Bleh. Drained yesterday, busy today, and still not my best. Right, lets see if I can actually say something of value.
Well if you want to look at it that way, do seem to have multiple factions. And if you agree with the 3 v 3 v 19 hypothesis we should have three scum left in two factions and it
would make sense for the scum to be pretty tough and power role-y.
I don't think I buy that however. And certainly not all three of them. It's just too...
neat.
What I do buy is that my gut has thought NSMS looked just slightly scummy for a while.
My brain's still shot, so I'll look at the night logs:
Heal: TPK, Nanimani, Nanimani, Nani?, Joebobjoe(RBed)
"COW!"ed: Alpha Delta, chron, bondo, nictis, NSMS
Watched: GatS(Ellf), Chron(Erl), ???, ???, DEAD
Autopsied: ???, ???, ???, ???, DEAD
Investigated: ???,???,???,???,???
And from there unpack the kill logs assuming we're in a 3v3vT:
MrEgret:
Lynched Day 1
DexTraxWex:
Slaughtered Night 1
God and the Snake:
Savaged Night 1
Ellf :
Lynched Day 2
Bahn:
Slaughtered Night 2
Azrael:
Bludgeoned Night 2
Pawn Lelouch:
Poisoned Night 2
Dirk93:
Lynched Day 3
AlphaDelta:
Slaughtered Night 3
TehChron:
Lynched Day 4
Nictis:
Slaughtered Night 4
TPK:
Disassembled Night 4
Nanimani:
Poisoned Night 4
tankdrop24:
Lynched Day 5
crystalwatcher:
Slaughtered Night 5
So, we're assuming our poisoner basically a protection breaker that acts every other night:
Poison is red because we're not going to have four killing factions and it picks up where Ellf leaves off. Plus it occurs alongside the very cultish bludgeon kill.
Bludgeon is cult suspect blue. Disassemble is Process of Elimination Blue, for appearing as the same time as everyone else (and being the last cultist standing.)
And JBJ's in purple, because of differentiation reasons and because it's obvious is that Joebobjoe is not friends with anybody else on this list. He's been pretty busy. (Take that how you will.
)
NSMS and Erl have
also been pretty busy. They clearly saved TPK/blocked Alpha on night one and saved Nanimani/blocked Khawy on night three.
As far as poison goes there's a discrepancy however: If we have a 3v3vT then someone
should have taken over for our poisoner on their off day. Red team's been blocked to hell and back, but their membership is pretty intact.
We can partially account for this by saying that NSMS stopped someone day three when both sides piled up onto Nanimani (or that Khawy was scum all along and both Erl
and NSMS had a very good day) but we run into a problem. What happened on night five? Even in the event that one of the factions decided to play mindgames and hold off for a day,
both doing so is... highly unlikely. We can account for losing one to Erl, ...but that blocks NSMS and it means our ostensible doctor is gone.
Which is perfectly reasonable, if he's scum and was never the doctor at all. If there's another doctor, then all the above applies, but there's still someone who could have accounted for the final night 5 kill.
So yeah, I think the course is clear:
[] Hang NSMS
