Chapter 34
Eastern Europe in the Age of Discovery
Eastern Europe, from the Balkans to the Baltic, saw less immediate changes in the aftermath of Constantinople's rediscovery. Polish nobles- if one considers Poland 'Eastern' European -cared not one bit for Constantinople. A peasant in Livonia couldn't even tell you where Constantinople once was, and no amount of shared religion would make it matter more than their next harvest. Even the leadership of these states often showed little real reaction, nor interest, beyond the chance to rub it in the Turk's face. What difference did Constantinople surviving, an impossibly far distance away, matter to an Estonian count? This was not Western Europe, where colonialism necessitated interest in the Roman state in Arcadia.
The exceptions to the rule were, of course, those leaders with a vested interest in Ottoman weakness. The king of Hungary, the Khan of Crimea, the Prince of Wallachia and more. That is not to say these states were without issues of their own. Wallachia would never be a nation with a large population. Hungary was torn in multiple directions and with interests ranging away from the Balkans. Crimea warily watched Muscovy to her north.
Nonetheless, these states and their rulers keenly watched the news of Constantinople. Not for any real interest in the Queen of Cities, save perhaps in Muscovy, but for the impact it would have on the Ottoman Empire.
- The Age of Discovery - Eastern Europe, First Aired, 2003
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While the Ottoman Sultan wrestled with self-doubt, before eventually making one of the most famous speeches in history, the news of Constantinople's survival spread throughout Eastern Europe. Perhaps unsurprisingly, it was met with even more doubt than it had been in Western Europe, outside of Greece. It was certainly true that Wallachians or Hungarians or Serbians were every bit as doubtful of the Carthage Myth as the Greeks had been. While the idea of the Turk lying was easy to believe, the idea of Constantinople surviving was much harder to swallow. Especially it being given a new Eden.
For good reason, of course, because 'doubting the Turks' and 'Constantinople was given a promised land by God' were not mutually exclusive.
Yet, as it became apparent it was true- both from word out of the West and from the Turks believing it -this viewpoint gradually began to shift. At least in the halls of power in Târgoviște, Buda, Kraków and Bağçasaray.
[1] For in the seats of power of the various states around the Ottoman Empire, pragmatism began to win out. Even the most skeptical of rulers or nobles could see the benefit in believing the story of Constantinople's miraculous survival in Arcadia. What did it matter if the King of Poland, as an example, personally believed the stories? The Sultan of the Ottomans clearly did, and if he believed the story, then the story could be used against him.
This logic began to prevail, as hungry eyes turned on the stumbling Ottoman state. It was fortunate for the Turks that their Sultan was as brilliant a man as he was, and that the Ottoman Empire's enemies were not positioned to take immediate advantage. For all the hungry looks, for all the scheming and planning, the plain fact remained that the Christian powers- and the Crimean Khanate -lacked in the ability to act on their desires.
The reasons for this fact varied, depending on which particular state one is talking about. Take Wallachia, as a prime example.
Few states were as firm enemies of the Turk as the Wallachians.
[2] Vlad the Great had been an implacable foe of the Ottoman Empire even
before he had slain Mehmed in personal combat. In the aftermath of that act, the mutual hatred on both sides became a defining trait of their relationship. Wallachia had often jumped in when the Ottomans struggled through their various civil conflicts, chipping away at the lands of the Bulgarians all the while. This had never once reached the level of 'existential threat', nor of 'an army of Wallachians marching on Istanbul'. However, the Wallachians had gradually established themselves in their heartland, as well as the northern Bulgarian lands.
The border country between the two states was often subject to raids, by either party, but it had largely stabilized by the time Suleiman came to power. This remained true, even as the Ottomans withdrew in on themselves in the aftermath of Constantinople's return to the world stage.
The Wallachian Prince, Vladislav III, is recorded as dearly wishing he could march on Istanbul. However, this was an impossible dream for a number of reasons. The most important simply being that Wallachia lacked the ability to do so. The Wallachians remained fine warriors, some of the best in the Balkans, but there were never that many of them. Wallachia was a land of hardy people, yet not a land of
many people. Even the addition of many Bulgarians did not change this simple calculus. The Wallachians could defend their lands ably. They could raid the border country. But they could not, alone, march on Istanbul.
It was with this calculus in mind, that Vladislav looked to his south and pondered. The mutual hatred between Wallachia and the Ottomans made it a given that the Wallachians would try to take advantage of any weakness. The question became, in this instance,
how to take advantage? Chip away at the border? Claim more Bulgarian lands in the hopes that Suleiman would prove too distracted?
In the end, the Wallachians did not act. They looked to their neighbors, in the hope that one or more would join any hypothetical conflict. This was a vain hope. One need only look at Hungary, as a further example to understand why.
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The Kingdom of Hungary held the potential to become the most powerful state in the Balkans, rivaled only by the Turks themselves. Hungary was a rich and populous land, stretching from the border of the Holy Roman Empire, to the northern territory of the Ottoman Empire in the South. The Hungarians had proven every bit as fierce of warriors as the Wallachians, in spite of the brutal defeat in the Crusade of Varna. Under first John Hunyadi and then his son, Matthias Corvinus, the Hungarians had pushed the Ottomans back and secured their lands. For a time, even, the Hungarians occupied Vienna and laid claim to the throne of Bohemia.
This glorious time had vanished, by the time Suleiman came to the throne in Istanbul.
King Matthias had died in 1495, with only one legitimate heir to his throne, in a young boy named John.
[3] This boy would not, as it turned out, be anything near the equal of the grandfather he had been named for. John, the first of his name to directly rule as King of Hungary, was by no means a failure of a King. He was a perfectly adequate ruler, with no real strengths, nor any serious flaws. Had Hungary been any other state, this would have been perfectly fine and secured his line for the future.
However, his father's great talents would prove the bane of John's rule. With the Hungarians compelled to return to their core lands and give up their claim to Bohemia and occupation of Vienna, the Holy Roman Empire looked with greatly annoyed eyes on the young ruler of Buda. The Archduke of Austria, Leopold I, held his own designs on the Hungarian throne. Borne out of a desire for vengeance for the occupation of Vienna, and equal desire to absorb the rich Hungarian lands, Leopold would constantly put pressure on John. More than one border conflict would erupt between the Archduke- and Holy Roman Emperor, it must be said -and the King of Hungary.
These conflicts, in addition to civil unrest at home, kept all of John's attention. He was an able enough King to stamp down on dissent from ambitious nobility, but not to defeat Leopold decisively, nor deny his claim to the Hungarian throne. This sapped the strength of Hungary, and the wealth of the Hungarian throne, and kept most of Buda's attention focused in the North. Just enough money and troops were spared to keep a wary eye on the Turk and to keep Hungary's Serbian vassals in line, but no more than that.
As a direct result, while King John took note of Constantinople's survival and began to see ways to work it to his advantage, he was not able to act. Not directly and certainly not enough to please Vladislav's envoys, even ignoring that Wallachia and Hungary had border disputes of their own in relation to Transylvania.
Hungary, plain and simple, lacked the means to attack the Ottomans without critically weakening the border with the Holy Roman Empire. Not even in the face of such a golden opportunity as was presented by Constantinople's return.
That simply left two major powers that could, hypothetically, have made moves on the Ottoman Empire. From Eastern Europe, at any rate.
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Of the two, the Kingdom of Poland and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania was by far the larger and more powerful. While technically still two different crowns, one man wore both, even if the lands of Poland and Lithuania had yet to be formally unified. That man was, in 1530, Sigismund I of the Jagiellon Dynasty. He was a shrewd ruler, albeit one who was rapidly approaching the twilight years of his long life.
Perhaps more importantly, he was a man who was far more interested in consolidating his rule, and not in going off on adventures in the Balkans.
While the court in Kraków watched events to their south with great interest, this would prove to go nowhere. Neither Poland, nor Lithuania, bordered the Ottoman Empire. Even their own direct southern neighbor, the rowdy Moldavia, did not border the Turkish lands. Wallachia, the eternal enemy of Istanbul, had long blocked Moldavian ambitions in that direction. The sister principalities often came to blows with one another, though Wallachia would always come out the ultimate victor. The resultant weakening of the Moldavian state left it vulnerable to exploitation from the north.
With the result that, in 1530, Moldavia was a surly subject of the Polish crown. One that could not, at all, act towards the South.
Sigismund, for his part, proved supremely uninterested in warring with Suleiman. He saw much to risk, with little to gain. The only way for Polish and Lithuanian forces to march on Ottoman lands was to either construct a formidable fleet, or march overland through Wallachia. And while Vladislav would have certainly appreciated Polish military might supporting his own forces, Sigismund did not see any value in such an endeavor.
The Ottomans were no existential threat to Polish fortune. Supporting Wallachia gained nothing for the Jagiellon crown, save for surly Moldavians growing ever more restless. What reason did Sigismund have to support Vladislav, save for religious fervor? It was hardly likely that the Wallachian Prince would subordinate himself to Polish rule in exchange for the aid.
As such, Poland and Lithuania watched events unfolding in Suleiman's realm with interest yet made no moves to influence it. For better or worse.
The same could not be said for the other power that could, hypothetically, have moved on the Ottomans in that moment. That being the Crimean Khanate, the sole Islamic power in what was generally considered 'Eastern Europe'.
Crimea, while a pale shadow of the heights of its ancestors, remained a formidable power in its own right. From a base in the namesake peninsula, the Khanate ruled the steppes to their north and east. Their border stretched from the southern reaches of Lithuanian lands, to Circassia. While not the most populous or powerful state in the world, the Crimean Khans could be content in ruling a firm and strong heartland.
After, of course, a civil war that had ended roughly when Mehmed fought his final battle with Vlad the Great.
In the aftermath of that civil war, Crimea had consolidated into a state that resisted all foreign incursions. Be they from the Christians to the north, or from the Turks to the South. Crimea stood largely alone, with a foreign policy that played off all those around. One year, the Khans may pay tribute to the Polish Kings. The next, they could send mercenaries and gold coin to the court of Istanbul. Crimea made no major expansive moves, and simply played those around them off against each other.
This did, often, lead to punitive raids from annoyed neighbors. The Tatars proved quite adept at throwing these back, on the strength of their cavalry and the money they brought in as a window between the Slavic steppe, and the Black Sea trade. It was largely for this reason, in fact, that the Khans allowed both Genoan colonies and the tiny Principality of Theodoro to endure in Crimea. These little Christian enclaves provided a neutral trading ground and one that brought in far more money than would have been the case, had the Crimeans outright annexed these lands.
Everyone involved, from the Prince of Theodoro on down, knew the truth of course. Theodoro and the Genoan colonies were Crimean vassals, subject to the Khan in every way that mattered. Even if they weren't directly ruled from Bağçasaray, these Christian zones had no illusions of who held the reigns. Independent foreign policy was a polite fiction.
With all of this in mind, it is one of the great historic ironies that the Crimean Khanate held better relations with Poland and Lithuania, than it did with the Islamic Ottoman Empire. Part of this could be tied to the close relation between the ruling Giray Dynasty and Lithuania, one of the stranger relationships in that part of the world.
[4]
However, the truth of the matter was simply that the Crimean Khans remembered Mehmed looking towards intervening in their affairs. The Sultan had perished before he could, yet the signs had been there. Bayezid and his successors had, similarly, tried to use their shared religion as a reason to dictate terms to the weaker state. This had never been viewed favorably in Crimea and had strained relations with Istanbul. Never to the point of outright warfare, never to the point of ignoring the shared religion, but certainly to the point of the Crimeans looking more favorably to their north.
Though it is worth noting that the thriving Crimean slave trade remained fully in force, and this did strain relations with Poland and Lithuania at times.
In any event, the Crimeans were not in any position to truly take advantage of Suleiman's indecision. Militarily, that is. They were quite capable of resisting inroads to their own lands, but they lacked the naval power to strike at the Ottomans, even had the political will been present. Economically, they could flex their considerable influence on the Ottoman state, though Suleiman was skilled enough to work around this.
Nonetheless, the Crimeans still took full advantage of the indecision and issues in the Ottoman realm to secure their own interests for years to come. Many an Ottoman noble took Crimean gold in the 1530s, for example.
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Only one state remains to look at, in this glimpse at Eastern Europe in 1530. The state that had only recently reached its greatest peak, and the state that greedily looked at her neighbors.
Muscovy, the Grand Duchy and rising power of the Slavs.
The Muscovite state had been undergoing steady growth and expansion for many years, at that point. It had gradually subsumed other Slavic princedoms, as well as the Republic of Novgorod, once its great rival for rule. By 1530, Moscow had turned greedy eyes towards Lithuania and Crimea and had been gearing up for a war with the former. This rather effectively ground to a halt upon the arrival of news of Constantinople. Muscovy had, of course, the distinction of being one of two states where the Palaiologos family still ruled in Europe. By technicality, that is, as only in Montferrat did the Palaiologos family endure under that name.
However, through the marriage of Zoe Palaiologina to Ivan III, the family line had continued in Moscow as well. Indeed, her son Vasili III was the current ruler of the Grand Duchy when word of Constantinople arrived.
This news put Muscovy in something of a bind. There was absolutely no conceivable way for Moscow and Constantinople to interact, let alone form a meaningful relationship. However, even in those early days, there had already been some rumblings of Moscow being the successor to the Roman state. The 'Third Rome', as it were. Through the line of Zoe, a claim could have been made to a vacant throne, when it was generally believed that Constantinople was either destroyed or vanished in some other manner.
As could be expected, this belief was somewhat awkward now, with the realization that the City endured and had forged a new Empire.
It was this that led to the paralysis in the Muscovite court. Vasili was an old man, though his son Ivan was already showing signs of being incredibly ambitious. Some whispers began to take shape that Moscow could form a counter claim, based on Zoe's lineage, to the Roman throne. After all, word would eventually spread that the line of Alexios was descended from one of Constantine's brothers.
The same as Zoe, herself.
In fact, the line of Zoe and the line of Alexios could be considered direct rivals for the Throne of Constantinople.
[5] Thomas, Zoe's father, was the younger brother of Constantine and had been recognized as the legitimate claimant to the Roman throne in Europe. He had never been able to use that claim to any real effect, but it remained in place. While Zoe would not have been able to use the claim for herself, her children were another matter entirely. Especially as her line remained the only one of Thomas' children to remain in recorded history.
It remains one of the great historic ironies, in this regard, that Constantine never had children and- as a result -had left the throne to his nephew, Alexios. A child of another brother and a cousin of Zoe.
This would leave the ruler of Moscow, Vasili, as a cousin of Heraklonas. Of the same generation, in fact, considering Zoe and Alexios' relationship.
Of course, no one in Constantinople would ever take a Muscovite claim seriously. While the rulers may have been cousins, it had been Alexios' line that ruled in Constantinople. Zoe's line had fled the city and had no room to make such claims, to the Romans themselves. It would have been more likely for Demetrios and his children to take the throne, had something happened to Heraklonas and Leo.
Nonetheless, some in Moscow still whispered about it. For the moment, the argument remained mostly on if the rulers of Moscow should look to their Palaiologos legacy, or that of the Rurikids. It was enough, in combination with Vasili's advanced age, to curtail moves on Lithuania and leave Moscow nearly as paralyzed with indecision as Istanbul, in those hectic years. Vasili's young son, Ivan, would grow up with these whispers in his ears.
That is, however, a story for another time.
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Through all of this, Suleiman was given the chance to consolidate his rule and fortify the Ottoman Empire to any threats from the north. Threats that would, largely, fail to materialize. The same could not be said for the east and south, however.
Where Persian and Egyptian eyes greedily looked upon their weakened neighbor.
1. The capitals of Wallachia, Hungary, Poland and Crimea, respectively. These were the European states, if one considers the Crimean Khanate 'European', with the greatest interest in Ottoman affairs. The ones with the closest borders and the strongest relations, positive or negative, with Istanbul.
2. Wallachia and the Ottomans had a strong, mutual, disdain for one another. Outright hatred, in fact. The Ottomans remembered well that Vlad had slain Mehmed, curtailing their expansion at a critical juncture. And the Wallachians remembered well that the Ottomans dearly wished to destroy them for it. This mutual dislike would, more often than not, lead to border clashes between the two.
3. John had been a young man upon his father's death. A young man who, may or may not, have been an illegitimate son. If he was, his father had buried that quite well, and John would ascend to the Hungarian throne with relatively little issue. This process would soon become more difficult, though, with the conflicts with Austria. It was these conflicts that would define John's reign, not his own skills, or lack thereof.
4. The Giray dynasty had taken shelter in Lithuanian lands, at one point, and that relationship had endured. While the Crimeans and Lithuanians (and Poles) often had strained relations due to slave raids, it never completely collapsed. This led to one of the strangest relationships, between Christians and Islamic steppe raiders, that ever existed in European lands.
5. Zoe and Alexios were cousins, though they never met one another, as the former was born well after the latter. Nonetheless, the fact that they were first cousins remains notable, in regard to claims on the Roman throne. Had Constantine had children of his own, this would have never been in question. However, ambitious nobles could make a very realistic argument that Thomas- and through him, Zoe -had been the legitimate claimant to the throne in Europe. And Alexios, as a nephew of Constantine, had no better claim- save for living in Constantinople -than Zoe, a
niece of Constantine.
It was a weak claim, but one that could be pushed by certain kinds of people, nonetheless. Even if Vasili and Heraklonas, cousins of the same generation, never once met each other.
AN: HAAAAAAH
This one fought us. Hard. Took way longer than we wanted, and way more work. Hopefully it still turned out well enough, but by no means are we entirely satisfied with it. Even with little in-jokes like the 'hey, Vasili and Heraklonas are actually second cousins' thing. Fun little historical irony, there.
In any event, hopefully this worked well enough, delay or no delay. One more update on this side of the world, to look at Persia/Mamlukes/North Africa. Then back to Arcadia, to look at the Maya...and then the Inca, soon enough. Fun.