FullNothingness
Mostly DHMO.
Draenei and Alliance is Desperately needed if we want a shot at preventing the Alliance base from collapsing to internal strife.
Double down brings the chance up to 65%, and a personal Intervention could raise that even higher.
It is risky, yes, but Necessary. Unless people want to see the Alliance go up in tinders.
We have no double down and HI can only be used on military actions...
Voting Draenei and Alliance has a 55% chance of doing nothing or actually making things worse... What's more, even if it succeeds we have no guarantees it'll do anything particularly useful. Velen has no real benefit over our own diplomacy besides being a better diplomat. The Dranei haven't been out there proving their intentions and are (hopefully) completely unknown to the Alliance.