- Location
- United States
Accuracy about what? Also, can we see any of the math?
[Mafia] A Murder of Crows
- Thread starter InterstellarHobo
- Start date
- Mafia
-
- Tags
- mafia
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
There is a non-Crow within NSMS and ItzNarcotic.
I'm close to making a decision about whether I explain myself or not at this point so let me think everything through one more time before I get back to you on that.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
Yeah fuck it, me being right about this means I'm probably dead in the water anyway, so I might as well get this info out there while I can.
I want to power play against these guys since I've been given a golden opportunity to do so, as our deal with Wiadi *only* applied to Wiadi.
NSMS is only being half-truthful, as I stole a Shiny Thing from him (it was stolen again afterward). This makes the NSMS/ItzNarcotic grouping a guaranteed Crow/Jackdaw combination, as both would have to had started the Night with a Shiny Thing in order for me to succeed in stealing a Shiny Thing from NSMS. This means that the solve is either Crow!NSMS and Jackdaw!ItzNarcotic, or the other way around.
I want to power play against these guys since I've been given a golden opportunity to do so, as our deal with Wiadi *only* applied to Wiadi.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
And, if NSMS is lying and did steal a Shiny Thing successfully, then that makes him either Magpie or Raven anyway, so either way this is a good kill.
- Location
- Academy City
- Pronouns
- They
Could this be the magpie's new skill?
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
No, I checked with Hobo about it, and a Magpie donation would lead to you finding a Shiny Thing in your own nest, rather than successfully stealing from someone else's.
- Location
- United States
- Pronouns
- He/Him
Okay interesting, though you miss that NSMS could just be lying about failing a steal... and I see there is a second post about just this.
So you think Jackdaws are more of a threat then Magpie at this moment? Interested in the reasoning for such a focus.
Bad QT don't make arguments for other players defenses... you know this.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
The only fold in this is whether the Magpie would steal *and* donate on the same Night, which I have to say I believe is pretty improbable, considering our anti-Magpie plans basically went up in smoke once they gained their new ability. . . and I have plenty reason to believe that NSMS would be transparent about having been donated a Shiny Thing if it were immediately stolen from him anyway.
- Location
- Academy City
- Pronouns
- They
If a shiny thing is donated and then stolen, the person who has it donated to them does not get informed.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
The Jackdaws are absolutely more of a threat right now, considering both of them have kill power, and we've already engaged in a deal with one of them. They hold significantly more power than any other faction at this very moment.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
Fucking hell this game and its wonky mechanics are going to be the end of me.
This lowers my confidence level from 99.9% to like 90% though, all things considered. I feel like a lot has to happen for this exact scanario to dictate that both NSMS and ItzNarcotic are Crows.
- Location
- Academy City
- Pronouns
- They
I do think you have a good point about it being unlikely though.
[X] Lynch NSMS
If a raven wants to claim them, killing ravens is not my priority today, but otherwise I'm willing to go along with this lynch.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
Precisely why I am trying to play against the second Jackdaw right now.
If NSMS flips Crow, the odds of ItzNarcotic flipping Jackdaw are significantly higher, given our circumstances.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
I'll second this. If he is claimed, I want ItzNarcotic dead Today.
- Location
- Academy City
- Pronouns
- They
I robbed terrabrand night 1. I didn't claim it yet because I had no proof of it it didn't seem to get us any extra info.
Do you mean hardclaim with who you robbed or is the result as ive already done what you want.
- Location
- United States
- Pronouns
- He/Him
Okay, I may have not considered the modkills in my mental focus of the situation, previous math made me think it was still okay if not great to miss a jackdaw today... I will try and do some reading given a change in focus.
Failed to rob 1k.
Failed to rob 1k.
CTRosen
Rock Man
- Location
- Northwest PA
- Pronouns
- He/Him
Both would be preferrable at this point, since it's rather irrelevant to the current game state. It can be used for further solving now.