Reading through the summary of Luseng, the thing that caught my eye was that the populace considered the Satrap to be more of a King than anything else. probably due to how recently they were conquered. Thus, they should not have a very high level of loyalty to the Realm, which means that if we pull this off, we should have a relatively strong powerbase here.
Of the three choices, Grand Heretical appeals to me the least. While its long term benefits are possibly the greatest, while also ensuring that Anys is caught up trying to put up fires instead of sitting around making trouble for us, our current situation needs something to happen ASAP to help Luseng. Furthermore, it will require our direct support and intervention, which we currently do not really have time for, needing to win this war. All these long term plans also seem relatively useless, with how greatly a situation can change from update to update.
Of the other two, I would be fine with either.
The biggest benefit of the Three Kingdoms is that it allows us to start empire building. It slows down the advance by the Coalition and splits them up into more manageable chunks, while buying time for Uly to prepare. Furthermore, by withdrawing the vast majority of the population into the capital, it makes their lives easier while also helping to reduce the amount of casualties that would be inflicted, thus helping garner goodwill towards us. The addition time can be used for us to put into place our various plans, reorganize as well as use our charms, while also allowing to request resources from the Realm to fortify our position. It makes large scale troop movements disadvantageous for all sides, which is only beneficial to us, considering that our forces are currently heavily depleted. And while the forces are nominally allied, if they decided to bull through the prediction, damn the bodies, they would be severely weakening their own faction, leaving them prey to the other two.
However, that time would also allow our enemies time to prepare, and unlike us, they have three different sources to draw reinforcements from. In addition, I seriously doubt Anys would allow us to happily sit here building up our powerbase if we are not weakening the other three factions. Conversely, she also cannot do anything too overt. She is unlikely to sabotage our military situation and make it less costly for the Coalition to claim Luseng, but will probably work on the civil and social aspect, to try and ensure that even if we are successful in saving Luseng, the inhabitants would not be as grateful as they could be.
In addition, allowing the Deathlords and the Lunars access to the mountain does not sound like the safest proposition. The best case scenerio for what is hidden inside the mountain is that it is merely a solid core of jade, whose strategic implications are already devastating enough. Its entirely possible that it is some extremely valuable first age creation. However, neither the Deathlords nor the Lunars are going to be really willing to split the mountain up, as its the main prize of this campaign. This also means that they probably would be less willing to be aggressive, as they already got part of what they really want Furthermore, there seem to be some outer defense in the mountain, which would make it harder for them to unravel whatever it is the mountain is hiding.
However, our forces are currently outnumbered, so even thought we are surrendering the mountain, we might have not been able to hold it anyway even if we chose the other options due to lack of manpower, so consolidating to save resources and manpower might be the wiser choice. Maintaining the security of our territory with less than a Legion seems nonviable, especially considering how outnumbered we are, so we could simply be smartly giving away territory to save the remains of the Satrapy.
Another factor would be small scale combat would still be a viable method with Three Kingdoms, which benefits our faction the most. While we might have the smallest army of the factions, we are the faction with access to the greatest number of Exalts, which means something. Uly's skill set is also quite suited to this, having perfect disguise charms to help him move through enemy territory while also possessing high level combat power that allows him to fight the opposing Exalts.
As for Scarlet Flag, its main advantage is that it helps to shore up Zao. He is our main and strongest supporter in the Realm, so increasing his power and influence would help to mitigate how much impact Anys has on the navy. Furthermore, since Anys is now moving openly, if her actions are less than successful, it would help weaken her power and influence, which would be useful. Dealing with Zao would also tie up her resources and time, thus meaning that she would have less ability to assert her influence in our part of the world. Furthermore, Luseng is a coastal satrapy, so having the navy behind us would give us more options for our plans. With the benefits of Prophet, there would be fewer losses, so more manpower from the Navy can be directed by Zao to help reinforce us here in Luseng. The navy could also be used to help ferry our men for when we go on the offensive.
On the other hand, strengthen Zao too much might cause backlash from Anys. While Zao is too powerful, and she is juggling too many balls, if Zao is becoming too powerful for her to deal with, she might try something stupid to deal with him. While her priorities are kinda screwed, the execution of her plans are still good, no matter how retarded the aim of the plan is. Furthermore, since we are not using Prophet on the Satrapy, it means that if the position in the Satrapy is truly horrible, we still would have to deal with it. Basically, go big or go home. As soon as we arrive, we would need to do something big to unbalance the Coalition and buy ourselves some breathing room. This also means that we would have lesser time to familiarize ourselves with the troops and the terrain, which means a higher chance of screwing up. Due to the lack of information, we would not really be able to decide until we reach there, thought.
However, there are certain thing I believe can be done regardless of which choice wins. Firstly, I think we might want to approach the people on our ship to learn about them. Without a good idea of their abilities, we can't really make plans which will make full use of their abilities, after all. For example, we know that our aide flunked out of the Heptagram, but can he cast sorcery, how good is he at occult? We don't know those things even thought they could be helpful to us, allowing us to know who to delegate to what task, if nothing else.
Also, I don't really think that we might want to approach the city while staying on the ship. While the ship itself is being nice and visible, it might be better for us to sneak into the habour and observe who and what individuals are there. I don't believe that there are no spies from the other factions inside the city, so getting there before the ship gives us a chance to try and see if there are any suspicious individuals loitering around. It would also protect us just in case one of the three factions decide to alpha strike us when we are still on the ship.
Speaking of which, the Brotherhood who are following us can make themselves useful by helping to keep law and order in the city. They should have plenty of experience in investigating Anathema and calming civilians, so they can use those abilities while we try to get the house in order to restore order. The Immaculate Mission here is known for neglecting the civilians, so if we change that it should help with morale problems. In addition, the number of indisposed people means that we have a lot of idle hands which could be put to better use, and I doubt the war has helped the situation any
One thing we should take note of is that we currently still have a lot of resources in Luseng. Thus, we should make full use of it. Hire the pirates to help with our manpower. Contact Ayala and see if she is willing to trade us a Working for anything we have here. Bribe the gods into helping. Carry out investigations and find out more information about the situation and the mountain. If nothing else, the local legends and rumours about it can probably help us narrow it down.
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