Some calculations re Planetary Acquisition and Crucible/Forge of War, as preparations for the upcoming invasion.
We know
roughly what Turn 7 does, though the details are (of course) waiting for the update. I'll make ballpark guesses as necessary.
Guesses:
Suppose the Planetary Barge II costs 1.5x as much (Resources, Alloys, Suspicion, DC) as the Barge I but delivers 2x the results.
Suppose the Economic Studies action increased the profit of each acquired Planet from +30 Resources/turn to +50 Resources/turn.
Suppose Harkar gets two Actions per turn thanks to her new Cybernetics, and is otherwise functionally unaffected.
Let's assume we buy 200-odd Calculation Hearts ~700-800 Favor (worth it for an effective +5 Atraxas Stewardship Actions per turn).
If we built a Barge II on Turn 8 (costs 3 Atraxus Actions - ouch) and used the stack of Calculation Hearts on turns 9-10, we would be able to run Planetary Acquisition twice per turn for Turn 9 and Turn 10. A Barge I delivers +8 planets/Action on average, so a Barge II would be assumed to deliver +16; base averages to 3 planets/Action. With 2*2=4 Actions, and 3+16=19 planets/Action, we'd be looking at an average of 76 planets. We'd get half of those - 38 planets - to give us one turn of Resources, or +1900 Resources.
Resource cost: 7.5k to build the Barge II, 100*2=200 upkeep on said Barge II, 50*4=200 on Planetary Acquisition, and 1900 refunded from profit.
There's a chance Planetary Acquisition might have a Suspicion cost?
TL;DR: Cost is 30-5=25 Suspicion, 6k Resources, 750 Alloys, 2 turns of "not using the Calculation Hearts for something else", and 3 Atraxus Actions on Turn 8.
The Forge of War is dangerous narratively, but less so than Crucible of War. It costs 2.5k Resources (easy), 500 Alloys (probably fine), +1k Upkeep (affordable), and DC 1500. The DC is either easy enough, or challenging - depending on whether Atraxas can get help from Private Army, Harkar, etc - I'm assuming yes. With 6 Private Army Actions, +4d +50ish from Harkar, +2d +10ish from Nameria, and Atraxas himself natively having 4d+53 and +4d per additional Action, we'd make 16d +110ish per turn with a single Atraxas Action. That's 900ish progress per turn, plus 200ish per extra Atraxas Action spent. So, yeah, this is something we wouldn't even have to start on Turn 8; we could leave it for Turn 9, and maybe even withdraw a few Actions if the first set of rolls go well.
@Leon12431, may I confirm that the Private Army and Harkar can help with Forge/Crucible of War?
By contrast, the Crucible of War is considerably more narratively dangerous. It costs 10k Resources (ouch), 1k Alloys (steep but probably affordable), +2k Upkeep (steep but probably affordable), and DC 3k (ouch). If we started it next turn, and put an extra 3 Atraxas Actions in on Turn 9 (when he gets +14 Actions from Wounds), we should barely pass. Huh. That's genuinely new information to me!
There are three downsides to going for Crucible of War instead of Forge of War:
- Narrative impact is presumably considerably greater and more dangerous.
- Resource costs are barely affordable.
- I'm not sure we'll have the Actions available to properly fill the system with Inversion Arrays if we do this. (Planetary Gellar Fields also apply here.)
It looks like we have 6648 Resources at the start of this turn, but spend 5845 of them. I'm not sure I'm reading the Wealth
Breakdown right, but I think we're making min(3518.75 extraction, 4286 production) = 3518 Resources per turn, plus 800 Trade, plus 1000 for the Black Hole, equals 5318. I think our expenditures will be 615+250+665+10+545+20=2105 (after 400+100+50+25+20+20=615 added this turn). At our current turn's end, we should have 6648-5845 +(5318 -500 Black-hole upgrade only takes effect next turn) -1490 (expenditures at turn start) = 4131 Resources. In future turns, we should have net-income of 3213 per turn. I think we can go into debt up to 4x our net-income-per-turn? If so, we can spend 4131 +(3213)*(3 turns + 4 debt) = 26622 total Resources. Without debt, that would be a mere 13770 Resources, and Leon has stated that we should avoid debt as best as possible.
@Leon12431 how wrong do I have this calculation?
Exatari Alloys: 1450 -100 spent this turn +200 made this turn +500*3 future-turns = 3050 Alloys we could potentially spend.
Running Barge II + Planetary Acquisition and Crucible of War costs 16k of 13.7k/26.6k available Resources and 1750 of 3050 available Alloys. Pushing our Resource constraints, to put it mildly.
Running Barge II + Planetary Acquisition and Forge of War costs 8.5k of 13.7k/26.6k available Resources and 1250 of 3050 available Alloys - almost certainly a valid option. Especially since Alloys are the only thing that's likely to conflict with Inversion Arrays / Gellar Fields preparations, and we can most likely ask for a thousand of them while we're picking up the Calculation Hearts.