Of course, it's also possible that you're the Magpie and you stole from ON knowing they wouldn't have anything as double-bluff to give you a way to claim innocence. Note that I'm not saying this is definitely the case or anything like, just that it's something we need to keep in mind.
With all the Magpie paranoia that was going on last night, if I was the Magpie I'd have been very tempted to write the day off as a loss and just hit Crows to guarantee I didn't get a shiny. That way I'd give myself an alibi and avoid any chance being caught by a chain of steals while we're in active anti-Magpie mode. That keeps them safe, and costs us a day where they can't be positively identified in any definitive way.
That's why I have myself on the list of suspects since no one can prove my claim yet.
Hmm, could be.
Don't think that really works out since the whole game won't calm down till the magpie is dead. I mean we have half the game confirmed now as not-magpie, which wasn't that unlikely a result. More mislynches and chain-nights only shrinken the pool of suspects.
Partly depends what your profile was. Like, if I was a high profile player (as I was) and the magpie (which thankfully I wasn't) the anti magpie frenzy would have me wanting to try to ride crow myslynches until day eight was close enough I was no longer worth hard focusing with eg untouched raven block as the larger concern.
I mean this is largely the kind of logic I've been operating under. It's not good for crows that the safest plans call for lynching only [crow or magpie] candidates but I am far more worried about potential instant magpie induced losses if we ignore people who could both be magpie and also win tonight.
Ok, so we are back to 8 suspects. Given the list I don't think it's completely beyond any of us to try that as a strategy...
The problem is, they have a solid idea. ItzNarcotic HAS one and there are probably 5 crows revealed. Given the night start info, the last shiny is either owned by a Jackdaw or 2-3 crows. (ALL under the assumption the magpie DID successfully steal)
No, I reported accurately. I tried to steal from Terra and got nothing. (And I am a crow).
The magpie does not win in this circumstance. See below.
Hell no. The Magpie knows who the ravens are and who the jackdaws are. If we make everyone admit to their roles, they immediately can trace each shiny out from the person who had it originally along the chain of steals to where it now resides. That cuts down the solution space immensely and voids the entire hope of anonymity.
Why vote for someone simply for being noncrow? If Wiadi's the Magpie then Terra's plan will result in his death and if he's a Jackdaw then he'll survive and be helping town against the only scum who can win early. There were enough votes on him for that plan already, why not try to push on one of the others who are potentially the Magpie where your vote would have some weight instead?
There aren't enough votes on him for that plan, though? There were three votes, I am the fourth, and there are 15 players.
If we do aim for pecking a Jackdaw or Raven, it probably shouldn't be aimed at one of the ones who've revealed. It's kind of distasteful to do that when the only reason we know to target them is because they've revealed it themselves to help us.
There is only one other person with any votes on them and even then it's only one vote. Voting has been slow enough for those three votes on him to be the majority and there is still more than enough time left in the Day to respond to any swings in the near future. You were already on my suspect list, so maybe I'm overreacting, but something rubbed me the wrong way and my gut says you're more suspicious than not.
Well two now at one vote each. TMR posted while I was typing.
I'm not sure I'd jump that far. It's distasteful to target Wiadi with intent to have them pecked, sure, but it is a valid tactic if we can't figure out who the Magpie is (and at the moment we seem to be stuck with no way to narrow down the list). They're not one of the players who guaranteed reveal-safety, after all (I think).