It probably won't collapse overnight, but what are the odds Russia has some internal problems that check its worldly ambitions?
I would not be surprised if many of Russia's, let's say, traditional problems persist and have so far only been covered up by an extremely competent leader.
But Russia's biggest problem seems to be that they have never taken care to build a world order that may not be loved by their enemies but is at least accepted. I mean Alexander's decision to unleash riots in France to get his hands on his daughter's lover has not only caused a massive rethink in Germany and Germany to send 4 armoured divisions to Poland instead of one, forcing him to send 4 Guards armoured divisions in response, but it has also caused the EU to move rapidly towards federation.
At the same time, he has lost both pillars of his policy in America, one permanently, the other temporarily, which does not make the situation any better, at least in the long run.
In Asia, his two allies India and Japan, which he uses to keep China in check, are also in problematic situations.
Japan is overstretched and can barely control the territory they have, so they can't really help Russia by shouldering part of the burden and thereby freeing up Russian troops.
India seems to be in internal trouble and the party supporting Russia is in danger of losing power, which means that India cannot do much either.
Which in turn could mean that China can direct more troops against Russia, which will certainly ensure that the military in Russia will have sleepless nights.
And in this difficult world situation, Russia is led by a man who is, shall we say, less suited to the position he holds.
Who has none of his father's outstanding qualities and has made the politically unwise decision right from the start to rescue Victoria from her humble situation using official Russian troops.
Open support for arguably the most hated country on the planet is not exactly a good foreign policy decision.
What does this mean for us? Not much at first, except that we have to intensify our modernisation efforts to be able to stand up to Victoria in the future, because the timeline for a second round has moved forward.
There is nothing we can do against Russia itself, as Russia could probably crush us with an airborne brigade, such are the technological differences between us.
But the fact that problems closer to home will tie up much of Russia's attention means that we have more time to get into a position where we can force a stalemate against Russia.