Well lets think about the actors involved.
The Originating Juries, Metamoa, the Patriarch San, The Grand Synod, the Sword Altar, the Elders of the various non-core Juries, the Veterans of the Pale Horse, and the 4 other Schisms that were hit by the Sword Altar.
Which really comes down to this;
Originators: The Originating Juries and Circles, The Grand Synod and the Sword Altar.
They've lost a lot of legal and political power because the Grand Synod keeps fucking up. And they arent stupid. They know they need to act. As Qanam tells us, they are. The Originating Juries have gathered 15 000 men to crash Metamoa. But that's easily 15k Soldiers that the Sword Altar can call upon to pivot and help them put crush and obtain total control of the core of the Vasp State. Flooding out reformers and opponents in a grand purge along the way. And then once they have a fait-accompli, they'll make terms with the outskirts territories. Indeed, that is probably their plan.
The Sanhedron: San, the Elders, the loyal sub-circles and sub-juries.
They don't have an army on the field right now. They've got everything else. Political unity, the support of the people, the support of the Press, and the loyalty of most of the peripheries. But when the Sword Altar and the united might of the Originating Juries smash into them in a grand army they really don't have anything to actually fight back with. I mean Martyrdom, but they'd be fucking dead. Their problem is that their forces are scattered, with only small numbers of Jurors and Banners loyal to them in the Hadit Valley, and the standards at the outskirts. If San fucking dies, it's gonna be bad. They need an army, they need muscle.
The Pale Horse Veterans, the political connections of the Elders, the Schisms, Metamoa, are all also nominally allied with the Sanhedron. But we lack the unity to give that muscle just yet. If we can get some coordination going however, the Sanhedron will have breathing room and time.
So this entails us forming alliances that will either raise an Army in the city with the help of the Pale Horse Veterans, or reach out to other loyalists in the core region to coordinate through the Elders.
At the same time, the fate of our big tent faction is going to rely on Metamoa pining the 15k Originating Army down and diverting its supplies and reinforcements so that the Sword Altar cannot succeed in its purge thanks to lacking overwhelming force.
Ultimately though when it comes down to it. I can only see one path for the Sect. Get the Muscles and get ready for a face punching match. I cannot guess what the other major radical Schisms will be doing. But looking at the situation;
There is no point in picking Ohr. Escape Routes and secret tunnels dont help an army which is what the Sect needs to form the core of. And its press connection, while they are vital, they are probably smart enough to see the writing on the walls and use all their press connection to help the Sanhedron of their own volition. Allying with us wont help that, and will probably bring too much attention to them. I say leave them be so that they can travel in and out of the city, coordinating our Big Tent with their presses and manifestos.
Ma'on is as I said, an army in the making. Though the Makabam wouldnt be bad at that either. Its really dependent on the training and discipline levels, which we cannot judge at the moment. Wheter Unity of Pugilism is better, or the experience of the Makabam, I cant say necessarily.
Actually there is one thing
@Cetashwayo if we pick the
Hahahyiim would we be able to to convince them to direct all their smuggling efforts into arming the Sect and Metamoa? With their connections, that could be a lot of weapons.
