Ok. At this point I stop following your argument. It's incredibly internally inconsistent, even self-contradictory. On one hand you say that the facts don't matter, perceptions matter. On the other, you assume near perfect (but not perfect just enough to be warped against us) information proliferation in supernatural world. The world that doesn't have public news, and which is mired in secrets to its very core.
Maybe trying to argue this during breaks at work was a bad idea. Let's try this again.
Perception matters, but in relation to what people know and where they are coming from.
When we went to that white court party we announced ourselves as a representative of the Ordo and killed people for crossing us. That being the public point of the invitation and the narrative we pushed while there was part of the price Lara paid for our help.
People who know enough to be aware we were at a party like that would have to be aware of the reason we were there, because these facts are carried by the same rumor.
Even if they weren't, the blowback on us at this level is only part of the problem. Not trusting mobsters is, especially if they keep doing something that makes them untrustworthy.
The next part of the perception problem has everything to do with imperfect access to information on the part of various parties at play.
The mundane police already know who these guys are, there is a narrative in effect and a view from the mundane side which isn't going to disappear. This inherently means that any system you build off of the mob is by default a target of the mundane authorities. They do not know and cannot be told what has changed or why. These people are good at gathering information, so they will see increased activity from lifelong criminals but not what goal is being served. They are exceedingly unlikely to react to this by assuming everything is fine.
Then there are the variably aware factions like the Library and Daedalus. These people are plugged into law enforcement, but have more understanding of supernatural stuff.
They might not get it entirely, but the patterns of the mob's expansion wouldn't be subtle. Remember this is a mortal v mortal scenario. Marcone is not smarter than the rest of the world and he wants to push into existing criminal enterprise.
So yes I'm making the assumption that they will notice a massive criminal empire being born from a large but localized crimnal kingdom.
As to why they'll know we're involved? Because of the nature of what support means. Look at the new chapter. Marcone wants and needs bankable material or political support. If we funnel FCF products through him or literally sign our name to his ascension as a free holding lord the connection is not a hard one to draw.
If we tried something indirectly through money it'd make it easier because they can throw regular assets at tracking things.
These mechanisms would also make basic information available to anyone watching us. The red court tracked Micheal via traffic cameras, mobsters hunting supernaturals after we juice up the organization would be noticeable to any basic look at the players involved.
Especially because many of them do have exotic information gathering abilities.
Our association with White Court is noticeable. We command several of them, including high ranked ones. We receive gifts from them, like the movie studio, the mortal wife of one of their senior members. Their youth are our servants. This alone is enough to perceive Molly herself as a threat. Add to that an extremely scary dragon and the band of ghouls, and Marcone just doesn't register. Like, at all.
The thing is, no one with power gives a shit about this. If we started pumping up the white court they would, but an unpleasant political affiliation they can ignore isn't the same as an active problem infringing on their space.
In regards to Dragonblooded, while after the initial vote it looked like you were right, by the end of the conversation, it turned out that sharing as much as possible was the precisely right thing to do. They already knew a lot of things, already negotiated with Odin, and by trying to deceive them we would have poisoned any future attempts to communicate.
You shared everything the wrong way at the wrong time and we barely scraped something back together again by the end of it.
If we'd approached it the way I'd advocated for we would have shared the relevant information with the dragon bloods alone and had a chance to make a pitch before they accepted an offer from Odin.
In that very event you nearly gift wrapped an exaltation for Odin despite really wanting to do the opposite because you tend to be surprised by people having motives that aren't aligned with your goals.
Which you're doing here again. I mean, an ideologically rooted vassalage offer to
Marcone in response to a business proposal?
I wonder why he doesn't want to give up his independence and criminal empire to be mafia themed Batman under the leadership of someone he doesn't know. Truly a mystery.
I sure hope his employees will be more civic minded.