...yeah, okay. I can see where you're coming from there. It's a good explanation. So I'm guessing Cauldron in this fic will be, well, substantially different from canon?
Because DAMN was Cauldron shit in canon. As a concept, 'secret organization trying to build a god-killing parahuman' is workable. As executed, well. I call it the clown-shoes conspiracy for that. In canon, it was so badly done that my only explanation for the observed events was that Contessa's shard was actually meant to sabotage the user.
Half-and-half. To a certain extent, the conspiracy's incompetency is in-character and makes sense. Nobody is perfect, and in particular Cauldron was an utter failure at its main goal -that was canon, that was consistent, that made sense.
On the other hand, I'm going to fill in the stuff we don't explicitly see as best as I can while retaining the "what
why" stuff in a form that obviates the problems it creates in canon.
Least spoilery example: In Exploding Canon, yes Contessa occasionally personally handles an enforcer event, if for some reason that's more practical than any other option, is the only option that PtV feeds her as workable at all, or if she has other goals she's trying to fill at the same time that calling in a favor or hiring a mercenary would not work for simultaneously filling. (eg manipulating an unrelated cape in a particular way) No, she does not, as canon ultimately implies,
personally handle every single enforcer event. That's ludicrous and undermines, among other things, the idea that Cauldron has successfully maintained its secrecy for 20+ years.
So basically: if it happened "on-screen" in canon, it's probably canon to Exploding Canon, but the
implications might not be canon to Exploding Canon. (eg where are all the other Cauldron members in the endgame? If you take canon as we see it and extrapolate, canon seems to intend for Cauldron to be literally like 10 people)
Except Contessa explicitly, repeatedly pulls a Rube Goldberg machine effect off with PtV, including talking to other people to get the results she wants. ("Breadth and depth" being the best example, but not the only example) If Contessa wants to ask PtV "Which mercenary do I hire and what do I say to that mercenary to ensure that Joe Bob Mcsecretlearner will die and not reveal any of Cauldron's secrets?" she can absolutely, 100%-canon-I-don't-care-what-Wildbow-
says-I-care-what-he-
wrote do that.
Tuned parahumans deviate from the Path
An interesting idea, one I'd argue is better than canon... but definitely not canon. PtV's limitations against Endbringers is explicitly artificial (Which is just awful and I hate it and liked canon much better when I was assuming there was some
naturalistic reason why Endbringers were not precoggable) its limitations against Entities are also explicitly artificial (It was working on Eden until Eden hacked the shard), and if anything to do with Entities was going to produce a
natural immunity/semi-immunity to PtV, it would be, you know, an entire Entity. People plugged into an individual shard cannot possibly have a natural protection as a result, given actual canon.
Depressingly.
Also, apropos of nothing: there's been Word of God that Path to Victory can't replicate Tinkertech. This suggest that PtV is much, MUCH more limited than what fans assume it is.
Not really. You can just as easily assume that tinkertech is non-replicable because tinkers are cheating with secondary powers, and PtV doesn't provide the relevant cheating. There's no Path that lets Contessa become a firebreathing dragon with super-regeneration, either.
Half the mindfuckery we see is making people control freaks, too. It could just be that Contessa doesn't feel comfortable trusting anything important to a Mercenary who might slip up or hit the wrong target, especially since she's been using her power for a decade or more?
Not how PtV works. The Wormverse is clockwork, so unless something protected against precognition interferes Contessa will always get whatever result she Paths for, no matter what intermediaries she operates through. The primary flaw of PtV seems to be that it's an overly literal genie -frame your questions poorly, and you may get an outcome that fits what you asked for but not what you
wanted.
The explanation for Contessa going out personally might be that PtV doesn't necessarily go for the optimum solution. Rather it might go for a solution that fulfills it's goals but generates an unnecessarily amount of conflict in the process. Given the choice between hiring a mercenary which would get the job done quickly and subtly and having Contessa going in personally while causing large amounts of chaos the shard would select the latter because it's designed to instigate conflict and the second option would cause more. Does Contessa actually ask "how do I accomplish X in what I would consider the optimum fashion" or "how do I accomplish X"? If it's the latter then the shard could use that loophole to give out a solution that isn't the necessarily the most efficient one. It's job description is only Path to Victory not Path to Best Victory.
Contessa is shown to be too competent and experienced in using her power in canon for this to really work. Maybe she fell into this trap in the earliest years of Cauldron, but at
some point her explicit habit of asking several different variations on her core question would lead into her asking the
right question to hit onto non-stupid/conflict-focused plans, and she'd transition over to the competency she's
supposed to have according to canon anyway.
There's also the point that it is, in all honesty, unlikely her shard was programmed properly for working with a host. Eden somehow accidentally lost/launched it in the crash, having not gotten around to doing
any of the things she'd do for prepping the shard for use by hosts, and the only hacking she seems to do before being sort-of-kind-of-killed is that of blocking PtV from being usable against Entities. The conflict drive is unlikely to have been activated -it'd be really dumb if Entity shards always had conflict protocols active at all times, and more importantly than it being dumb Entities wouldn't function as presented if every piece of them was always running those protocols.
So Contessa probably has a shard that functions almost exactly as it does when being used by an Entity... especially since her shard is from
Abbadon originally, and while it's not clear what path of "evolution" Abbadon went down, it's definitely a different path. It might not
have conflict protocols inherent to it!
I'm fairly certain that was the case in canon. Eden pretty explicitely put limitations, just before she died, on Contessa's PTV in order to prevent her from killing entities, the only reason she managed to kill Eden after the limitations were in place was due to Doctor Mother being there + Contessa was already on a path to killing Eden. If either of those things failed, eden would be alive and Contessa would be dead.
In canon there's a whole bunch of scenes where contessa is trying to find a path to kill scion, but keeps getting "No" from PTV, the only time she even manages to make a Path work is by deliberately making it about something other than Scion. In short, my understanding from it, was that Contessa was never on a Path to killing Scion, because Path to victory does not allow paths to killing Scion.
The entire Path o Cauldron, all the experiments, the parahuman army, the spreading of case 53s on earth Bet, all of that was for a path that had exactly zero chance of killing Scion. None of what Cauldron did in the story mattered in the end, nor could it have mattered.
To be honest i feel kinda bad for them, but i'd probably do the same in their place, because it was the only thing they could have done, they were doomed to failure from the moment the restrictions were placed on PTV.
It's more accurate to say the Path provided no greater a chance of success than any human-made plan did. It's not that PtV couldn't provide a Path to things with the
ability to kill an Entity -it just would lock up if directly asked about Entities (And for some reason Endbringers) and they didn't have enough information to know what the right questions would be to ask to get around that.
Crappy Pokemon metagame metaphor: I'm facing off against Rayquaza and I have PtV. In this scenario, Rayquaza is an Entity, and if I ask PtV "Which move do I use to OHKO Rayquaza" PtV goes "404 error". But if I ask "Which Pokemon using which move would OHKO a Dragon/Flying type with a statline of x/x/x/x/x/x" it'll promptly say "Send out Kyurem-White and use Ice Beam" and there you go, I have my Entity-killer.
Contessa
could've used PtV to find a way of killing the Entities, she just couldn't have had PtV explicitly confirm that the path would kill Scion.
I vaguely want to call bull on Eidolon for being able to pull that based on vague tech-babble by Bakuda, but hey it's Eidolon, if anyone can pull sometime like that, I guess it should be him; since his original version was female and cape name Mary Sue... lolz.
I'm just going to say that my read on Eidolon in canon is that a key aspect of his power is knowing what the right question to ask is, for getting the power he wants.
Comparison point: let's say you have a database you want to dig through. It has a tags system, like Sufficient Velocity. It
doesn't let you
see the tags -it just lets you search for a tag and then spit out everything that has the tag you searched for. If "Resonance Power" isn't tagged with anything you think to search for, you're not going to find "Resonance Power", and you'll have no idea it exists or what tags to look for it with.
Imagine trying to find a specific thread on Sufficient Velocity that you don't already know the tags of and can only look for by searching for tags. (Of which you don't get a list of actually used tags) It'd be a nightmare.
I'm a bit surprised at how they didn't react to Bakuda sprouting Cauldron Cauldron Cauldron, but thinking on it a little more, I guess you just don't posses enough of a threat for them to care? Alexandria already shows she can shut you up easily, so yeah...
A key part of Cauldron's policy of hiding Cauldron's existence is that they make sure as much of the world as possible treats the
idea of Cauldron as so ridiculous as to not even be worth refuting explicitly. Just ignoring Bakuda is a great way to convey to people that no, Cauldron doesn't exist, nobody who matters takes it even slightly seriously, and more importantly is in line with their canon policy.
Well that... and Eidolon's powers get weaker with use. He only gets like 5-30 uses of a power before it weakens into uselessness. I think it depends on how strong the power is itself and how forcefully he uses it. Also not sure if he can call up the same power again after discarding it, so he has to hold onto this power for as long as he can.
We don't get an exact count or even a range on the number of uses he gets for a given power. We know that the more "powerful" it is the more likely it is to burn out fast, but canon is honestly very vague on the range, and Eidolon's behavior isn't very helpful in guessing, since he's actually pretty good about changing up his powers when it becomes clear that his current set is either not working or is working only "well enough" when what he needs is a power that works really well in the context.
Am I the only one thinking that they can't quarantine Bakuda? I mean no one is stupid enough to try and quarantine and tinker right? They just get executed, probably not publicly but they have to do it. You can't stick a tinker in a city and hope that they won't build something to let them escape, that's beyond stupid. That's like a non parahuman shooting them self in the face and expecting it not to do any damage.
Simurgh quarantine zones all operate on the principal of killing anyone who tries to escape and making sure they know that's what will happen to dissuade them from actually trying to escape. They're not
meant to physically contain people with walls and so on. They're meant to contain them with the threat of death.
Unless you think they should believe themselves unable to kill her if she tries to escape?