In absence of an option that clearly says (to me, at least) "if this works it will stop China from reunifying under the Communists" I'm gonna go with this.
Lets just say that in the coming days, depending on your actions, you may find out that things very interesting.
And it will lead to a very interesting places.
Each of them at least will.
Eh. The issue as I see it from the text is that the Commies are happy with the election results and would have been content to work with the strong hand they had within the system (do let me know if my read on this is wrong). Telling them to show strength just incites them to escalate, which since Chiang's in charge on the other side (not to mention, he did start this) means more escalation in return (eventually leading to the tension breaking and civil war...again).
the problem is, despite them winning, there is the fact they cannot do whatever the hell they want during the first cycle like they want, and there is a clear and present danger from them going all...
Well Mao might start purging the moment they get into power.
For the Republic is better in the sense that it's the option that gives us a chance at deescalating (contrast For the People, which only gives us a chance to prevent more escalation).
Chaing is only afraid that the moment the commies take power, he will be killed.
Which is fair, because the Communists want to haul him before a firing squad and put enough bullets in him to really screw up his day.
Both of the diplo options also aren't super attractive to me because our MC isn't even conversational in Mandarin or Cantonese (I can't understand why the latter's even mentioned given the meeting location – AIUI Chiang's powerbase is Shanghai and the Jiangsu region, so Cantonese wouldn't even be brought up there, right?) – and we haven't really trained the kid as a diplomat.
Cantonese, because there are delegates from the Canton region. I should have brought that up, but forgot.
As for training, its less that you are trained, and more who you represent.
The German government has interests in China, and seeing a peaceful china so they can invest heavily in industry there.
With weapons productions kinda being unable to be sold and German Arms industry has another year before it can do fun things like selling to the world, they need to do some dirty buissness.
You can make the case that his value is in getting access as a power broker, not diplomatic skill itself (no amount of charisma will matter if you can't get past the closed door). Another thing to consider is that Chiang & co are more likely to listen to a multimillionaire foreigner businessman than Mao & co (or Zhou Enlai & co).
we are a powerbroker.
Chaing wants us to invest into his country after all.
Admittedly, I'm surprised at Pauls' interest in maintaining the peace – would've expected him to encourage profiteering since that's what gives Germany the most immediate benefits. Whether China is at peace or war really doesn't change the international calculus for Germany, unless the plan is to build a long term relationship aimed at guaranteeing independence from both the American and Soviet blocs.
Pauls is under orders from the Chancellor to try and prevent a civil war from breaking out again for two reasons.
1. The Americans are pressuring him into doing so so they can keep china either on side, or, and this is very important, neutral.
2. The German Government is doing a secret backroom treaty with Chaing and co, to supply them with a lot of arms, equipment and even attache's and volunteers (Mercenaries), and they need time to finalize it, so they request that Pauls buy them another month before the shooting starts and they can deliver the first shipment of weaponry.
Pardon, but aren't these both the same? No political involvement, just aiming to get our business in China? I'm assuming the first one has bigger $ attached, and the latter more altruism and goodwill won. If it's a choice between these two, For All Mankind makes more sense.
Lets just say that one leads to making more money (Another d300 in the millions)
And another leads to fun things.
Fun & Profit only gets us more money in the short run – the issue here is that our main constraint isn't capital, it's actions (I'm assuming hiring more employees and getting a PA would free us up more there). We don't actually need more capital in the short-term, too. Further, it'll probably give us a malus with both sides of the Chinese political spectrum.
Oh you will be getting more then that my friend, belive me.
Money is not going to be an issue.
But, I would not offer it if it was just money.
For All Mankind gets us + relations with China as a whole. Frankly, they also lack the funds to really make squeezing them worth it. And long term, when their economic base isn't devastated by Warlord Era + Civil War + Sino-Japanese War, we'd be in a better position to print fat stacks off them. Oh, and the altruistic bit. My inner profiteer doesn't really care, but that's probably important to some voters.
China's economy at this point is both struggling, and booming in equal mesure.
Struggling because there is a lot of things to do and they cannot meet all the needs of their people.
Booming, because the needs they can meet are being sold at a premium.