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The Long Night Part One: Embers in the Dusk: A Planetary Governor Quest (43k) Complete Sequel Up
- Thread starter Durin
- Start date
And give a +10 to Tranth's related research rolls. Which is no small thing considering the difficulties we are up against.
Thank you. Will need to rethink Dwarf Land.
Shard
One and Many
- Location
- Malaysia
Mathematics error here.
42=/= 1+2+23+37
It should be 'sixty-three' who passed, from this paragraph.
HanEmpire
Delicious
There aren't any, the reason being that none of them produce enough psykers to warrant the investment.
@durin: On that front;
1) has anyone on the High or Low Council expressed nervousness at the insane rate of psyker births on Avernus?
2) what does Klovis-Ultan think about the psyker-issue?
3) has either of the other Inquisitors said anything?
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- Location
- Alice Springs, Australia
1. Yes there is a good degree of nervousness but the fact that Saint Lin is from Avernus helps calm them down
2. He views it as a great asset and a major danger
3. Not that you known of
ebolasos
Hiiii please be my friend!
- Location
- Down under
To many, that kind of shit requires a planet full of sacafices.
- Location
- Germany
Depends on the size. Throwing one planet in a warpstorm could theoretically be done by our current number (+ some sacrifices and the will of the dark gods). But removing one before it calms down is almost impossible. Throwing energy at the warp usually only makes things worse, except on a very small scale, like closing a single portal.
And the Galaxy-wide storm couldn't be calmed by anything except time. I suspect even if the newborn Ynnead threw all his power at the problem it would have failed.
And the Galaxy-wide storm couldn't be calmed by anything except time. I suspect even if the newborn Ynnead threw all his power at the problem it would have failed.
Shard
One and Many
- Location
- Malaysia
Hmm.
Psyker statistics (Counting only discovered psykers):
Turn 57: 18747 - 105 - 2479 +22 +244 +186= 16615 (?% Growth)
Turn 58: 21032 - 80 - 2603 + 25 +224 + 42 +107 = 18747 (12.8% Growth)
Turn 59: 24541 + 25 + 224 +149 -154+26-3779 = 21032 (12.2% Growth)
Turn 60: 24,541 (16.7% Growth)
Turn 61: 24541+82+4515-352-25-196 = 28565 (16.4% growth)
Assuming a growth trend rate of 15% for the next two decades or so...
We should expect to start having psyker population problems (again) in 15/16 years time (12% - 19 Years, 13% - 17/18 Years, 14% - 16/17 Years, 15% - 15/16 Years , 16% - 14/15 Years, 17% - 13/14 Years) when population exceeds the upgraded capacity of 250,000. Of note, UU's upgrade has 4 more turns to go. I think we should go about upgrading UU to a Minor City in 6 or so years, to pre-empt population troubles.
I suspect that if we were to hunting to find minor/major psykers (We should. The earlier we train them, the more likely they are to pass. In theory. Also we should get less chaos psykers. Goodness if we get a Beta-level chaos psyker..), we'll have population pressures 2 turns or so sooner.
EDITS: More data!
Psyker statistics (Counting only discovered psykers):
Turn 57: 18747 - 105 - 2479 +22 +244 +186= 16615 (?% Growth)
Turn 58: 21032 - 80 - 2603 + 25 +224 + 42 +107 = 18747 (12.8% Growth)
Turn 59: 24541 + 25 + 224 +149 -154+26-3779 = 21032 (12.2% Growth)
Turn 60: 24,541 (16.7% Growth)
Turn 61: 24541+82+4515-352-25-196 = 28565 (16.4% growth)
Assuming a growth trend rate of 15% for the next two decades or so...
We should expect to start having psyker population problems (again) in 15/16 years time (12% - 19 Years, 13% - 17/18 Years, 14% - 16/17 Years, 15% - 15/16 Years , 16% - 14/15 Years, 17% - 13/14 Years) when population exceeds the upgraded capacity of 250,000. Of note, UU's upgrade has 4 more turns to go. I think we should go about upgrading UU to a Minor City in 6 or so years, to pre-empt population troubles.
I suspect that if we were to hunting to find minor/major psykers (We should. The earlier we train them, the more likely they are to pass. In theory. Also we should get less chaos psykers. Goodness if we get a Beta-level chaos psyker..), we'll have population pressures 2 turns or so sooner.
EDITS: More data!
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Hunting for them is literally the primary point behind the Psyker and Witch Hunters. Actually fighting rogue/chaotic Psykers is the 1% terror to the 99% of their usual beat. Once the current expansions are finished, we will be as ahead of the curve as we can be outside of truly obscene measures.
Shard
One and Many
- Location
- Malaysia
I'm of the opinion... that there might not be enough Witch Hunters. Though, the problem, if it exists, is self-fixing, given that our psyker growth rate has been consistently higher than 10% over the past 5 years, and more than 10% higher than Avernus' population growth rate in any case.
Some more speculation via statistics:
Growth Rate (%), Avernus, Turns 55-61: 0.61%, 2.03%, 1.34%, 0.91%, 0.91%, 2.02%, 2.43%
Notably all in the period when our military was hit pretty hard. If 2% is our average growth...
If I took Psyker Growth as 14%, then..
Pop, Avernus, Turn 61: 3,978,492,195
Pop, Avernus (Psyker), Turn 61: 28565 (0.00000717985% of population)
1.14/1.02 = 1.1176 -> 11.7% increase in psyker %, relative to population, per year.
If I were to extrapolate this...
Over the next decade, psyker prevelence should rise to 0.00002182627% of the population, and over 2 decades, 0.00011%, 3 decades, 0.0005586%, 4, 0.002826%, 5, 0.00859%, 6, 0.026%, 7, 0.132%, 8, 0.4%, 9, 1.22%.
Of course, circumstances will likely invalidate my calculations. But it suggests that by the end of this century, we should be ready to have a psyker-based society.
EDIT: @durin, could Jane, Ridcully and/or Xavier give us an estimate of the prevalence of undiscovered psykers?
How likely it is, year on year, of an undiscovered major psyker going chaotic?
Minor psykers?
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As a side note, I am finished with my current push to cleanup/update my codexi. The big things I have left to do are nail down Dorf Land's weapon availability and representing the Pre-Fab Forts. The later I am perfectly willing to drop, considering that the only game that could do it justice is Epic. For sake of thoroughness, I will include a list of areas that I'm not going to bother with in the Master document.
- Location
- Australia
The last time we got a Chaos Beta psyker (a pyromancer), Xavier killed it with its own warp fire. That's the psychic equivalent of "stop hitting yourself". Anything less than an Alpha-level is a non-issue as far as Chaos psykers go.
- Location
- Alice Springs, Australia
except for the fact that a beta level may kill tens of millions of your men, and with a crit may even take out Xavier
- Location
- Australia
We have reserves.
Oh, that's actually important. We should send Tamia with him as backup.
Well Styr continues to be mildly disappointing an as heir even if she will be a decent commander. When are Rotbart and Freya trying for another child?
- Location
- Alice Springs, Australia
After Syr reaches 18
She's going to be a top notch Military leader, and worst case she can fall back on Henry's successor for Admin savings. She doesn't have to fight off our background malus to martial, so she's only 1 behind us there. Her base Admin will be only 3 behind us. The rest of he base stats are on par or better than ours.
For sake of accuracy, our original base stats were this
Martial 24
Intrigue 15
Admin 18
Learning 11
Piety 12
Diplo 8
Combat 14
For a total of 104. Minus the average, that leaves us with 34 points. Syr will have 46.
Her base stat when she come of age will be 12 points higher that us when were were a century old.
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And in CK having an heir which which is at best on par with your current character and lesser in may areas is mildly disappointing.
We rolled a double crit on Martial. We're lucky she has a 19. durin rolls physical die.
So we just keep trying until we get lucky. The PC has centuries ahead of him...