Though you guys are not seeing the nightmare chain of events.
Stymyr sees us war dec WW and decides to delay their peace seeing as they see things having a turn in their favor. We get caught not in a two front war, but in a three with our banner companies holding Greenshores, 300k troops holding the line with the Western Wall, and the bulk of our troops blitzing the Black Sheep as fast as they can before one of the other fronts gives.
It lies within the relm of theoretically possible to pull off, but anything going wrong would mean we take a serious injury like losing greenshore again or having our core occupied.
And of course when something DOES happen, our rival the Khem attacks.