Army of Liberty: a Fantasy Revolutionary Warfare Quest

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Did some calcs for wounding 5. With this system, you definitely want some combat bonuses if you're going to attack.

Wounding 5
Proof
Advantage AmountMean ChangeDeviationChange50 Cas %ChangeAt Least: 50% to getChange
3 Disadvantage10.008.170%~8-9
2 Disadvantage12.50+2.59.69+1.520%+0%~11+2-3
1 Disadvantage16.66+4.1611.79+2.10.01%+0.01%~15+4
025.00+5.3414.44+2.651%+0.99%25-26+11-12
1 Advantage33.34+8.3411.79-2.561.99%+0.99%~36+10-11
2 Advantage37.50+4.169.69-2.12.97%+0.98%~40+2
3 Advantage40.00+2.58.17-1.523.94%+0.97%~41-42+1-2
Wounding 5
Proof
Combat Bonus AmountMean 50 Cas %100 Cas %
-3010.150%0%
-2015.100%0%
-1020.050%0%
025.001%0%
1030.0011%0%
2035.0021%0%
3040.0031%0%
4045.0041%0%
5050.0051%0%
6055.0061%0%
7060.0071%0%
8065.0081%0%
Now that's some Real Musket Warfare Experience™
 
Daurstein: Round 0 New
NOTE: The battle of Daurstein has been restarted due to broad mechanical changes. Previous Rounds of this battle are an alternative timeline and no longer canon.

Your rousing speech finished, you observe the field before you. This piece of Daurstein's outskirts is a tangle of woods, hills and thick forest. Aside from the fact that the enemy is marching towards you and the audible rumble of distant marching feet, you've no idea where they are. Scouting should prove vital in the contest to come.

A shiver of anticipation passes through you. It feels like this battle has taken ages to get properly started. Something new shudders in the air, a promise of a different kind of battle than those you've fought before. Well, let von Trotha try his best. Raka Durand shall not be found wanting.

***​

Attacker goes first
Enemy Turn

Enemy Orders only shown if they've been spotted by you at the start of their turn.
No enemy Units spotted.

Enemy Units ???

Your Turn

BATTLE OF DAURSTEIN, ROUND 0
+Primary Objective: Defeat the Army of the Centre.



Orders

Vote by plan, please!

200th Hobgoblin Fusiliers Regiment:
[]
72nd Human Regiment of Foot:
[]
148th Human Regiment of Foot:
[]
42nd Elven Regiment of Foot:
[]
45th Elven Regiment of Foot:
[]
251st Hobgoblin Fusiliers Regiment:
[]
16th Halfling Pathfinders Regiment:
[]
19th Halfling Pathfinders Regiment:
[]
28th Halfling Pathfinders Regiment:
[]
55th Elven Hussars Regiment:
[]
108th Elven Hussars Regiment:
[]
13th Hobgoblin Lancers Regiment:
[]
84th Elven Artillery Battery:
[]
10th Human Artillery Battery:
[]
31st Elven Artillery Battery:
[]
5th
Hobgoblin Horse Artillery Battery:
[]


Orders for Guillory's Hussars?
[] Write-in.

***

Momentum: +0​

Our Units

Unit
XP
Str.APMorale Mod.Stress
Combat
Mun.
Spl.
Con.
Spt.
Mov.
EquipmentTraitsCO
251st Hob4/5
Trained
1000/10003+40+010/105/5072Cabot Musket
Bayonets
HobgoblinVeka Bonheur
Watchful
200th Hob0/20
Professional
1000/10003+60+2010/105/5052Cabot Musket
Bayonets
HobgoblinAlho Kléber
Offensive Genius
72nd Hum5/10
Professional
1000/10003+100+2010/105/5052Cabot Musket
Bayonets
HumanGereon Oberlin
Teacher
148th Hum2/3
Trained
1000/10003+80+010/105/5052Cabot Musket
Bayonets
HumanLiberté Chastain
Inspiring
42nd Elv0/20
Regular
1000/10003+50+1010/105/5072Cabot Musket
Bayonets
ElvenM. de Montmorency
Unsteady
45th Elv2/20
Regular
1000/10003+7**0+1010/105/5072Cabot Musket
Bayonets
ElvenJean de Sangeaux
Maverick
16th Half Pfd0/10
Regular
1000/10003+50+1010/105/5252Falke Rifle
Bayonets
HalflingMaiwen Firmin
Butcher
19th Half Pfd3/10
Regular
1000/10003+50+1010/105/5254Canard Rifle
Bayonets
HalflingSophie Tasse
Rapid
28th Half Pfd3/10
Regular
1000/10003+50+1010/105/5252Canard Rifle
Bayonets
HalflingGeorges Villiers
Unsteady
55th Elv Hsr4/20
Regular
500/5003+50+105/5077SabresElvenBerenicy de Toucy
Defensive Genius
108th Elv Hsr10/40
Professional
500/5003+60+205/5-177SabresElvenAugustin de Goyon
Loud
13th Hob Lan1/10
Regular
500/5003+50+105/5-155LancesHobgoblinKaro Bonnaire
Optimist
10th Hum Art1/20
Experienced
50/503+110+3010/105/5051Field ArtilleryHumanDavid Granger
Offensive Genius
84th Elv Art8/20
Regular
50/503+50+1010/105/5091Field ArtilleryElvenJules de Maistre
Watchful
31st Elv Art10/20
Regular
50/503+50+1012/127/7071Field ArtilleryElvenMarie de Lamartine
Logistician
5th Hob H Art24/40
Experienced
50/503+70+308/83/3054Horse ArtilleryHobgoblinArka Faucher
Careless
HQ----165106--1
*Affected by Casualties
**+2 from Inspired Command March Event
Bayonets, Sabres: Wounding +0
Lances: Wounding +1, Concealment -1, Movement -2, additional Charge Advantage
Cabot Musket: Wounding +2, Range 100m/200m/400m
Field Artillery: Wounding +5, Range 200m/700m/1400m
Canard Rifle: Wounding +2, Range 200m/300m/500m
Falke Rifle: Wounding +3, Range 100m/300m/500m
Horse Artillery: Wounding +4, Movement +3, Range 200m/600m/1200m


***​

Allied Units

UnitXPStr.APMorale Mod.StressCombatMun.Spl.Con.Spt.Mov.EquipmentTraitsCO
350th Elv HsrTrained500/5003+00+0-5/5077SabresElven
Cavalry
Mana Bosquet
???
341st Elv HsrTrained500/5003+00+0-5/5077SabresElven
Cavalry
Giovanni di Mirova
???
Bayonets, Sabres: Wounding +0

***​

Enemy Units

Unit
XP
Str.APMorale Mod.Stress
Combat
Mun.
Spl.
Con.
Spt.
Mov.
EquipmentTraitsCO
HM's 1st Elv HsrProfessional500/5003+?0+20?077SabresElven
Cavalry
Demoralizing
1st Roy Elv LanProfessional500/5003+?0+20?-175LancesElven
Cavalry
Butcher
Son 8th Elv HsrTrained500/5003+?0+0?0?7?7SabresElven
Cavalry
?
Son 9th Elv HsrTrained500/5003+?0+0?0?7?7SabresElven
Cavalry
?
Mrk Nym RngProfessional910/10003+?0+20??0?32Falke Rifle
Bayonets
NymphFeared
Ott 4th HumTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?3?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Human?
Ott 17th HumTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?3?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Human?
Ott 109th HobTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?0?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Hobgoblin?
Wür 15th DwaTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?0?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Dwarven?
Wür 31st DwaTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?0?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Dwarven?
Wür 33rd DwaTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?3?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Dwarven?
Neu 20th DwaTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?3?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Dwarven?
Neu 155th ElvTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?7?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Elven?
Son 74th ElvTrained1000/10003+?0+0??0?7?2Erlkönig Musket
Bayonets
Elven?
28th Elv ArtExperienced50/503+?0+30??0?7?1Field ArtilleryElven
Artillery
?
60th Elv ArtRegular50/503+?0+10??0?7?1Field ArtilleryElven
Artillery
?
66th Elv ArtRegular50/503+?0+10??0?7?1Field ArtilleryElven
Artillery
?
75th Elv ArtProfessional50/503+?0+20??0?7?1Field ArtilleryElven
Artillery
?
Prov. Elv ArtRegular50/503+?0+10??071Field ArtilleryElven
Artillery
Offensive Genius
Hum Vol ArtTrained50/503+?0+0??0?7?1Field ArtilleryElven
Artillery
?
14th Elv H ArtExperienced50/503+?0+30??0?7?4Horse ArtilleryElven
Artillery
?
Bayonets, Sabres: Wounding +0
Erlkönig Musket: Wounding +2, Range 100m/200m/400m
Falke Rifle: Wounding +3, Range 100m/300m/500m
Lances: Wounding +1, Concealment -1, Movement -2, additional Charge Advantage
Field Artillery: Wounding +5, Range 200m/700m/1400m
Horse Artillery: Wounding +4, Movement +3, Range 200m/600m/1200m

Showtime.

To be clear, the enemy has already acted out its first turn, having the initiative as the attacker in this battle. You just... cannot see a single enemy Unit due to the Spotting changes!
 
(Attacker always having the initiative is neat - makes sense!)

Alright, my first thought is that von Trotha having the first move makes any of the forward position plans difficult. He's just barely short of the infantry movement to take the central Rotholz tile, if I counted correctly, but he'll be in the area. (I suspect he wouldn't do our move of taking the tile with cavalry until his infantry can come up, but he could). We won't really have time to set up a full position before our units are stumbling into each other.

Similar story on the left flank: we can rush our halflings into the southern end of the Kirschenholz but we can't block him out of the northern end of it, which means a move there might lead to a messy meeting engagement.

That makes me think the move is (conveniently the plan I've supported in the past, no motivated reasoning here :V) to keep the core of our defense in the breastworks around the Hochschloss. Do some skirmishing ahead with our rifles, cavalry, horse artillery, maybe try to rush a unit up to Rotholz to fight for a turn and inflict some casualties, but ultimately stay in the trenches.
 
Okay, a quick reminder of our characterization of Trotha:
Once Franz is gone, you cross-reference and check this information against your other reports. On the whole, it seems accurate. You begin to build a fairly comprehensive picture of the two Nornish armies arrayed against you. A decent idea of the two generals' personalities also develops. Von Trotha is a believer in the supremacy of artillery; he rarely uses his cavalry other than to screen, and never commits to an infantry attack before a lengthy bombardment.
So, Trotha is a more defensive player that places a high value on artillery fire support. Based on his description he will likely fold if encountering an early skirmish (never commits to an infantry attack before a lengthy bombardment). We can use this, our units are generally superior when it comes to melee (high cohesion, higher skill). So, in my opinion we need to contest Rotholz, since not doing so gives him a perfect marching area for his infantry onto the hills. Additionally, the Halflings can also be easier employed to weaken an charge if we contest the central plain rather than staying completely passive.

Due to the new movement rules, we can always pull of a temporary withdrawal (1 turn for artillery movement back and forth). This is not necessarily about holding the area, but giving us time to ambush, skirmish and halt his movement is valuable on itself. Much easier to break the charge if we already shoot from the middling way. So I say we use his personality against him by contesting the easier points of cover.
 

Alright, this map is basically just me marking out tiles/areas that are interesting at a first glance.

First, the Rotholz. Now that artillery firing into melee kills friendlies, stationing our horse artillery on the fort tile doesn't really work. But it's still a very powerful position for infantry to sit in, especially with all the line-of-sight blockers surrounding it. The 45th Elven and a unit pulled from the main line can rush up to the red square tiles and hold them for some time - if von Trotha's troops don't reach it in his next turn, they'd be able to pull off a nasty Ready Action ambush whenever they do. And it shouldn't be too hard for them to disengage and fall back if/when needed. Just two Move actions to get behind the hills further south.

Second, the Kirschenholz. The red circle area is nice for halflings, especially the 19th because Rapid is still very good for skirmishers. The one issue is that the halflings don't have enough move to occupy the northernmost tile and block enemy infantry from getting into the treeline on the next turn (especially bad if they're the nymphs), but we could order Guillory's hussars to do that blocking. I think they can just barely reach, even with Forest costing them 5 move per!

Third, the forested hills (I think these are Forest Hills) south of the Kirschenholz. Good for similar reasons (halflings in Forest are invisible ambush demons, ranged fire does very little damage against them and charging costs so much MP that you're massively exposed) but the forest provides a convenient position for enemy infantry to push from. Useful if you want a presence on the left flank but don't want to go into the Kirschenholz/got pushed out of there already, I think.

Finally, the blue square, the open area in the valley. No cover for infantry, lots of firing positions for his artillery. But we can operate around here with our cavalry and even our horse artillery. Any cavalry that tried to charge H. Arty around the blue square would be in for a bad time - Ready Charges by our own cav, possibly Ready Fire from our field arty at Medium Range, possibly rifle fire from the forest.

So yeah, my thinking is that we keep the Kinzberg as our main position but skirmish aggressively on both flanks. Try to lock down the Kirschenholz entirely, inflict some damage at the Rotholz. He'll probably be able to push us out but I think the exchange rate should be favorable, and we'll have a whole other position to fall back on.
 
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Alright, my first thought is that von Trotha having the first move makes any of the forward position plans difficult. He's just barely short of the infantry movement to take the central Rotholz tile, if I counted correctly, but he'll be in the area. (I suspect he wouldn't do our move of taking the tile with cavalry until his infantry can come up, but he could). We won't really have time to set up a full position before our units are stumbling into each other.
I agree with your asssesment, but not with your conclusion. Our units "stumbling into each other" is very much in our favor, since a melee engagement makes his artillery much less effective and our experienced troops should beat his troops in melee by a good margin. His Nymph elites are the only Unit we do not want to stumble into a forest, but they are only one Unit and also understrength.
So, in my opinion we need to contest Rotholz, since not doing so gives him a perfect marching area for his infantry onto the hills. Additionally, the Halflings can also be easier employed to weaken an charge if we contest the central plain rather than staying completely passive.
I agree. The new rules make fighting retreats easier to pull of, and we have enough artillery support of our own to prevent him from pushing our retreating units too aggressively.

As a preliminary plan based purely on vibes, I would like to send some probing forces in on both the left and right flanks. A initial goal would be finding the Nymphs: whichever side they are not on, we know our infantry has the advantage. That could be were we push.

View: https://imgur.com/a/8bY563N
 
Question: these two tiles are Plains right, not Forest? I just double-checked my math and realized that the 19th actually should be able to reach the northernmost bit of Forest if they are, but I wanted to be sure.

 
Draft Plan Rotholz, Cavalry Forward
-[] Visualization
-[] Cav (Go First)
-[] Guillory's Hussars: Move towards Rotholz Turm, Ready move onto Rotholz Turm and and SE Hill IF Rotholz Turm is empty [AN: Allied Units, should be given semantic rather than specific orders], Ready Brace
-[] 13th Hob Lanc: Move [4 NW, 1 NE], Ready Charge If any non-square formation enemy stays in flat tile in 500m away, Ready Move Disengage south towards original position
-[] 108th Elv Hsr: Ready Move [3 NW, 2 W, NW] IF Hill E and SE of Rotholz empty, else return. Ready Charge If any non-square formation enemy stays in flat tile 500m away & prior true, Ready Move Disengage south towards original position
-[] 55th Elv Hsr: Move [NW,NE,NW,NE,3 W]
-[] Inf
-[] 19th Half Pfd [Rapid -> 4 base movement]: 3* Move [W, 3*NW, NE, 2NW, NE]
-[] 16th Half Pfd: 3*Move [NE, 4 NW]
-[] 28th Half Pfd: 3*Move [5 NW, W], Brace
-[] 200th Hob: 2 Move [3 NW], Brace
-[] 251st Hob: 2 Move [3 NW]
-[] 72nd Hum: 3 Move [3NW, 2NE]
-[] 148th Hum: 3 Move [3NW, 2NE]
-[] 45th Elv: 3 Mov [1 NE 3NW]
-[] 42nd Elv: 3 Mov [3 NE]
-[] Artillery
-[] 31st Elv Art: 3* Move [NE,2*NW Facing NW]
-[] 10th Hum Art: 3* Move [NE,2*NW Facing NW]
-[] 84th Elv Art: 3* Move [NE,2*NW Facing NW]
-[] 5th Hob H. Art.: Move [2 NE, 2 E], Ready Fire [Med. Range; E,NE]


File link, if you are interested. Will link a cleaned version once I have the time to put everything in their proper layer.

Alright, putting a provisional draft for an aggressive opening forward. This plan would focus on moving forward to contest the main plain, aiming to get a couple early shots in. Due to the nature of this plain, Trotha has a more limited line of fire for his artillery compared to ours (3 wide corridor rather than a full line], something we can exploit. Trotha is likely to fold in a skirmish (rarely uses cavalry to do something other than screen & never commits to an infantry attack), which we can use to get a stronger position. My
Basic idea: Guillory's Hussars take Rotholz, Humans switch with them next turn based on how precarious the position is, we move the cavalry forward to put pressure there and slow the enemy down. This will also have the advantage of greater situational awareness and early options to weaken the enemy infantry. Artillery and infantry have a 3 tile forward position, something we can then use to weaken Trotha early. This gives the additional bonus of 2 advantages rather than one. Use that to exhaust his offensive resources and make him waste time, ammunition and weaken his units too much for a charge. Strategically, he needs a clear win and we just need a stalemate for the rest of Guillory's army to arrive.
 
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If we can do it somehow, I would like to find a way to destroy his army or devastate it, because if he's basically gone then we probably have weeks and weeks to dig in before there's even a chance of an enemy arriving. Probably more.
 
Draft Plan Rotholz, Cavalry Forward
-[] Visualization
-[] Cav (Go First)
-[] Guillory's Hussars: Move towards Rotholz Turm, Ready move onto Rotholz Turm and and SE Hill IF Rotholz Turm is empty [AN: Allied Units, should be given semantic rather than specific orders], Ready Brace
-[] 13th Hob Lanc: Move [4 NW, 1 NE], Ready Charge If any non-square formation enemy stays in flat tile in 500m away, Ready Move Disengage south towards original position
-[] 108th Elv Hsr: Ready Move [3 NW, 2 W, NW] IF Hill E and SE of Rotholz empty, else return. Ready Charge If any non-square formation enemy stays in flat tile 500m away & prior true, Ready Move Disengage south towards original position
-[] 55th Elv Hsr: Move [NW,NE,NW,NE,3 W]
-[] Inf
-[] 19th Half Pfd [Rapid -> 4 base movement]: 3* Move [W, 3*NW, NE, 2NW, NE]
-[] 16th Half Pfd: 3*Move [NE, 4 NW]
-[] 28th Half Pfd: 3*Move [5 NW, W], Brace
-[] 200th Hob: 2 Move [3 NW], Brace
-[] 251st Hob: 2 Move [3 NW]
-[] 72nd Hum: 3 Move [3NW, 2NE]
-[] 148th Hum: 3 Move [3NW, 2NE]
-[] 45th Elv: 3 Mov [1 NE 3NW]
-[] 42nd Elv: 3 Mov [3 NE]
-[] Artillery
-[] 31st Elv Art: 3* Move [NE,2*NW Facing NW]
-[] 10th Hum Art: 3* Move [NE,2*NW Facing NW]
-[] 84th Elv Art: 3* Move [NE,2*NW Facing NW]
-[] 5th Hob H. Art.: Move [2 NE, 2 E], Ready Fire [Med. Range; E,NE]


File link, if you are interested. Will link a cleaned version once I have the time to put everything in their proper layer.

Alright, putting a provisional draft for an aggressive opening forward. This plan would focus on moving forward to contest the main plain, aiming to get a couple early shots in. Due to the nature of this plain, Trotha has a more limited line of fire for his artillery compared to ours (3 wide corridor rather than a full line], something we can exploit. Trotha is likely to fold in a skirmish (rarely uses cavalry to do something other than screen & never commits to an infantry attack), which we can use to get a stronger position. My
Basic idea: Guillory's Hussars take Rotholz, Humans switch with them next turn based on how precarious the position is, we move the cavalry forward to put pressure there and slow the enemy down. This will also have the advantage of greater situational awareness and early options to weaken the enemy infantry. Artillery and infantry have a 3 tile forward position, something we can then use to weaken Trotha early. This gives the additional bonus of 2 advantages rather than one. Use that to exhaust his offensive resources and make him waste time, ammunition and weaken his units too much for a charge. Strategically, he needs a clear win and we just need a stalemate for the rest of Guillory's army to arrive.
Umm, wow. That is bold. Way bolder than I was thinking, which was to push on the flanks and maintaining stealth and cover from his artillery. Are you sure we could trade favorably with him with this setup? I worry his experienced artillery crews would chew up our units in the central corridor, with little for us to show for it.

Also, the issue with such an aggressive opening may be that it is exactly what he would expect us to do. We are a Hobgoblin, he has a defensive mindset and we did some aggressive cavalry maneuvers early on in Brutet.
 
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