So... let's lay out what we know.
Someone is trying to kill Otomo-sama. Presumably because
they hate him they don't want him to either A) do his job, or B) discover something. This means that they have something to hide. They are also hiding their identity, so it's not a frame job - they don't want to be known.
-I feel safe in writing off the Phoenix and Dragon here based off of what we know about them.
-Similarly, the Unicorn.
-The Crab don't do assassination, period. The Kuni Witch Hunters would just walk up to you and murder you, and they're the only real family that would do this.
-The Lion are
ridiculously touchy about their honor. The only people who willingly sacrifice it with any regularity are the Ikoma's Lion Shadows, but this would have to be a rogue agent as far as I can tell, as they gain nothing from this man's death that I can see. I also don't see why this would be Ginwei, and his archery is shit with his bad Reflexes so realistically he can't make this shot
-The Mantis would need a similarly rogue agent here, or for the Tsuruchi to be absolutely bonkers.
-I highly doubt our own lord is trying to get our charge shot on our watch, as we're
very important to this mission; I feel safe in writing off the Scorpion.
-It could be some spillover from The Crane Situation (this is quite possible, and I can see a Daidoji Harrier doing this maybe), but this would mean things are running
really deep and in ways we don't expect because they got shit to hide;
-Or it's an outside agent. Which leaves the usual suspects of angry commoners, cultists, or Kolat. Kolat seems kinda likely if we continue thinking that Pale Oak has an in with them.
Going over our options...
-We can take an arrow to the
knee face, probably, as unless this is a Tsuruchi the arrow isn't likely to do too much damage. They don't generally. But if they're going after an Imperial and they want the Samurai dead (as opposed to a scare hit for intimidation) then they want insurance. Insurance means poison. Poison means Earth Rolls.
We have
terrible Earth.
So while we could survive ~6k2 fairly easily and have the Kitsu patch us up, if we want to chase this sumbitch down I'd rather we not do it with poison and Wound Penalties slowing us.
-Throwing a commoner in kinda closes off a lot of options for us. I don't like that.
-Throwing the Otomo is
also an option but I doubt he'd appreciate it so
I really just want to see what total options we have here before we do anything, though our next step is almost certainly going to be running this man down.
.. which will need Athletics rolls, likely. And we have no points in that. Which means we burn Void. Or, if we're really wanting to bring this person in (they're probably expendable so it won't be the
greatest but still nice) we could go for the Honor Roll. I can see that as an option. But overall the situation is essentially:
Fuck.