[Mafia] A Murder of Crows

I... have apparently slept through this entire discussion. Go me? Regardless, since it's not the hammer I feel comfortable voting:

[X] Peck ComiTurtle

They, TMR, and OriginalName have both been on my low-key suspicion list for most of the game thanks to their low activity. Low activity can just mean having nothing to say, but it can also mean someone trying not to draw attention to themselves.
 
[X] Peck ComiTurtle

That should be hammer, unless I'm being a big pepega and miscounted the votes or something.
 
Start of Night 4
Spending every night engaged in skulduggery is taking it's toll. Two more nights, at most, before it gets too much and the Shiniless birds are forced to simply give up.

The Crows have One Shiny Thing
The Ravens have One Shiny Thing
The Jackdaws have One Shiny Thing

As we are near the endgame, and it seems Night discussion is tapering off,
Night 4 will end OR when I have all Thefts in.
 
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Hey, result! Go us! Or more accurately, go Shadell (I think) for picking ComiTurtle as the target!
 
Spending every night engaged in skulduggery is taking it's toll. Two more nights, at most, before it gets too much and the Shiniless birds are forced to simply give up.

As we are near the endgame, and it seems Night discussion is tapering off,
Night 4 will end OR when I have all Thefts in.
What's the shiny distribution right now?
 
Alright so we have:

Crows: -Rosen, Shadell, 1KBestK
Jackdaw: Wiadi

Raven Candidates: NSMS/Tykan (One of these two takes up one slot), TMR, OriginalName, ItzNarcotic

We should be looking between the former two if we definitely want to take a Raven before endgame, unless we can somehow mech-confirm one by the end of each Night. We're guaranteed to hit Raven within two Nights if we kill between them on D5.
 
Like, in the worst case scenario, we get 2 people with shinies, one of whom is the crow who took one and one is a raven, which outs where the crow's shiny is but still lets us do a ton to out the ravens. This lets us pretty cleanly cut down our suspects to a few possibilities.
 
Like, in the worst case scenario, we get 2 people with shinies, one of whom is the crow who took one and one is a raven, which outs where the crow's shiny is but still lets us do a ton to out the ravens. This lets us pretty cleanly cut down our suspects to a few possibilities.
That was actually what I was wondering about; we have one shiny ourselves, so, how do we account for that?
 
Ugh, I've still been sick and unable to keep up with the game. Glad we got the magpie, and, sure, I'll do that plan. Also, I haven't had a shiny.
 
That was actually what I was wondering about; we have one shiny ourselves, so, how do we account for that?

Actually, hmm....

@NSMS
@TheMaskedReader
@OriginalName
@Tykan

Are any of you the crow with the shiny. You probably will not get robbed tonight, as ravens doing it would just end up outing either both or leave us knowing exactly where the one was anyway, but you will probably get robbed tomorrow in a last ditch effort to win.


Let's call the ravens A and B.

1. Right now, A has a shiny, B does not.
2. This plan ensures crows rob A 100%
3. This plan also ensures that crows steal from B.
4. Ergo, if B takes a shiny in the night, A and B will both be outed and crows will take both.
5. If A takes a shiny in the night, only A will be outed
6. However, if B takes a second shiny, B will be outed and end the night with 1 shiny.

This means a few things. 1. Entering tomorrow, ravens will, at most, have 1 shiny on raven A. IF they do have a shiny, crows will know where it is.

1. Raven B can take raven A's shiny, hiding it. Ravens retain 1 shiny. Raven A can steal up to one shiny, but will get robbed again twice for safety if Ravens have 1 shiny.
2. Both ravens can steal, ravens may hold 3 shinies before crows steal, however, if they do, 2 are on B. Crows steal 2 from B, ensuring ravens end the night with 1 shiny.
3. Jackdaw might start D6 with 2 shinies, however, crows can simply peck the jackdaw in this situation.


Does this scan?
 
I actually have a shiny. One was stolen from me last night... however, I also stole one in turn. I've avoided mentioning it until now because I don't like handing out free targets, but seeing as this plan depends on us knowing where our shinies are...
 
Oh, right, I need to make a night post. I'm fine with the part of the plan where nobody robs me at least :V
 
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