think the new lords installed along our border have the loyalty of their underlings and less than a dozen men is the extent of the conspiracy? That these new landlords won't have the families of those
murdered rise against them? That the Dauni lords who do not look fondly upon the Tyrant will gladly burn their fields for him?
A Samnite neighbour may bring raids, which we have not seen despite our borders with them, a Samnite neighbour brings the possibility of invasion one day in a distant future, but that invasion is inevitable with the Dauni, who have coveted our Iapgyians lands and subjects for many years, who have conspired betrayal before and who's race has a great history of such.
The Dauni will attack. They have a history of doing so, and the only thing that stopped their assault during the Salentine war was the resistance of their lords, who are now slaughtered.
That is the reason they have not warred with us for many years, that and that alone, and that is not a problem any longer due to their treacherous butchery.
You say we have nothing to gain. We have a definitive enemy to remove permanently, the Messapi and Peuketii are being absorbed easily enough, outside of managing their greed for each other's lands, so the possibility of using wealth, and such tactics as we have done before are definitely not out of the question. Already others look enviously at the prosperity of our Peuketii subjects, and previously the Dauni lords were willing to turn to us in exchange for coin. And lastly, you forget the Salt. Those salterns which are valuable and so precious the Dauni Kings were ready to cause the outrage of two of their vassals rather than allow Eretrians to trade it, let alone access it more directly.
You say our enemies may take advantage? What foes could? Sicily is distracted, Taras is ruled by the peace faction, the Illyrians are humbled, the Etruscans are distracted, the Samnites look to the West for the nonce and Athens is distant and our other Greek foes are distracted by the tidings of another Great War.
The only foes we have to face now are Iapgyians, and I seek to face them and take them.
We have salt, coin, safety and power to gain via this war.
So much more than trade and 'peace' with yet another treacherous Iapgyian Warlord
So speaks Ajax"
OOC: I get what you are saying, I really do, and I agree, this war will not be easy, not as easy as Ajax is trying to present it anyway....
But I truly feel as though, aside from the very slight possibility of Athens, we don't really have many enemies now, and if we make the right choice the Messapi issue won't be an issue for too long. Further I will note the Path of Pain doesn't say we have to go to war now, it just keeps it as an option for foreign policy in the election. So if you're still feeling insecure about possible enemies at the end of the term, you can try and convince people to put it off.