It's nice to see some confirmation that the Throne was planning for the Hui's acidic web to slowly boil the unruly Emerald Seas to dissolution. Split the Bao and Meng from useless Emerald Seas into useful Peaks-provinces (we don't know how imperial Guo is) to further encircle the Bai. With the Luo, Bao and Meng gone it's entirely plausible to formalize the dissolution of any ducal in the remaining Emerald Seas land, creating a land explicitly garrisoned and maintained not by noble clans but Sects. The superior alternative to factional and prideful nobility.
This ability to formalize the garrisoning of land through Throne-Sponsored Sect as an alternative to Nobility allows the Guo to have a way to better tame their tigers. If, of course, they're willing to allow the Throne to assist.
The Zheng aren't an issue in their minds. They've been quiet ever since the sun blew up and their main sparring partner died.
Xuan aren't an issue in their minds. They have few enough lands surviving and could sail off like the Jin. The Ji are preffered. The Ji are big fans of the Sect system, and welcomed the throne in as a way to better secure their Duchy. Similar to what the throne would want with the Guo.
that leaves the Bai. At their weakest point in ages.
Jiao and An were looking for the big ol' slam dunk. Clean the Peaks, and then the whole of the Empire. To set up dominance lines which failed to be set even during the reign of the Sage Emperor. It was the perfect time for it. Emerald Seas set up to finally be going the way of the Weilu and the Bai able to be encircled by the Throne, Ji and Sun. The Peaks could have finally dominated over what the Sage Emp had foolishly wifed. Both the Bai and the Sunflower.
but they miscalculated in a few ways:
First- The Sunflower Demon was always going to win a game of Imperial style submission and dominance against any imperial sent to control it. The Demon is capable of tangling with big Momma Dragon from all the way in Red Garden. It ended the reign of the Sage Emperor and Red Garden was never conquered/dominated. I can't believe they were so arrogant as to think Sun Shao would succeed where the Bai and the Sage Emperor failed.
Second- They thought Emerald Seas was a dirty backwater without much power kicking around. Surprise! Turns out the province that the Peaks have never understood still has some surprises in it. And your reliance on the Hui's toxic webs in your own schemes got your schemes burnt when Shenhua lit a match to them. Who knew that the province most resistant to stable rule would be anathema to the machinations of those who would be stable rulers, An and Jiao.
Third- Underestimated the willingness of Xuan and Zheng to fight for it. Sure the Zheng have been dominated by the Peaks since the Sage Emperor, but before the Sage Emperor one of the Zheng's biggest sparring partners was the Peaks. The clan on the throne may change but the Zheng are old enough to remember such times, and the Xuan are very territorial. The Ji being the willing flunkies of the Throne means that the Xuan are willing to fight the Throne. Since, you know, it's their waters.
Fourth- Miscalculated the reliance of the Guo on the throne and their position in interprovincial schemes when compared to the Ji. While the Ji have been very happy to be bottom feeders, the Guo have been self-reliant and have earned their place through blood and grit. Unlike the disrespect the older clans have for the Ji, the Guo are considered worthy successors to their duchy rather than the leavings of a worthy clan. The Golden Fields are still more dangerous and cruel than the average province, and normal struggles for dominance and submission are second to the cooperative fight for survival. The Guo are willing to step aside and I suspect it would be hard to flip the Han against them for their inaction. Perhaps allowing the Han to join the fighting, maybe, but that defangs the active fight against the Grave and. Well. Some volunteers isn't the same as a whole province along with their Ducal.
Fifth- Didn't understand An's successor, and her own feelings as someone with Bai blood in her who lived through the purges of the Peaks.
Sixth- Assuming Jiao is from the Peak's perspective of dominance lines, he probably assumed he was dominant over Xin early on. He was wrong. The exact same kind of wrong the Sage Emp was when he failed to dominate the Bai and Red Garden. This gives Xin a strong point to use in an argument against Jiao, about how An's plans to piggyback on Sun's mistake in order to crush the Bai was itself a mistake.
Boy I sure am glad that the Hidden Moon stopped favoring the Hui and invested in all those assets to place at crucial junctures to best dampen the surge of a new Red Garden civilization rejuvenated by the folly of Sun and sharpened by Imperial skill, flesh and will. You know. Sort of exactly how Shao used his enemies as tools for his own purposes? Red Garden using these imperials as tools to attack that awful snake. Imperials which were once frenzied with hatred for Red Garden, reduced to it's arms and armor.
The irony is immense and hilarious.
As is the fact that the Bai reducing themselves to simply expecting obedience through engineered fear rather than being practical enough to explain themselves and communicate is exactly the same issue the Hui (and the Hui's Emerald Seas) had. And the problem the Peaks under the arm of the Sima clan had. It's almost like they're all part of the same Imperial Culture Group and if they were communicating rather than scheming against one another (and themselves) they wouldn't be in imminent existential danger lolololol
Shenhua continues to be the protagonist and I'm very glad we're tangentially in her story. V cool