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Attempting to Fulfill the Plan MNKh: A New Age Dawns
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The revolution has called for you to fulfill the series of 5-year plans in one of the most hostile work environments possible. The rewards are considerable, and there will be a constant series of trials along the way. But considerable progress can be made on the further industrialization of the Soviet Union.
In light of the RLA finally reaching completion, I have compiled an overview of the RLA dice and their insane luck. Images of the spreadsheet I used to track and calculate everything and a list of sources (with some bonus discord reactions attached, including quite a bit of "FUCKING RLA" on Blackstar's part) can be found at the bottom of this post (spoilered for size), but to summarize:
The RLA program has concluded with an average roll of 64.53, resting at a comfortable 97.01 percentile for 15d100 (that is, 97.01% of possible results for 15d100 are worse than what we got).
The RLA has remained in the top 90% of rolls for an uninterrupted ~73% of the project runtime (11 out of 15 turns), beginning with the nat 100 on Turn 67.
The RLA has remained in the top 95% of rolls for ~46% of the project runtime (7 out of 15 turns), including an uninterrupted 6-turn / 7-roll run [1] starting on Turn 72.
The RLA's overall highest point was on Turn 74.5 [1], reaching the 98.89 percentile for 12d100. The highest individual roll occurred on (naturally) Turn 67 with a nat 100, and the highest average was reached on Turn 69 with a 70.67 on 6d100.
The RLA's overall lowest point was on Turn 64, reaching the 39.16 percentile for 2d100. The lowest individual roll occurred on Turn 76 with a 17, and the lowest average was reached on Turn 64 with a flat 45 on 2d100.
Every single roll was either 38 and below (4 out of 15 rolls) or 61 and above (11 out of 15 rolls); none of the rolls fell into that 22-wide intermediate range.
I've also composed a graph based on the data, to help visualize things:
Additional Notes:
[1] Two sets of rolls were made on Turn 74, one for the turn post and one for the results post, the latter of which I have listed as Turn 74.5.
[2] No rolls were made on Turn 66 as far as I can tell (no dice in the discord + no blurbs in the turn post and results post). As such, the values for that turn are the same as for the previous turn.
[3] This analysis focuses entirely on the rocketry dice rolled in the Discord and excludes the project rolls for Determine the Next Launcher, RLA Expansion, Expand RLA Program, and Rationalization of the RLA, on the grounds that those were primarily administrative actions which allocated funds and personnel to a task as opposed to the rocketry rolls which were very specifically about the overall progress of the program (also fitting them into the graph would be awkward and I don't want to have to keep messing around with it lol).
[4] The Hydrogen Engine Program and RLA-Interplanetary rolls have also been ignored due to being separate programs with their own entries in the project list.
[5] If you look at the graph, the dice rolls appear to form an "M", which is clearly an omen promising continued success for the MNKh (especially topical in light of how the political situation has caught fire and exploded yet again lmao).
In honor of Kosygin's retirement (first GenSec to do so on his own terms btw), I have compiled an overview of Kosygin's politics dice. The spreadsheet I used to track and calculate everything (including a list of sources) can be found at the bottom of this post (spoilered for size), but to summarize:
Kosygin has concluded his tenure with an average of 58.06 on 17 dice, at the 85.76th percentile of rolls (that is, 85.76% of outcomes of 17d100 are worse than what Kosygin managed).
Kosygin has remained in the top 85% of rolls for his entire tenure, and has remained above the 90th percentile for 13 out of 17 rolls and 15 out of 19 turns [3], including an uninterrupted 14-turn run from 1958H1 to 1964H2 (which was also when Voz got fired lol). His overall performance has been shockingly and consistently excellent, with even the RLA spending a few turns at low percentiles before rocketing up to the high 90s (albeit the RLA went up and stabilized there, whereas Kosygin started high and slowly slipped downwards over time).
His overall highest point was on Turn 68, reaching the 99.28th percentile for 6d100 (better than the RLA's, which was 98.89 on 12d100). The highest individual roll occurred on (naturally) Turn 67 with a nat 100 (same turn as the RLA nat 100 lol), and the highest average was reached on Turn 61 with a 94 on 1d100.
His overall lowest point was on Turn 78, reaching the 82.91 percentile for 16d100. The lowest individual roll occurred on Turn 71 with a 9 (worse than the RLA's, which was a 17 on Turn 76), and the lowest average was reached on Turn 78 with a 57.44 on 16d100.
I've also composed a graph based on the data, to help visualize things:
Additional Notes:
[1] I wasn't actually sure how the Turn 61 rolls were interpreted so I just asked Blackstar on the discord lol, and she said 94 so that's what gets recorded in the spreadsheet.
[2] Turn 62 was rolled according to approximate position on a 5-step left-right spectrum instead of by faction, so the recorded value is the die rolled for the centrist position.
[3] The interior dice for turns 63 and 64 were rolled by ministry instead of by faction, so no roll has been recorded for those turns. All values are carried over from Turn 62.
[4] I have no idea what is going on with the rolls for Turns 65 and 66, I extrapolated backwards from Turn 67 which I know for a fact was rolled by faction but they could totally have been rolled by ministry like Turns 63 and 64.
[5] This analysis focuses exclusively on the per-turn internal dice and excludes other politics dice such as foreign policy dice (e.g. the Vietnam rolls which did a lot to save his career lol) and the Kosygin-aligned SupSov-controlled bureau actions during the 8th Plan.
