Meguca Micro Empire Quest (PMMM)

What should I do regarding a change in system?

  • Notgreat's proposed simplification of hunting, leave rest intact.

    Votes: 5 55.6%
  • Chapter system vastly simplifying everything.

    Votes: 4 44.4%

  • Total voters
    9
  • Poll closed .
Is this a question about the world/mechanics that the players should have been asking the QM, or a question about the diplomatic/political situation in Iwata that the Serene should have been asking?
The world, but it's something that you could have found out by now IC by asking Kyuubey, and indeed should have seemed like a reasonable follow up question to one of the other things he's told you. Anyways it's not that important to figure out now, it's already bit you. The main update should make it much more obvious when I get around to that. Though maybe given that I should just say it... takes the fun out of it though.

When does this quest take place again? Is it possible to call in a favor from Homura?
It's post-Madokami. Homura exists, but while Homura would know of Mami and Kyouko and Sayaka, none of them have ever met her in this timeline (that we know of).
This essentially. Homura knows them, but you've never met her in this timeline. Unlike the canon post-Madokami timeline, Homura hasn't deigned to socialize.

It could just be game mechanics and they're all gone now, but I'm rather worried about that many cubes located in unknown locations throughout our territory. Even though they're not depleted, I'd much rather them stored somewhat securely. I have no problem with Kyouko keeping a personal store of a couple years, but this is quite frankly ridiculous. If an enemy with clairvoyants scouts them out, they'll be able to sustain harassment operations in our territory far longer than we'd be able to do to them.
We also know that Mami knows how to store them safely, and presumably Kyouko does as well (quite possibly taught by Mami). If she stored them in the basement of her church or something like that, the odds of anyone stumbling across them by accident (clairvoyant or otherwise) is infinitesimal. It's not something I'd worry about, but I suppose checking with helix helps make sure it's not a potential issue.
Well Mami hasn't asked and Kyouko hasn't offered, it's a bit of touchy subject for Kyouko. Since those cubes were her "retirement plan". Mami did teach Kyouko proper cube storage during her sempai period though.

I suppose since you're still technically in Kyouko's perspective it's no harm telling you. Kyouko literally buried them. She has a bunch of small caches of them buried throughout her old territory in places she didn't think likely to get disturbed or built over, and spends some of her downtime swinging through those areas to make sure no construction projects or what not have been started over them, and moves the cache when that happens.
 
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This, I believe, would lead to the complete destruction of our group — not necessarily to enemy action, but rather to the loss of the ideal. Resorting to violence so quickly and easily without actually determining the source of the conflict, and so casually accepting grief spiraling as a side effect, undermines significant aspects of what the Serene was built on.

That's incredibly doubtful. The girls have had a good long time to integrate, they are a family. We've basically ignored other girl group and have never instigated hostilities against any group with out major provocation - ie kidnapping and holding a girl for ransom... why? Just because they wanted cubes and they thought they could extort some.

No someone attacked their family, again without provocation, with an ambush, and this time kidnapped girl's souls? The other girls will be calling for blood. If anything Mami will probably be among the more generous and gentle of those in the Serenes.

Nor is a major conflict likely to break up the Serenes, as outside threats usually strengthen internal bonds.
 
Depends on how you define 'hostilities'. There are definitely different tiers, and Kaori's initial kidnapping was about as low as you can get on that scale, while the response escalated well above that. They (assuming this is Naru) have escalated sufficiently beyond that scale that it's not possible for the Serene to counter-escalate to the same degree and retain any degree of safety.

Uh... no. No it's not low tier. Kidnapping is a vicious action, and our response was both reasonable and relatively merciful. Furthermore, they would have killed Kaori if it weren't for an omake bonus negating that to kidnapping instead.

A low tier action is poaching. Poachers you might be able to negotiate with. Kidnappers are pointless to negotiate with. They would have just ended up asking for more and more if we had given in.

Basically, "If you want to play the game that way, we can play it too." The demands in the Kaori incident were actually quite reasonable (explicitly noted as such in the update); the Serenes were just in a position where we flat out couldn't afford it. If you go back and look at it, they were essentially asking for 1 cube to make up the deficit of what they couldn't afford (4 girls in a 3-territory), plus one cube for the hostage that they intended to keep to ensure we kept paying. Given that the second cube was one that we had to pay anyway (ie: Kaori's normal upkeep), it was literally a demand for 1 cube per month to keep a girl from dying. And we came down on them like a ton of bricks, and kicked them out of their territory and home.

I really can not comprehend your moral standard here. Their demands were not reasonable. Their demands were outrageous, and immoral. We took nothing from them, and bent over backwards to not place any burden on them at all. Then they suddenly seized Kaori and demanded grief cubes that they had no right to demand from us, and used threats to try and extort them.

They got what they deserved. They were not concerned with morality, they decided to appeal to the law of the jungle instead. They thought they could take what they wanted because they were stronger and cleverer than us. Well they messed up, and according to most historical examples, the expected price for their mistake would be death. Mami was merciful to them.

As for the idea of starting a fight to capture their seeds or whatever? The instant we show that we literally cannot be trusted to negotiate in good faith, I'm betting those soul gems get crushed. There's just no point in even trying to work with someone like that. (and by 'someone' I mean 'us')

There is no point in trying to negotiate with someone who thinks the first step in negotiations is to seize hostages. Look, these guys are terrorists. Literally. This is the kind of thing terrorists do. You can't negotiate with terrorists, it just encourages more of them. If we pay ransom, then we will have no end to other groups kidnapping our girls and demanding stuff from us.

We will try to save Mariko and Sora, but negotiating with people who act in bad faith is stupid, and the ones who have acted in bad faith are the kidnappers. Opening negotiations with a kidnapping is a bad faith act.

Any actions we take in response up to and including killing all them is morally justified. Kidnapping and ransom demands are justifications for the use of deadly force in all systems of laws, and virtually all moral systems (only exception being pure pacifists).

The Serenes are not pacifists.

The correct response to this is to hit them harder than they hit us. You hit me, I pull a knife. You bring a knife, I bring a gun.

Through their actions they have show that they only respect strength. If we agree to negotiate or pay any ransom that will be taken as weakness. The only hope for Sora or Mariko to survive is if we hurt them bad enough that they are afraid to anger us.

Even if your fancy is correct and Sasami lies dying somewhere I will oppose any attempt to provide healing for her in exchange for anything.

Any other response would be irresponsible and a betrayal of our girls.

If this is Naru, and if they have been in contact with Ayako and Mariko, they will have been told that Ayako and Mariko, at least, believe the hype — that the Serene are the 'good guys'. If Ayako is acting as a double agent, and Mariko's capture was accepted as part of the deal, they're putting their lives on the line in their faith that Mami will pull through and prove them right. If she goes murderhobo....

It's extremely unlikely that anyone is acting as double agents. And if some traitor thought to risk their lives on the hope that we would not respond to kidnapping and extortion with violence deserves whatever death they get.

By people reacting well to others that act in good faith? And because acting in bad faith is a great way to fail and kill people?

You better choose whose side you are on. Because at this point that is all that matters.

The only safe way to succeed while acting in bad faith is to have overwhelming superiority, such as was the case in the first kidnapping. That is patently not the case now. Acting in bad faith is an extremely dangerous approach, and almost guaranteed to cost us far more in the long run (in lives, faith, and morale), solely to assuage some people's egos.

No, we are not acting in bad faith. The enemy acted in bad faith. We should hurt them. Nothing else can protect our girls.

This isn't about egos, it's about war. War is brutal. The enemy choose war as their first measure. That means negotiation is pointless unless we have power over them. Right now they will make demands and we must agree or kill our girls. That's an impossible negotiating position. It's unreasonable no matter what they ask of us.

We must do to them as they have done to us.

This is basic game theory. Tit for tat beats every other strategy every time.

Not to mention the history of tribal warfare, which suggests that at this point the only solution is for one tribe to exterminate the other.

If the demands are unreasonable, we negotiate until they are reasonable. If they cannot be negotiated with on the surface, figure out the underlying motivations and work from there. If it is fundamentally impossible to come to terms, then there is war. Every step of the way must be accomplished in good faith, though, or we become the villains.

No. They are the villains. They attacked us without provocation. That is the end of it. They don't get to claim we are the villains because we refuse to consent to them enslaving us without resistance. Nor because we use deceit to reverse their gains from their deceitful attacks.

According to traditional standards of tribal war, it is now just for us to slaughter them all and take their property. Any less then that is just us being merciful.

Personally, I think I'm in support of the classic 'speak softly and carry a big stick'. Also, getting known for massive retaliation/disproportionate retribution is a good way to enforce peace. Risky, but in an organizational manner we kinda are in a state of constant MAD- defense is far harder than offense. Make it known that we are advocates of diplomacy but that if diplomacy fails/they strike first, they will be ruthlessly crushed.

Exactly. If we consent to being attacked, kidnapped, and paying of ransoms with no cost to the enemy, why would any rational actor respond with anything other then more attacks, more kidnappings, and further demands of ransom?

The world, but it's something that you could have found out by now IC by asking Kyuubey, and indeed should have seemed like a reasonable follow up question to one of the other things he's told you. Anyways it's not that important to figure out now, it's already bit you. The main update should make it much more obvious when I get around to that. Though maybe given that I should just say it... takes the fun out of it though.

Intriguing...
 
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I say we do something to them even more reprehensible than death. We should lend to them at interest.
 
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I'm not against some mercy if we can figure out how to do it without endangering our girls or setting a bad precedent.

But I refuse to accept some moral equivalence crap tying our hands from doing whatever needs to be done to protect our girls. Right now, as the natural consequences of decisions our enemy has made, violence is our only recourse.
 
Responding to stuff in somewhat random order.

No. They are the villains. They attacked us without provocation. That is the end of it. They don't get to claim we are the villains because we refuse to consent to them enslaving us without resistance. Nor because we use deceit to reverse their gains from their deceitful attacks.
That's not what I said.

Them being the villains and us being the villains are not mutually exclusive. I made no statement about the morality of their actions.

"Without provocation" is invalid if this is the Naru group; the provocation was set in motion months ago. If this is not the Naru group, then I don't have enough information to make any assessment.

I said nothing about them getting to claim that we're the villains. I made that assertion from an external viewpoint, independent of accusations by the involved parties.

"Good faith" is only with respect to the negotiation aspect. If we're actively at war, it doesn't apply. Use of deceit in negotiations is explicitly acting in bad faith. Just because you feel it's justified doesn't change that.

Uh... no. No it's not low tier. Kidnapping is a vicious action, and our response was both reasonable and relatively merciful. Furthermore, they would have killed Kaori if it weren't for an omake bonus negating that to kidnapping instead.
Citation? I found nothing when reviewing to indicate that any omake affected that event's actions. Somewhat related comments:
Yeah, kind of surprising to me too that people jump straight up to lethal to be honest.
Though maybe it's partly on me for not having done some intermediate turns of begging, but from my perspective it was basically a bunch of girls starving while one is getting food packets from home. In that condition forcing the issue is going to make sense to a lot of people.

A low tier action is poaching. Poachers you might be able to negotiate with. Kidnappers are pointless to negotiate with. They would have just ended up asking for more and more if we had given in.
I consider the poachers to be of a significantly higher tier. The kidnappers were a bunch of newbies who grabbed one girl in an attempt to avoid starving. The poachers were a team of specialists who threatened the stability of the entire organization.

I really can not comprehend your moral standard here. Their demands were not reasonable. Their demands were outrageous, and immoral.
Their demand was effectively one cube per month (two cubes total, but one was what you'd be spending on Kaori anyway). Whether it was reasonable to negotiate with them is one thing, and whether it was reasonable to give them their demand is another, but the demand itself was in no way excessive or unreasonable; it was only and exactly as much as they needed to live. Only asking for that much also implied that they'd still hunt the other three cubes they needed on their own (which was more than Kaori appeared to be doing, from their perspective).

There is no point in trying to negotiate with someone who thinks the first step in negotiate is to seize hostages. Look, these guys are terrorists. Literally. This is the kind of thing terrorists do. You can't negotiate with terrorists, it just encourages more of them. If we pay ransom, then we will have no end to other groups kidnapping our girls and demanding stuff from us.
Turn that point of view around. Is there any point in negotiating with a group whose first resort is violence and threat of death? Who explicitly advocates negotiating in bad faith? If you were Naru, would you not say that anything bad that happens to us is something we 'deserve'?
We must do to them as they have done to us.
Eye for an eye diplomacy leaves everyone blind. If no one is interested in solving the root of the problem — the source of the conflict, not just the superficial appearances — then yes, it leads down the path you mention. But that goes for both sides. And if no one is willing to put a stop to it, to put aside their egos and find a way to fix the problem permanently, then it will never end.
Any actions we take in response up to and including killing all them is morally justified.
Perhaps in some moral systems. I personally disagree, and find such easy justification a sign of corruption. The bar for justifying killing someone should be very high, else it will be constantly abused.
The Serenes are not pacifists.
I never said they were. However they should not be blind fearmongers/hatemongers either.

The correct response to this is to hit them harder than they hit us. You hit me, I pull a knife. You bring a knife, I bring a gun. Through their actions they have show that they only respect strength. If we agree to negotiate or pay any ransom that will be taken as weakness. The only hope for Sora or Mariko survive is if we hurt them bad enough that they are afraid to anger us.
This seems like foolishness. There will always be someone with a bigger weapon, and if you constantly up the ante against everyone, someone is going to find you to be too much trouble to deal with, and bring a big enough gun that you don't get up again.

If we up the ante, we're saying that Mariko and Sora's lives aren't worth anything, because their lives are forfeit the instant it's clear that the negotiations will never go anywhere. Suggesting that we could steal their soul gems as some sort of leverage to get the original soul gems back (like they're going to trade with the people who just showed that they will only ever respect someone with a bigger stick?) sounds like foolish wishfulness.

This basic game theory.
Basic game theory suggests Carinthium's amoralism. Advanced game theory says amoralism is a crock.

According to traditional standards of tribal war, it is now just for us to slaughter them all and take their property. Any less then that is just us being merciful.
I'm so glad we've reached such an enlightened level of morality.

Exactly. If we consent to being attacked, kidnapped, and paying of ransoms with no cost to the enemy, why would any rational actor respond with anything other then more attacks, more kidnappings, and further demands of ransom?
This assumes that there is no solution/behavior other than simply handing over what was requested, and anything short of killing them means "no cost".
 
Yeah. I'm with Elder Haman. This shouldn't be tolerated and I want every other group who hears about this to realise that trying the same thing on us is suicidal. We will show mercy if given the opportunity but now is the time for punishment.
 
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Tread carefully when invoking him on someone, will you? This is just being rude.
I'm not trying to be rude here. Basic game theory definitely supports pure amoralism, and Carinthium's philosophical beliefs held true to that (though not based on game theory per se). It's just that most people won't recognize the full extent of what that means without an example, and more advanced game theory isn't easy to provide an example for.
 
In the interest of preventing this getting more heated than present. I'll just come out and say that while the logical series you constructed this theory on makes sense. It's not correct.

Though also attempts to wield the bigger stick in this situation aren't likely to work well. Also surprises me how people are going for that style of diplomacy considering they've been playing the true good route so far.

This attack is actually a bit of a prelude to introduction of a Very Rational philosophy.
 
I agree (and disagree) with both Elder Haman and Kinematics. On the one hand, I would say that we're already at war, and any negotiations are going to be extremely difficult (and not very productive) since neither side trusts the other. Violence is not desirable, but it seems to be inevitable. On the other hand, I also agree that the (theoretical) best solution would involve figuring out the underlying causes of this conflict and coming to a diplomatic solution. From our perspective, the attack appears to be without sufficient provocation, but I could see how Naru (or possibly one of the territories that was offended by our scouting efforts) could believe that there was provocation. Diplomacy could resolve some misconceptions and come up with a solution that would satisfy everyone. Theoretically. But I don't see a way to actually pull that off.

The best solution would be to have a disinterested third party handle negotiations, but I don't think that there's anyone that both sides can trust (especially since we don't even know for sure who the second party is). Ideally, there should be a council of Magical Girl Organizations who could handle this sort of thing (and prevent such disputes from devolving into violence in the first place), but most of the organizations we've met so far seem to be too disorganized and isolated for that to work. Maybe setting up such a council could be a long-term goal?
 
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Citation? I found nothing when reviewing to indicate that any omake affected that event's actions. Somewhat related comments:

On the first page:

Sharing The Same Tears Bonus to Kaori's situation (Helped mitigate death to kidnapping)

I consider the poachers to be of a significantly higher tier. The kidnappers were a bunch of newbies who grabbed one girl in an attempt to avoid starving. The poachers were a team of specialists who threatened the stability of the entire organization.

Theft has always been considered a lower tier of violence than kidnapping. Theft through deceit and avoiding direct confrontation has always been considered a lower tier of violence than mugging.

The kidnappers were directly threatening Kaori's life. Pay up, or the girl gets it. Most moral systems consider that a greater evil than an act that indirectly makes things more dangerous and threatens lives of others that way.

Their demand was effectively one cube per month (two cubes total, but one was what you'd be spending on Kaori anyway). Whether it was reasonable to negotiate with them is one thing, and whether it was reasonable to give them their demand is another, but the demand itself was in no way excessive or unreasonable; it was only and exactly as much as they needed to live. Only asking for that much also implied that they'd still hunt the other three cubes they needed on their own (which was more than Kaori appeared to be doing, from their perspective).

ANY DEMAND WAS UNREASONABLE. I don't care if they asked for a penny.

I'm hungry, is it then reasonable for me to go kidnap someone's sister and demand a burger? Oh, I only asked for a burger and not a million dollars, so that makes it okay? My demand was reasonable?

Their need is irrelevant to the moral question. Our wealth level is irrelevant to the moral question. The question is first whether they had any right to claim our harvest. Did we harvest in their territory? No. Did we reduce their harvest some how? No. What right did they have to the fruit of our labor? None.

Thus they fail on the first question. They are in the wrong. They tried to claim the property of another person wholly unconnected with them. Not just the territory, but the product of our labor. Essentially they tried to force us into slavery, where we would labor to produce food for them, not because they provide us goods in trade, but because if we don't they will kill our friend. That makes them the villains. No further moral analysis required.

The second question (if they did have a claim to our harvest) would have been if their actions to obtain their where proportionate to the situation and claim. The answer here is still no, because their action was not to contact us and tell us they had a claim against us, but to kidnap a member and threaten to hurt them if we don't pay up.

Or more pertinent to their case, did they ever contact us and beg for help and then we turned them down? Nope, they decided that the correct response to starvation was kidnapping, not begging.

The actions of Naru's group were immoral. Period.

Compare this to our response:

We agree to the payment, ambush them, retrieve our member, and then free them on the condition that they forfeit their territory.

Since there is no over arching magical girl organization, questions of authority do not come into play. Looking at the above it actually a rough justice. Criminals have no right to expect honesty, police officers are explicitly allowed to use deception to capture criminals. We secured our member, and then penalized them by taking their property as they had intended to take ours.

Turn that point of view around. Is there any point in negotiating with a group whose first resort is violence and threat of death? Who explicitly advocates negotiating in bad faith? If you were Naru, would you not say that anything bad that happens to us is something we 'deserve'?

It is not bad faith. The law explicitly says that if someone is making a credible threat to coerce you into an action, then you are not bound by agreements or contracts made, and you are entitled to use deceit. The bad faith is explicitly attributed to the person making the extortion.

Frankly your insistence that deceiving kidnappers is acting in bad faith is bizarre and contrary to all Western law and tradition.

Furthermore, our first resort is not violence. Our attackers are the ones that have resorted to violence first. When we had a grief cube shortage did we go out and rob other girls? Did we kidnap others?

Eye for an eye diplomacy leaves everyone blind. If no one is interested in solving the root of the problem — the source of the conflict, not just the superficial appearances — then yes, it leads down the path you mention. But that goes for both sides. And if no one is willing to put a stop to it, to put aside their egos and find a way to fix the problem permanently, then it will never end.

This is not ego. This is reality. The root of the problem is that our enemy believes they can extort resources from us through violence at low cost. We must ensure that they reassess and decide that the cost is actually very high, so that they will not do it again. Otherwise they will keep on doing this.

That means we must hurt them. If we don't we might as well surrender and let them enslave us.

That's reality. I know, because I had to fight a lot when I was a kid. I was small, so other boys would target me for physical assaults. I fought them, lost, but made them realize that fighting me would not be low cost, so they never bothered me again. Then we'd move, I'd attend a new school and I had to fight all over again, so that the other boys would learn that I was more dangerous than my appearnce.

Perhaps in some moral systems. I personally disagree, and find such easy justification a sign of corruption. The bar for justifying killing someone should be very high, else it will be constantly abused.

They just stole someone's soul. If that's not worth killing over, then what is?

This seems like foolishness. There will always be someone with a bigger weapon, and if you constantly up the ante against everyone, someone is going to find you to be too much trouble to deal with, and bring a big enough gun that you don't get up again.

If we up the ante, we're saying that Mariko and Sora's lives aren't worth anything, because their lives are forfeit the instant it's clear that the negotiations will never go anywhere. Suggesting that we could steal their soul gems as some sort of leverage to get the original soul gems back (like they're going to trade with the people who just showed that they will only ever respect someone with a bigger stick?) sounds like foolish wishfulness.

They are the ones that only respect violence. They have proven it because they only use violence.

Basic game theory suggests Carinthium's amoralism. Advanced game theory says amoralism is a crock.

No. I am not advocating amoralism. I am advocating justice, which is harsh and brutal. You reap what you sow. Tit for tat.

That is the core of all morality.

Which advanced game theory clearly supports. Nothing beats tit for tat. Nothing. Oh, a year ago or so someone discovered that in a very specific circumstance, tit for tat could be beaten by a slightly refined tit for tat with forgiveness. The fact remains though that tit for tat is what works. It's what works according to game theory. It's what works according to real life history.

In fact it is our enemy that is favoring amoralism. Nothing they are doing suggests any morality. Nor did Naru demonstrate morality. They both demonstrate an amoral belief that might makes right.

I'm not trying to be rude here. Basic game theory definitely supports pure amoralism, and Carinthium's philosophical beliefs held true to that (though not based on game theory per se). It's just that most people won't recognize the full extent of what that means without an example, and more advanced game theory isn't easy to provide an example for.

You've redefined what amoralism is and are calling moral positions amoral, and amoral positions moral. That does not improve your argument.

basic game theory rally does point toward a pretty much total lack of morals.

No it doesn't. It points towards tit for tat. If you are nice to me, I will be nice to you, if you hurt me, I will punish you.

It's the foundation of the western moral code. Eye for an eye. Which by the way was a radical improvement over other moral systems of the time which were death for an eye, unless you have power or know the right people.

Though also attempts to wield the bigger stick in this situation aren't likely to work well. Also surprises me how people are going for that style of diplomacy considering they've been playing the true good route so far.

We are playing the true good route. The true good route response to kidnapping is to fight the kidnappers and win.

Sounds like this is a powerful group though, which means Sora and Mariko are probably as good as dead.

We cannot just negotiate. If we do so it will only invite further kidnappings and more demands. If the enemy is too strong to defeat completely then we must find their weakness and hurt them as much as possible. That will be a warning to them that we will be no easy meat and they need to look elsewhere. If they are truly rational, then they will not even kill Mariko and Sora as that would waste their leverage.

After we hurt them we might be able to negotiate. Hit them hard and then contact them to see about a truce. Tit for tat with forgiveness.

But until we hurt them it's pointless. Until then we have no leverage of our own.
 
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Hmm... thinking about it, there is another possibility about this enemy.

Instead of a powerful group with territory and a large complement of vets, which is what all my analysis is based on, this could just be a marauding group of Elites. They come in, hit a compliment of vets. Take captives, and then demand payment.

That would be horribly worse.

There would be no base for us to strike at, and attacking would probably mean a significant death level among our girls. Just paying the ransom would be tempting. Yet we absolutely must not do so. If we did it would only ensure that they would be back to "harvest" us again in the future.

Either we attack them despite knowing we will lose girls, or we refuse to pay a ransom and accept Mariko and Sora's deaths.
 
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You can't seriously make arguments based off something that didn't happen and that you don't know might have happened. I mean that's kind of ridiculously meta. Plus even if that hadn't been applied, it would have been along the lines of death in botched kidnapping. Not as the goal.

Sounds like this is a powerful group though, which means Sora and Mariko are probably as good as dead.
Hardly. I've actually created quite an interesting philosophy behind this enemy group which I'm hoping will make some horrible twisted sense in a way that is extremely rational but horrible for all that it's rational. Canon Mami might have been proud. Kyuubey would be if he had such things as emotions.
 
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We cannot just negotiate. If we do so it will only invite further kidnappings and more demands. If the enemy is too strong to defeat completely then we must find their weakness and hurt them as much as possible. That will be a warning to them that we will be no easy meat and they need to look elsewhere. If they are truly rational, then they will not even kill Mariko and Sora as that would waste their leverage.

After we hurt them we might be able to negotiate. Hit them hard and then contact them to see about a truce. Tit for tat with forgiveness.

But until we hurt them it's pointless. Until then we have no leverage of our own.
I mostly agree with you, but there is a bit where I disagree. First of all, if they are noticeably stronger than us and are willing to negotiate, it's reasonable to accede to their demands. It invites more kidnappings later, but if you can't effectively fight them then accepting defeat is better than convincing them that we're dangerous enough to be worth crushing. Better to take a crippling tax than an outright destruction. If we're near-equal in power though, it's definitely better to hit them back first.

Secondly, if our growth rates are faster than theirs (either through actual growth or through alliances) then it can be worthwhile to give in temporarily- appeasement- but build up until we are stronger than them. Note that this is very dangerous if they're building up as well, as that just puts you in a worse position.

Also, we win any protracted war thanks to Kyouko's clone. We get a free elite we can send at them every month. Even if it only takes out one of their veterans, it costs us nearly nothing whereas their morale would take a nosedive. Plus we can do high-risk poaching, theft, etc.
You can't seriously make arguments based off something that didn't happen and that you don't know might have happened. I mean that's kind of ridiculously meta. Plus even if that hadn't been applied, it would have been along the lines of death in botched kidnapping. Not as the goal.
It shows that they were willing to go very, very far. Even untransformed MGs should be extremely tough to outright kill unless they break the gem (which should still be difficult considering they were untransformed as well IIRC)
 
You can't seriously make arguments based off something that didn't happen and that you don't know might have happened. I mean that's kind of ridiculously meta. Plus even if that hadn't been applied, it would have been along the lines of death in botched kidnapping. Not as the goal.

That's my point. Kidnapping is not some low tier of violence. When you kidnap someone there is implied in the action a threat of deadly force against the kidnappee, which is why if you kill a person trying to kidnap you it's not murder and perfectly legal. The use of deadly force is justified against kidnappers to prevent or foil their kidnapping - and if the kidnappee has not been rescued then that means the kidnapping is still in progress, it's a continuing crime.

Look, this isn't me just making crap up. This is the law. Which is based on the explicit moral arguments I have been making.
 
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You can't seriously make arguments based off something that didn't happen and that you don't know might have happened. I mean that's kind of ridiculously meta. Plus even if that hadn't been applied, it would have been along the lines of death in botched kidnapping. Not as the goal.

Hardly. I've actually created quite an interesting philosophy behind this enemy group which I'm hoping will make some horrible twisted sense in a way that is extremely rational but horrible for all that it's rational. Canon Mami might have been proud. Kyuubey would be if he had such things as emotions.

Oh joy. A bunch of girls who think that we need less magical girls so that Demon strength goes down. Wonderful.

Doubt canon Mami would agree to that. She was only down with killing magical girls because magical girls = witches, not because of other conditions that are closer in morality to the demon strength thing - ie the magical girls that farm familiars. Mami's response to that was to just kill familiars.

Mami is a pretty straight-forward person in her approach to solutions. She has conventional morality, and is really only twistable by explicit catch-22 situations. And even then she picks the solution closest to traditional morality.

EDIT: Crap... if this is the case then there is a strong likelihood that we won't even get any demands. They'll just walk off with the soul gems.
 
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Oh joy. A bunch of girls who think that we need less magical girls so that Demon strength goes down. Wonderful.

Doubt canon Mami would agree to that. She was only down with killing magical girls because magical girls = witches, not because of other conditions that are closer in morality to the demon strength thing - ie the magical girls that farm familiars. Mami's response to that was to just kill familiars.

Mami is a pretty straight-forward person in her approach to solutions. She has conventional morality, and is really only twistable by explicit catch-22 situations. And even then she picks the solution closest to traditional morality.
Not quite. They didn't kill Sora and Mariko, and they don't intend to ever actually kill them. They're taking advantage of a "loophole" in the system.
 
Sure, but we should wait to find out that the demands actually are unreasonable. If it is the, highly unlikely, case that they just want healing, then that's a reasonable desire even if it doesn't warrant kidnapping our people. If they do demand unreasonable things, then the benefit to having negotiated is that we know who attacked us and won't go harring off to strike at the wrong people.

I frankly see no downside to negotiation other than not getting to immediately indulge in outrage.

My main concern is how the negotiation reflects on the Serene. Specifically, whether this makes us a target for other groups who think they can do the same. I agree we should reach out and attempt negotiations if only for the sake of the two kidnapped soul gems. Healing does sound reasonable, but the way they went about getting it wasn't.

At this point, there's a lot of speculation due to lack of info. I'm hoping the next snip will reveal some more solid information.

Now to catch up on the other comments.
 
Yeah great, so they are forcibly putting them in suspended animation so as to reduce the magical girl surplus.

Semantics.

I have no idea how to resolve this. If Ayako can't track them we've probably effectively lost Mariko and Sora for good.
 
To give you something else to chew on and spark thoughtful discussion on another subject while I drag my heels on the general update. Have the Kyuubey information from this turn's main update.

-------------------

Ask Kyuubey what conditions cause a Class 3 demon to be created. How much overhunting? Does a demon need to kill a magical girl need to die in order for one to form? What can he tell us about the Class 3 demons currently in Tokyo?
Cost: ?? cubes

Kyuubey finds the increased data on Class 3s over the past two years quite fascinating. There appears to be significant degree of uncertainty to it such that it is difficult for Incubators to model very precisely. At present they have no pressing need for aggressive and expensive research into the field which would clarify it further.

Their creation can be divided into two categories: origination from an overhunted territory, and meiosis in which a Class 3 demon which has consumed the powers of several contracted divides producing weaker daughter demons with the original demon's powers divided amongst them.

Based on past data, they believe that demon strength as measured in your terms must be at minimum +10 for it to be possible for a Class 3 demon to originate from native population, though meiosis of a migratory one can still produce more in such areas. Chance of one spawning starts off low and increases exponentially. It is projected that by +40 strength the number of Class 3 demons reaches an average one per territory unit per month, though there is a lack of data at the high end to determine accuracy, and at that level differentiation can be difficult.

Origination of Class 3 demons does not require termination of contracted, but that does seem to be required to their reproduction via meiosis though it does not trigger it in itself. Demons of Class 3 which do not trigger meiosis after absorbing many powers eventually reach a strength warranting reclassification as Class 4.

The currently active Class 3 demons in Tokyo are typically stronger than the one you faced, values previously given were for newborn demons of the indicated classes. The one you faced had undergone meiosis as it left the Tokyo area resulting in its strength being similar to that of a newborn.

53 Class 3 demons originated in Tokyo during the initial upward swing in their spawning, at that time there were 107 Grade 3 Contracted countering them and 1693 total Contracted in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area. Early losses were substantial. Coordination and force concentration improved survival rate after initial losses, which also diminished their rate of origination by resulting in reduced demon strength, but meiosis has kept demon population up. Currently there is an estimated 37 Class 3 demons in the region and 45 Grade 3 Contracted with 1200 total Contracted despite unusually aggressive recruitment. Remaining Contracted have switched to mostly guerrilla activity with few fixed concentrations, and those that do exist are behind many layers of concealment and protection.

The Class 3 demons have mostly remained concentrated as a result of the more plentiful food supply there than the immediate surroundings. When this ceases to be the case intervention to starve them may be required. A Grade 4 Contracted clearing the area would be preferable due to the short term impact on harvests of such an action. However there are many locations requiring their intervention at this time and it is difficult in the best of times to convince them to act.
 
53 Class 3 demons originated in Tokyo during the initial upward swing in their spawning, at that time there were 107 Grade 3 Contracted countering them and 1693 total Contracted in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area. Early losses were substantial. Coordination and force concentration improved survival rate after initial losses, which also diminished their rate of origination by resulting in reduced demon strength, but meiosis has kept demon population up. Currently there is an estimated 37 Class 3 demons in the region and 45 Grade 3 Contracted with 1200 total Contracted despite unusually aggressive recruitment. Remaining Contracted have switched to mostly guerrilla activity with few fixed concentrations, and those that do exist are behind many layers of concealment and protection.
Dear God. The Tokyo region has lost 62 Elites since the initial upswing.
 
In the interest of preventing this getting more heated than present. I'll just come out and say that while the logical series you constructed this theory on makes sense. It's not correct.

So all of our speculations so far, including Kinematics' theory about this being Naru's group is completely off?

Couple of alternate ideas that popped up was that Kyouko was being targeted for some past grievance or that the Serenes have been misinterpreted as some kind of villainous group. There was the omake series about Mami-ojousama, and we are expanding territory. I'm probably wrong, but these ideas just popped into my head.

Though also attempts to wield the bigger stick in this situation aren't likely to work well. Also surprises me how people are going for that style of diplomacy considering they've been playing the true good route so far.

This attack is actually a bit of a prelude to introduction of a Very Rational philosophy.

I'm guessing this means the Serenes are facing a significant meguca force, either in numbers or individual power; or did you mean due to the kidnapper's mentality the "stick" method wouldn't work?

To give you something else to chew on and spark thoughtful discussion on another subject while I drag my heels on the general update. Have the Kyuubey information from this turn's main update.

-------------------

Ask Kyuubey what conditions cause a Class 3 demon to be created. How much overhunting? Does a demon need to kill a magical girl need to die in order for one to form? What can he tell us about the Class 3 demons currently in Tokyo?
Cost: ?? cubes

Kyuubey finds the increased data on Class 3s over the past two years quite fascinating. There appears to be significant degree of uncertainty to it such that it is difficult for Incubators to model very precisely. At present they have no pressing need for aggressive and expensive research into the field which would clarify it further.

Their creation can be divided into two categories: origination from an overhunted territory, and meiosis in which a Class 3 demon which has consumed the powers of several contracted divides producing weaker daughter demons with the original demon's powers divided amongst them.

Based on past data, they believe that demon strength as measured in your terms must be at minimum +10 for it to be possible for a Class 3 demon to originate from native population, though meiosis of a migratory one can still produce more in such areas. Chance of one spawning starts off low and increases exponentially. It is projected that by +40 strength the number of Class 3 demons reaches an average one per territory unit per month, though there is a lack of data at the high end to determine accuracy, and at that level differentiation can be difficult.

Origination of Class 3 demons does not require termination of contracted, but that does seem to be required to their reproduction via meiosis though it does not trigger it in itself. Demons of Class 3 which do not trigger meiosis after absorbing many powers eventually reach a strength warranting reclassification as Class 4.

The currently active Class 3 demons in Tokyo are typically stronger than the one you faced, values previously given were for newborn demons of the indicated classes. The one you faced had undergone meiosis as it left the Tokyo area resulting in its strength being similar to that of a newborn.

53 Class 3 demons originated in Tokyo during the initial upward swing in their spawning, at that time there were 107 Grade 3 Contracted countering them and 1693 total Contracted in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area. Early losses were substantial. Coordination and force concentration improved survival rate after initial losses, which also diminished their rate of origination by resulting in reduced demon strength, but meiosis has kept demon population up. Currently there is an estimated 37 Class 3 demons in the region and 45 Grade 3 Contracted with 1200 total Contracted despite unusually aggressive recruitment. Remaining Contracted have switched to mostly guerrilla activity with few fixed concentrations, and those that do exist are behind many layers of concealment and protection.

The Class 3 demons have mostly remained concentrated as a result of the more plentiful food supply there than the immediate surroundings. When this ceases to be the case intervention to starve them may be required. A Grade 4 Contracted clearing the area would be preferable due to the short term impact on harvests of such an action. However there are many locations requiring their intervention at this time and it is difficult in the best of times to convince them to act.

Just to confirm, this is a completely different subject and has nothing to do with our kidnapping situation?
 
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