Our commanders haven't been made into idiots, if the offensive is in an area where the mud is too severe then it'll be done during the summer portions of the turn. Otherwise your position is one that fundamentally rules out operations in Russia ever being a thing, which definitely isn't Etranger's intent.
Great point. Hmmm then for this turn is setting up an eventual strong offensive against Budapest:
[] Plan: Seasons of War
-[] Do not reallocate troops.
Not needed for these twin offense/1 defense plan IMO
-[] Initiate an offensive toward Minsk (Green).
Motivated mainly by the fact that - as Sabrina pointed out - our command councils has been and will likely to remain reliably capable and exploit Summer asthe only season where attacking into the region does not make our troops face rasputitsa
-[] Initiate an offensive toward Osijek (Purple).
This option has great value for my subsequent fall/winter plan due to this part; "
seizing it will serve to flank Budapest and put the Allied armies far behind the Franz Joseph Line, where defenses are much less built-up". Since we could take 3 actions without logistical penalties now, this attack can be pursued while also defending Austria-Bohemia (see below).
-[] Strengthen defensive positions in Austria.
Austria may use these "seasons of war" to try closing in on Vienna, so I think this is necessary to deny them that. They also paused from attacking last turn and are bolstered by League divisions & reopened supply lines, so could move to strike there this turn.
The above plan's success would feed into my approach for the fall/winter turn:
[] Plan: Bypass the FJ Line
-[] Do not reallocate troops.
The "prepare attack" option allows us to refrain from picking this during the Sep 1899-Feb 1900 turn IMO.
-[] Initiate an offensive toward Klaipeda (Gold).
Again, I concur with Sabrina's trust in our command councils and believe our commanders would opt for this strike to be done in Winter, when they could catch the remaining Russian Baltic naval forces in their last warm-water port there - Klaipeda/Memel
-[] Prepare for an offensive on the Austrian front.
A necessity for the next, critical move against the Habsburgs below;
-[] Initiate an offensive toward Budapest (Pink).
Should we do this in the subsequent seasons after taking Osijek, we would be in prime position to attack it from far less defended regions of the Franz Joseph Line. This would be another step in felling the Habsburgs, bonus if it actually does them in. Edit: I also trust our commanders to initiate this offensive in the Fall rather than Winter.