I mean, Orks are probably a bigger threat to Caldereth than the Dark Eldar. We already encountered an Ork Scout ship there, and if you look at the map of Tiran, there's only 5 systems between Zantris and Dornath. But the exact nature of the threat isn't super important; ultimately, it's probably a good idea to check on them, especially as we should now have plans for an FTL communicator, if an extremely low bandwidth one.Setting aside that we already know what Denvan diplomats fucking around looks like from the Vellkar and that it's paternalism rather than cultural erasure...
You may also remember from that conversation that I was deeply concerned about leaving Caldereth underdefended, and wanted to either stick around to build up some defenses, or circle back in a few turns.
It has now been as many turns since we left Caldereth as we spent away from Denva. Unlike Denva, Caldereth doesn't have to roll two natural 5s in a row to get rolled over, nor does it have the capacity to survive a siege. What it DOES have is the title of "softest target that has Vitan technology". Good thing there's no opportunistic dark elf pirate queens nursing a grudge against Vita around to- oh wait.
Some of the circumstances of our delay were out of our control. This one isn't.
Don't let perfect be the enemy of the good.
Again, the question is if we want to spend an order action (and possibly a boon; not sure if our Cogitare can man the ships) to check on them, or if we just want to spend a boon and have Denva do that and risk them taking over everything entirely.
That said, regardless of what we do or don't do, Denva is going to start expanding sooner or later. A Boon currently gives 45,000 BP worth of manufacturing capacity, which means they probably have at least double that. That's a lot of ships, and it's only natural for them to start poking the neighbors. Hell, they may have done it already; for all we know, that's what those two mystery rolls were about. In which case I have significant concerns about that 19 that was rolled. I mean, for all we know, this next update we're going to hear that Denva and Ascalon had a shooting incident and are now at war. Which could be, uh, interesting, to say the least.
But this is all speculative; the point of mystery rolls is that we don't know what they're for. That 19 could be anything from Ork incursion to scout ships being yoinked by Trazyn to an encounter with an original flavor Xenos empire. We'll findout when Neablis finishes the update, not before.