Well no, because Coil can only model things he actually knows how to do. He's rolling a d1000 trying to get a 1 but he automatically adds +100 to every roll because he doesn't know how into surgery on his own skull.
I'm going to point out that the only way you have a point of any relevance is if we implicitly accept that it's impossible for Coil to learn adequate self-surgery by trial and error.
I will in turn extend this to say that this premise is obviously nonsense, because humanity would never have figured out surgery if it was impossible to learn by trial and error.
In general, most every elite, expert skill we teach was first developed by throwing a zillion people at the problem who all fucked up a whole bunch and then the handful of successes were passed on to future generations as "Hey, this works. (Also, don't do the million trillion things that don't work. We know they don't work. We've suffered those failures already)" The elite, expert skills we
discourage people with Don't Try This At Home, Kids tend to be the ones where you, as an individual, experimenting is very dangerous and liable to kill yourself or others or cause some other form of severe/problematic damage not worth the
theoretical payoff. (That is, the risk is high, and the payoff doesn't justify the risk)
Coil's power obviates the risks of trial and error learning for mechanical tasks, and in this case it's quite literally Do Or Die.
So, no. You can up the
size of the metaphorical die all you like (I originally wrote d100, and then decided that it seemed a drastic underestimation of the difficulty involved), but operating from the premise that it is
impossible for Coil to luck into the right answer is... no.
This was just so predictable though. She made sure to leave him out of sight for a long time, and tell him exactly what her precautions were, and that is on top of even keeping him alive in the first place. It's freaking coil, cmon. You could have had him escape in a cool way (trickster?) despite sane precautions.
Having grown up around military culture, I can tell you with great certainty that 99% of the time, when things go wrong it's not because the enemy did something astoundingly clever and brilliant.
It's because one of the grunts was asleep.
Somebody misplaced the Important Thing.
The commander forgot a critical detail.
The commander failed to
convey a critical detail in their orders.
Somebody prioritized not getting blamed for things going wrong over actually ensuring things don't go wrong.
Somebody thought they had things handled. They didn't.
Instead of assigning the most skilled person
at the task
to the task, the least-liked person was assigned the task because nobody will miss them if they die.
A plan was designed around the assumption that
no one would be so stupid as to... Naturally, somebody
was that stupid. Often, it's the enemy, fucking up your plan that requires they be, you know, minimally intelligent foes. Sometimes, it's your own people, walking into a clearly marked minefield because they need to pee, it's the middle of the night, they're just not that awake.
Something breaks down at the worst possible moment.
Somebody mixes up two coordinates. If you're lucky, it's innocuous and just slows down the operation. (Potentially costing hundreds of lives anyway, because delays kill) If you're exceptionally unlucky, your artillery ends up firing on the rally point.
It is
far rarer for something to go wrong because the enemy is simply so insightful and brilliant as to completely ruin your carefully constructed operation.
Besides, how is anybody supposed to
find Coil? (Keep in mind that in canon, Coil trusts exactly
one guy to be present when he's changing between Coil and Calvert. His organization
does not know that he's Calvert) Why is anybody
supposed to be concerned? The man presumably vanishes for hours at a time to sleep and presumably go to his job as a PRT dude. If his people panic every time he's out of contact for a day or so, then man, they're panicking
all the time. On what basis would a rescue op even
occur from anybody other than the PRT/Protectorate?
A pleasure to see this update!
Glad to hear it.
It seems that SI!Bakuda is actually very uncertain as to what exactly she plans to do, and finds it easier (and still useful) to herself tinkering in the workshop. I'll second the notion that this, in addition to a couple of dumbass moves on her part, makes the story that much more "real" and interesting to read.
Man, if you suddenly woke up as a character you don't want to be, in a setting you don't want to be in, with no expectation that any such thing was coming, would
you have a plan ready?
I kicked off Exploding Canon when I did in part because I haven't really given a lot of thought to the question of what I would try to "fix" if I were a Worm SI, and wanted to get going
before I ended up doing so, rather than after.
So, I'm glad to hear it's paying off.
Interestingly, it looks like Bakuda will probably find it more expedient to keep the ABB intact - it's the largest organization she can hope to have as major a position as she currently has, and it provides her resources and personnel to leverage towards killing Scion. Plus, there's the capes: Oni Lee is super-useful for bomb delivery and task execution, and Lung...
Yeah, given that any major attempt to escape has a high risk of death... and crippling the ABB to then abandon them runs into the problem SI me has already commented on to their frustration: "Wait, if I blow up and betray the ABB, I'm that girl who turned on
two organizations that took her in. Why on Earth would the Protectorate go 'you go girl!' and let me join/trust me to be an independent hero??"
Could SI!Bakuda convince Lung to seek a rematch with Leviathan (assuming he is going to hit Brockton Bay in the absence of a tinkertech bombing spree)? She might actually have to try attacking his pride to do so, which got her killed in Canon albeit under circumstances where she was much less useful to the dragon.
Not gonna comment on the first point.
Latter-wise, I'll point out that in canon it was less "attacking his pride" and more "insulting him incessantly". A (probably) less dangerous way of piquing his pride would be to
imply he's scared or something without making it obvious that it's a targeted statement -pretend nonchalance, or be genuinely distracted tinkering- and then leave him to brood.
Plus, Lung was quite explicit in canon that if the escape had been
successful he probably would have let it pass. Competency can be a shield against punishment from disrespect, in Lung's eyes.
HORRIFYING CHEMISTRY THINGS
I wanna complain about the derail, but it's oh-so-relevant to the fic.