A Game of Crowns (Mafia)

I want others opinions on this, but since we're apparently in a position where we lose this night phase, why wouldn't we force everyone to be as open as possible?

I'd suggest with this strategy that we create and ordered list where people need to role claim, because wild claiming outside of a given order is likely to result in scum gaining quality fake-claiming positioning. If we force individuals to respond in an order they are in a more dicey position and less likely to have more room for making a mistake in such claims.



You are strong enough to have been able to see just how obviously connected Nictis and Evenstar were, and pushed them at the beginning of last phase, in ways that gave you safe distance from both lynches, you've been away most end of day phases which is somewhat convenient for scum because they are not in any hard spaces (Though very very easily can just be the way that things fall scheduling wise. Especially with the subject of midterms)

The funny react is because this is 100% how I'd expect scum to respond, with instantly trying to discredit their attacker for being scum and "being on the Absum lynch." I was very clearly preferring your lynch over Absum, and I just had a stronger town read in Happerry. This is blatant scum discrediting and only makes my read of you stronger.
Please do not leave malicious funny ratings.
 
Mergle. I'm tired, and will do a lot o read throughs later. I think I've learned my lesson not to post seriously when tired from last night.

In the meantime, consider my initial probable vote on ComiTurtle until I read through stuff and think, and could I ask someone to make an update to the playerlist for me?

Really Nictis? Honestly, if you still think I'm scum, I'm disappointed, unless Ban is your third member in your QT you just are not playing at your strongest.
  1. mesonoxian
  2. -Rosen DEAD TOWN
  3. Look to the Left DEAD NON-TOWN
  4. Cyricubed
  5. PyrrosWarrior
  6. Est
  7. QTesseract DEAD TOWN
  8. InterstellarHobo
  9. 1KBestK
  10. Nanimani DEAD TOWN
  11. TurtleDucks COMITURTLE
  12. Nictis
  13. Happerry DEAD TOWN
  14. DimensionalGuy
  15. BanTheFairyKing
  16. Absum DEAD TOWN DOCTOR
  17. Evenstar
 
If it wasn't intended to be funny, you shouldn't be rating it funny. It's effectively just pointing and laughing.
 
@BanTheFairyKing I apologize, for that action, it was unintentionally rude, and I can understand frustrations stemming from it since I've had similar experiences. It was an instinctual thing and not something that makes much sense after taking a moment to think about it.
 
I'm now fairly sure that Est is scum, having more time to think about it.
Their posts don't ever favor a position. Their posts were frequently interrogative, but they never answered questions.
Immediately after I analyzed his posts, and pointed at the lack of output information, they claimed ComiTurtle is for sure town, in a way that is clearly supposed to justify their earlier lack of commitments. It strikes me as a deeply suspicious way to 'respond' to the iso.

Quotes for reference:
Hmm. Est. Hm.
Real talk, it's pretty inconclusive. We're going to try to do two reads of this, one where we call everything and it's grandma scum and the other where we're wrong about it's grandma. (How the fuck does the grammar on that work anyways) ((The grandmmar if you will)) (((it's late shut up)))
We're going to try to build two narratives, and see whether they make sense.
Be warned, walls of text ahead. I didn't even analyze any D3 stuff.

Read 1: Est is 100% Scum!
D1, Est begins by asking a great many questions and giving very few answers. Not gonna support this with quotes, I ain't got that kinda time. There's a fair number. Go to page 8 or 9 ish to fact check. Notably, some interrogation of Evenstar re: neighborhood

Then Meso starts suspecting -Rosen, very tentatively. Est starts out by vaguely supporting the Rosen lynch- notably before Nictis had jumped aboard the disaster train.


...except he then immediately reverses that.


My current thoughts after my third reread of the thread:

At this point in the game, Rosen looks like certified USDA approved Mislynch Bait. Meso made some good points, but my personal experience speaking with Rosen was NAI, as it was too short-lived. I'll wait till he comes back for another chat, in the meantime I'll try picking up new lines of questioning.
If we're dedicated to scum!Est then this could be laying the groundwork to push the mislynch if necessary- or simply opposing the lynch for town cred, while still trying to sow suspicion. Or, well, just opposing the lynch for town cred.

There's a couple more halfhearted defences of -Rosen, setting up for cheap town cred.


The following (real time) day, Est mostly postulates about the game setup. Didn't analyze this section too closely, but this quote in particular could easily be fishing for power roles.

Est then goes inactive for a while, citing a death in the family. We won't be so gauche as to analyze that.

When they return, we have this, seeming to argue that -Rosen isn't a mislynch.


Finally, late in the day when it's quite clear that -Rosen will be getting lynched, Est distances himself from the proceedings.

Eventually dropping a doomed-to-fail lynch on Ban.

Day 2, Est is lying low. He votes Ban immediately, without providing any more justification than he did last night. He posts the following fairly weak reads. When pressed to justify the Ban vote, he cites the first of these posts. All in all, Est essentially just dodges attention D2. The Ban vote is pretty much doomed from the start, so it's little more indicative than a NULL

Now, since basically anyone could be found scummy under a reading like that, we're going to try again except being charitable.
Est asks a bunch of questions, but supplies few answers. This is actually somewhat hard to justify as town, but also not super important since we're still basically in meme phase.

Meso posts suspicions of -Rosen. Est presses him on these suspicions. Meso responds. Est concedes that there is a scum explanation for -Rosen


...but he doesn't think it's likely.


My current thoughts after my third reread of the thread:

At this point in the game, Rosen looks like certified USDA approved Mislynch Bait. Meso made some good points, but my personal experience speaking with Rosen was NAI, as it was too short-lived. I'll wait till he comes back for another chat, in the meantime I'll try picking up new lines of questioning.
[/QUOTE]

Est then proceeds to defend -Rosen, though somewhat halfheartedly.



The following day, Est mostly postulates about the game setup. Didn't analyze this section too closely, but postulating about the game setup is quite possibly just curiousity.
Est then goes inactive for a while, citing a death in the family. We won't be so gauche as to analyze that.


When they return, we have this, some frankly rather good advice about how we should have been arguing against the -Rosen lynch.


Finally, we get a very plausible reason for not joining the -Rosen train.

Eventually dropping a doomed-to-fail lynch on Ban.

Day 2, Est doesn't have much to say. He votes Ban immediately, without providing any more justification than he did last night. He posts the following fairly weak reads. When pressed to justify the Ban vote, he cites the first of these posts. All in all, Est essentially just doesn't do much D2.

Honestly, there's a fair amount that's definitely fishing for information. There's a decent amount more that's quite possibly circumspect fishing for information. This alone is making me scumlean.
Also, Est's posting has been very low impact, and they haven't really pressed any argument to speak of.
Day 1 they do argue against the -Rosen lynch, but they are drawn away by commitments for too long to make a difference.
Day 2 their posts are barely above zero-information, and they don't argue for their chosen lynch at all.

The scum-explanation for Est's behavior applies to literally anyone who didn't follow the -Rosen lynch. There's a bit of suspectness in how halfhearted it was, but... that's weak reasoning. Really weak. That chunk can't honestly be considered scum indicative.

I'm considering switching from Absum to Est. Gonna look at one more first, and hope there's an actually compelling case for someone.

As an aside, I noticed Nanimani voted Est D1, went to see if there was anything to glean from that.

Nope.

Also, not gonna update this based on Est's post a couple seconds ago.
[/QUOTE]
UGHHHH



Guys, I cant fight it anymore; this is a townpost from Comi...I think that those voting to lynch him might just be wrong

I spent the majority of the game just trying my hardest not to make a mistake instead of just going with my reads the whole way, not sure why...but not this time! If Im right, I get a taste of glory, and if Im wrong Im going to look like a total softhearted and easily influenced moron, but f### it if Im not stepping up and saying something now
 
I'm now fairly sure that Est is scum, having more time to think about it.
Their posts don't ever favor a position. Their posts were frequently interrogative, but they never answered questions.
Immediately after I analyzed his posts, and pointed at the lack of output information, they claimed ComiTurtle is for sure town, in a way that is clearly supposed to justify their earlier lack of commitments. It strikes me as a deeply suspicious way to 'respond' to the iso.

Quotes for reference:
If we're dedicated to scum!Est then this could be laying the groundwork to push the mislynch if necessary- or simply opposing the lynch for town cred, while still trying to sow suspicion. Or, well, just opposing the lynch for town cred.

There's a couple more halfhearted defences of -Rosen, setting up for cheap town cred.


The following (real time) day, Est mostly postulates about the game setup. Didn't analyze this section too closely, but this quote in particular could easily be fishing for power roles.

Est then goes inactive for a while, citing a death in the family. We won't be so gauche as to analyze that.

When they return, we have this, seeming to argue that -Rosen isn't a mislynch.


Finally, late in the day when it's quite clear that -Rosen will be getting lynched, Est distances himself from the proceedings.

Eventually dropping a doomed-to-fail lynch on Ban.

Day 2, Est is lying low. He votes Ban immediately, without providing any more justification than he did last night. He posts the following fairly weak reads. When pressed to justify the Ban vote, he cites the first of these posts. All in all, Est essentially just dodges attention D2. The Ban vote is pretty much doomed from the start, so it's little more indicative than a NULL

Now, since basically anyone could be found scummy under a reading like that, we're going to try again except being charitable.
Est asks a bunch of questions, but supplies few answers. This is actually somewhat hard to justify as town, but also not super important since we're still basically in meme phase.

Meso posts suspicions of -Rosen. Est presses him on these suspicions. Meso responds. Est concedes that there is a scum explanation for -Rosen


...but he doesn't think it's likely.


My current thoughts after my third reread of the thread:

At this point in the game, Rosen looks like certified USDA approved Mislynch Bait. Meso made some good points, but my personal experience speaking with Rosen was NAI, as it was too short-lived. I'll wait till he comes back for another chat, in the meantime I'll try picking up new lines of questioning.
Est then proceeds to defend -Rosen, though somewhat halfheartedly.



The following day, Est mostly postulates about the game setup. Didn't analyze this section too closely, but postulating about the game setup is quite possibly just curiousity.
Est then goes inactive for a while, citing a death in the family. We won't be so gauche as to analyze that.


When they return, we have this, some frankly rather good advice about how we should have been arguing against the -Rosen lynch.


Finally, we get a very plausible reason for not joining the -Rosen train.

Eventually dropping a doomed-to-fail lynch on Ban.

Day 2, Est doesn't have much to say. He votes Ban immediately, without providing any more justification than he did last night. He posts the following fairly weak reads. When pressed to justify the Ban vote, he cites the first of these posts. All in all, Est essentially just doesn't do much D2.

Honestly, there's a fair amount that's definitely fishing for information. There's a decent amount more that's quite possibly circumspect fishing for information. This alone is making me scumlean.
Also, Est's posting has been very low impact, and they haven't really pressed any argument to speak of.
Day 1 they do argue against the -Rosen lynch, but they are drawn away by commitments for too long to make a difference.
Day 2 their posts are barely above zero-information, and they don't argue for their chosen lynch at all.

The scum-explanation for Est's behavior applies to literally anyone who didn't follow the -Rosen lynch. There's a bit of suspectness in how halfhearted it was, but... that's weak reasoning. Really weak. That chunk can't honestly be considered scum indicative.

I'm considering switching from Absum to Est. Gonna look at one more first, and hope there's an actually compelling case for someone.

As an aside, I noticed Nanimani voted Est D1, went to see if there was anything to glean from that.

Nope.

Also, not gonna update this based on Est's post a couple seconds ago.
[/QUOTE]
[/QUOTE]

Est, was a town read from based on day 1 play, but the lessening of actions and prodding day 2 and 3 lowered it to neutral, I'll try and do a reread myself into their posts but I would currently disagree with 100% scum. My strongest scum read is Ban and I only place them at like 70-ish percent.
 
Est then proceeds to defend -Rosen, though somewhat halfheartedly.



The following day, Est mostly postulates about the game setup. Didn't analyze this section too closely, but postulating about the game setup is quite possibly just curiousity.
Est then goes inactive for a while, citing a death in the family. We won't be so gauche as to analyze that.


When they return, we have this, some frankly rather good advice about how we should have been arguing against the -Rosen lynch.


Finally, we get a very plausible reason for not joining the -Rosen train.

Eventually dropping a doomed-to-fail lynch on Ban.

Day 2, Est doesn't have much to say. He votes Ban immediately, without providing any more justification than he did last night. He posts the following fairly weak reads. When pressed to justify the Ban vote, he cites the first of these posts. All in all, Est essentially just doesn't do much D2.

Honestly, there's a fair amount that's definitely fishing for information. There's a decent amount more that's quite possibly circumspect fishing for information. This alone is making me scumlean.
Also, Est's posting has been very low impact, and they haven't really pressed any argument to speak of.
Day 1 they do argue against the -Rosen lynch, but they are drawn away by commitments for too long to make a difference.
Day 2 their posts are barely above zero-information, and they don't argue for their chosen lynch at all.

The scum-explanation for Est's behavior applies to literally anyone who didn't follow the -Rosen lynch. There's a bit of suspectness in how halfhearted it was, but... that's weak reasoning. Really weak. That chunk can't honestly be considered scum indicative.

I'm considering switching from Absum to Est. Gonna look at one more first, and hope there's an actually compelling case for someone.

As an aside, I noticed Nanimani voted Est D1, went to see if there was anything to glean from that.

Nope.

Also, not gonna update this based on Est's post a couple seconds ago.
[/QUOTE]

Est, was a town read from based on day 1 play, but the lessening of actions and prodding day 2 and 3 lowered it to neutral, I'll try and do a reread myself into their posts but I would currently disagree with 100% scum. My strongest scum read is Ban and I only place them at like 70-ish percent.
[/QUOTE]

Oh... wow I've not seen that happen before.
 
I should read the spoilers, but I am 100% up for an Est lynch.
 
I want others opinions on this, but since we're apparently in a position where we lose this night phase, why wouldn't we force everyone to be as open as possible?

I'd suggest with this strategy that we create and ordered list where people need to role claim, because wild claiming outside of a given order is likely to result in scum gaining quality fake-claiming positioning. If we force individuals to respond in an order they are in a more dicey position and less likely to have more room for making a mistake in such claims.



You are strong enough to have been able to see just how obviously connected Nictis and Evenstar were, and pushed them at the beginning of last phase, in ways that gave you safe distance from both lynches, you've been away most end of day phases which is somewhat convenient for scum because they are not in any hard spaces (Though very very easily can just be the way that things fall scheduling wise. Especially with the subject of midterms)

The funny react is because this is 100% how I'd expect scum to respond, with instantly trying to discredit their attacker for being scum and "being on the Absum lynch." I was very clearly preferring your lynch over Absum, and I just had a stronger town read in Happerry. This is blatant scum discrediting and only makes my read of you stronger.

'blatant scum discrediting' I'm sorry that I tried to defend myself? If you noticed, I didn't vote for you. I'm not convinced you're scum even if you're convinced the other way around. The whole point of that end bit was that hey, self-preservation is a thing and I feel that your push on me is self-preservation.

To answer your actual points though, I'm not sure strength is the word when Evenstar asked Nictis's opinion multiple times day 1 and sheeped their vote without even asking why. For a player like Eva to do that they need to be pretty certain Nictis on Nictis's alignment - which Day 1 means either Eva is scum or that they're in a mason together.

Admittedly, I didn't consider them being in a mason as an option because I was already scum leaning Eva. That's definitely my bad. But recognizing that Eva knew something about Nictis at this point - I don't see how that's alignment indicative.

Yes, I pushed Nictis for a small period of time. This was my preconceptions coloring my view, admittedly. I was pretty much locked into thinking Eva was scum, and so when Nictis started behaving like he knew what Eva was as well my theory that Eva was scum and sheeping a town Nictis was mostly eliminated. As I believed Eva was scum, that left Nictis being her scum buddy. I wasn't sure of it, but since Nictis was so highly regarded in the town at that point I wanted to at least raise the point. So, I put a vote on him early on to ask for some explanation... And then I got none, and so I took it off. I was trying to pressure, badly, not start a lynch train.

After that the whole reveal happened and I realized I'd fucked up by ignoring the mason option :V

As to why I've been away? Yeah, you nailed it on the head. Day ends at 9. I have an 8 o'clock class, and am the type of extra who sits in the front row. That means that at most I'm able to phone post, and normally can't really post at all. The only time that wasn't the case was Fall Break, but, well, getting drunk with my friends outweighed being here at the time, sorry. 🤷‍♂️

In Post Edit: So malicious funny. Tbh, it hurt a bit? You're one of the people who I think is really good at this game, and so when you funnied the post I felt like an idiot. With that said I get that it wasn't intentionally malicious, just a spur of the moment feeling, and so I forgive you. I'm not the type to hold grudges, especially over something that wasn't even truly meant.

In Post Edit 2: Absum is dead town @InterstellarHobo
 
Ah, screw it.

Since I obviously can't remember shite right now, consider me as standing by whatever my last reads post was for the moment.
 
Urg. I just woke up, my week did not improve over the start of the weekend so I didn't spend it trying to look through the game at all. I have a VTM session today and stuff after so I'll probably be looking at this like...late 8pm my time.

I'd like to look more into Est, I couldn't find anything really on 1K by the time I had to get dragged away. That being said I would have stayed on Absum to provide secondary options given happery lynch was X2 the size.
 
Not lynching list (Without some fucking amazing persuasion)
-Evenstar
-Ban,
-DimensionalGuy
-QTesseract (It's true, we're not lynching him today)
-Meso
-1KBestK

Potential List
-Cyricubed (Need to check previous thoughts again, and then probably read through his posts again anyways T.T)
-Pyrros (Actually just unsure as to alignment)
-InterstellarHobo (Don't remember thoughts on them)

Most likely to be lynched
-ComiTurtle (I just keep stumbling on that claim. Bulletproof Town in this setup, and there's a Doctor. This slot just keeps yelling "Serial Killer" at me)
-Est (???) (???????????????????)

Mostly posting this because my brain doesn't seem to like the idea of me going to sleep without actually doing something here.
 
I don't suppose anyone had eyes on that? Would make this easier.
 
Not lynching list (Without some fucking amazing persuasion)
-Evenstar
-Ban,
-DimensionalGuy
-QTesseract (It's true, we're not lynching him today)
-Meso
-1KBestK
I like the bit about not lynching me, and you explained your reasoning with regards to Evenstar (and QT :p ), but I don't see how you can get firm town reads on the others. Can you explain your thinking?
 
EOD Votal summary:

D1:
-Rosen (6): Mesonoxian, Evenstar, Nictis, DimensionalGuy, QTesseract, InterstellarHobo
ComiTurtle (2): Cyricubed, Happerry
Evenstar (1): BanTheFairyKing
Est (1): Nanimani
DimensionalGuy (1): 1KBestK
BanTheFairyKing (1): Est
Not Voting (5): PyrrosWarrior, -Rosen, Look To The Left, ComiTurtle, Happerry

D2:
Look To The Left (5): DimensionalGuy, Nanimani, Mesonoxian, InterstellarHobo, Nictis
Nanimani (2): Absum, Evenstar
BanTheFairyKing (1): Est
Evenstar (1): BanTheFairyKing
Absum (1): Cyricubed
Not Voting (5): PyrrosWarrior, Look To The Left, ComiTurtle, Happerry, 1KBestK

D3:
Happerry (7): BanTheFairyKing, Absum, InterstellarHobo, Mesonoxian, Nictis, PyrrosWarrior, DimensionalGuy
Absum (4): Cyricubed, Evenstar, 1KBestK, ComiTurtle
Not Voting (2): Happerry, Est

Annnd now let's do paint-by-numbers in a separate post.
 
Paint by numbers:
[REDACTED]

Conclusions:
Lynch BanTheFairyKing today. He's the instigator of the dumbass Happerry lynch, he's probably unaligned with Est, and both D1 and D2 he was off-wagon voting for me for no goddamn reason.

Would also accept DimensionalGuy or Cyricubed.
 
Lynch BanTheFairyKing today. He's the instigator of the dumbass Happerry lynch, he's probably unaligned with Est, and both D1 and D2 he was off-wagon voting for me for no goddamn reason.

Would also accept DimensionalGuy or Cyricubed.
DimensionalGuy I'm assuming is for post numbers at this point, Cyricubed I plan on looking into myself, but I am curious on what the bit about Est is?
 
Also (Currently checking to make sure I'm not misremembering) wasn't Ban's jump to Happerry after my post on them?
 
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