FaeGlade Plural
Semper Legens
- Location
- Land of Bureaucracy
- Pronouns
- Plural/They
Congratulations, you found the mistake. I didn't include crit confirmation, even though it's pretty easy:You know, I was going to make a table of hit rates for consecutive iteratives based on the relative numbers of attack bonus and target AC, then give the needed percentile damage advantage to break even on actual damage dealt. Guess I'll do that in a few hours, when I have access to my graphing calculator.
Also, did they remove crit confirmation in PF and make a nat 20 automatically crit? Because I distinctly recall critical confirmation being a thing.
You take your normal damage (say, 40), take 5% of that (so, 2), then multiply your extra critical damage (say, another 40) and multiply that by the full chance to hit (including another rolled 20), so up to 95% and add that (so with, say, 70%, you add 28).
Then you do the thing for your normal hit chance (each one on a D20 is 5%, add that together for every number that sufficies for a hit, remember to substract 5% for that natural 20 which you already calculated). If you want it easy, you already calculated what 5% of your average damage is, simply multiply that by the amount of numbers-1 that suffice for a hit.
I left crit-confirmation out for now because I was lazy, because it doesn't affect DPR that much unless you go crit-fishing, and because for the purpose of showing that full attacks do more average damage it just doesn't affect the outcome much.