We fucked up. Made a hail mary attempt to get all our ducks lined up in a neat little row to knock down and win the throne, without even the diplomacy stat raise to make it easier. Predictably between all the things we asked for, we ended up asking for things some people were in no way willing to agree to and left ourselves very badly positioned, so we need to suggest an option that will appeal to Viserys's nature and goals rather than the one that's more to our liking. We lack the backing to push a more convenient wife to be than Tyrell.
I don't think we screwed up. We made a play for the big win, lining up all our ducks in a row. It didn't work out, but it didn't cost us anything. Otto left with a higher opinion of us. Corlys left thinking that we appreciate the power of his House and desired an alliance with him
Yes, the deal didn't actually happen, but we had no losses, and a few small gains out of it.
On this vote I feel we ought to focus on our relationship with Viserys rather than make a strong play for a specific outcome. That said, Victaria Tyrell isn't a bad option. And I'm hoping from the way it's phrased that we will use the soft sell approach instead of leaning heavily on our father.
So even if the Tyrell option wins, I think we can put this down as just a missed opportunity to bond more with our father. I doubt it will offend him greatly that we put forth such an alternative.
Though I suspect the outcome may not be what we wish. I think this makes it more likely that Alicent is the match, or that she at least becomes his mistress.
I think that window sailed when team let's marry him to a child for gain with delay slightly in his favor but more in ours won. I tried for the nice way, and if conciliation had won we'd have enough backing to discuss things with him and find a match to his tastes, and maybe even delay the marriage slightly, but we aren't in a position to try something fancy again. We've lost all backing and can only manage a suggestion.
I don't get that impression at all. We pushed for a resolution that addressed the issue of the Velaryon dragons. That's a hard headed and unemotional approach that worked best for dealing with Otto and Corlys, and cost us nothing that I see.
That didn't work out, so it seems fine to me to instead just give our father moral support. I don't see why our vote on how to talk to our father is confined by the fact Otto and Corlys both rejected our other offer.
In that regard I imagine that Viserys might be upset by a suggestion that he should delay marrying all together or choose the Vypren, and maybe the Dornish, as those would be pretty easy to see as us choosing poor matches for him in order to defend our succession, but a Tyrell is a pretty good match that doesn't seem like it'd make us look too self interested. He might even appreciate it for offering him a decent alternative to marrying a young girl like Laena, given he seemed to appreciate Lyonel being able to make him a suggestion.
Yes, which is why I don't find the Tyrell match that problematic to suggest. I do think the Dornish match could also work, as it shows a focus on foreign matters and ambition to combat the Triarchy. Viserys might disapprove, but he'd probably put it down as the ambitions of the young. I'd prefer a write in where we simply offer all three alternatives we have, and
maybe express a selfish desire to not have it be Alicent, but whatever. This is not a disaster. Just as it was not a disaster that we made a proposal that Otto and Corlys rejected earlier.
If asked about it by Viserys we can honestly point out that we saw the need for a Velaryon match, but wanted to buy our father time to grieve, and also ensure a future match between our child and Laena's could prevent any future dynastic disputes. None of these motives are vile or shameful. They show a daughter that loves her father, her House, and has the forethought to try and find a solution that gratifies everyone. It's exactly the kind of thinking that Viserys would appreciate. Since Corlys rejected the offer, we had to find an alternative option, hence the Tyrell suggestion.
None of this is shameful or something we need to keep secret. For Otto the same explanation works. Even if he does not like the idea of a Tyrell match, it's consistent with what we said earlier. For Corlys we just point out that he rejected our offer to support Laena as a match, he hardly has grounds to complain that we then suggested alternatives when he rejected us. He might be upset, but Rhaenys will certainly approve that we didn't continue trying to appease Corlys when he rejected the offer. I mean, personally she might prefer that we continue to give her house preference, but as a potential future Queen she'll approve of us showing some spine. She'll remain open to a future agreement with us, as will Corlys eventually as well. We didn't burn any bridges last turn.
The last winning plan explicitly tried to balance Viserys happiness and political realities against each other and I'm going to work with that instead of pivoting to soulless scheming.
While I agree that a more open conversation with our father would be best, I also don't feel that we are soullessly scheming here. Suggesting the Tyrell match as an alternative isn't that bad a response. It shows we are thinking about the realm and able to offer ideas. I'd prefer to do it more explicitly, listing all alternatives we found available, but it's okay to just suggest the Tyrell I think. Similarly, I don't feel there is anything to "confess" in our conversations with Otto and Corlys. There is nothing shameful in our offer to Corlys, or our reasoning to Otto.
No, not even the council seat. Obviously we need to improve our standing if we are to secure our position as heir, which is what we ought to be doing. A good heir does that. It's one of the main knocks against Rhaenyra in canon that she didn't do enough to secure her position as heir. And securing the support from Corlys for a move like that is simply good groundwork. Obviously any rivals (which a Laena match could easily turn the Velaryons into) might oppose us getting a council seat. Acting early to prevent that is not a bad idea.
Here's a less reasonable demand. Drop the nonsense about Rhaenyra having his and their house's best interest in mind and own up to Rhaenyra believing she could come to an arrangement with Corlys which would at least spare Viserys marrying Laena at the age of ten while also giving herself a chance to strengthen her own claim to the throne but she over estimated herself and it all fell apart, but she's sorry and want's to help him make things right if he'll only help her figure out how. That's a write in I could actually stomach.
But that
is having his and their house's best interests at heart. Establishing a strong support base for herself as heir is looking out for their house's interests. Naturally the interests of a House and it's heir coincide quite a bit. It's a modern thought process to think otherwise.
Come to think of it, I wonder how someone like Jason Lannister ended up married to a Visenya reborn esque character like Johanna to begin with. It's a bit of a suprising match, at least given how he's portrayed in the show.
Books too, he had multiple bastards with his favorite mistress. My guess is that Jason Lannister's nature is part of what made Johanna Westerling into such a character. I also don't think Johanna was very Visenya like. She wore mail to give her men courage agaisnt the ironborn, but I don't think that means she was a warrior. More likely it was a shaming tactic. "Are you men so cowardly that a woman has to don mail and fight to protect you?" Such things tended to occur in the Winter of Widows.