Once again, I find myself back at Mauna Kea Surveillance Observatory. Whereas my previous visit was during the quiet hours, now the building is abuzz with technicians, scientists, and other staff. Nevertheless, Dr. Paulson finds time for our interview as we sit down at the main control room.
Q: Hello again, Dr. Paulson. I imagine it's been a busy few days.
A: Don't need to tell me about it. Congratulations on your book, by the by. Ever since it published, web searches for this place spiked five thousand percent. I mean, the number was really small to begin with, so it's not as big as it sounds, but...
Sorry, rambling. Mind's been frayed these past few days. I take it you want to ask about the current situation?
Q: Actually, I was hoping to ask you about the history of tracking the Colonization Fleet, from the beginning.
Paulson blinks.
A: Oh, oh! Well, I guess it makes sense. Very beginning... let's see...
She hums for a moment, then focuses her vision.
Well, the Eyes Pealed Project officially began in 2024, but that's a bit misleading. As soon as the first fusion flames were detected, dozens of observation projects were born over the years, most of them informal. You had Americans, Russians, Chinese, Indians, all working independently; but they also formed cooperative projects to track the Fleet and Flishithy. Then the war began, and some projects got dissolved, going from tracking the ships to looking for weapons on the ships, or the Foot...
All of those disjointed projects got centralized and refined under the Eyes Pealed Project. While each nation still controls the individual observatories on their own territory, and not all of the observatories are dedicated fully to scanning for extraterrestrial threats, we all ultimately answer to the TGDF and UN.
It was an odd first few years. I mean, I'm also involved with other projects, such as tracking our own ships, but a lot of the equipment hadn't been put up yet. After all, the Fithp destroyed the Hubble, and the war delayed the James Webb project to the point that it became outdated before it could launch...
Q: When were the first telescopes dedicated to tracking spacecraft developed?
A: By 2025 or so, I believe. Tracking spacecraft is a different beast from studying stars or other distant celestial phenomena- the targets are far smaller, but much closer, and the best wavelengths for detection are different. The James Webb would have been meant for detecting red-shifted objects, too faint for detection by previous telescopes. But for tracking incoming ships, it's more ideal to have the telescope optimized for higher frequencies.
Q: Why so?
A: If a ship was coming in our direction, especially at relativistic velocities, the light emanating from it would be compressed due to the Doppler effect. That, and if it turned around to decelerate, the drive would almost certainly be of the kind that produces higher frequencies of light- ultraviolet, x-rays, gamma rays even. Theoretically speaking, one could even determine the performance and type of engine from studying the flare of the drive.
Of course, we already knew the type of drive flare that the Colonization Fleet would be producing. And, we knew exactly where it'd be coming from.
Q: When were you first able to detect the Colonization Fleet?
A: Well, you have to remember that Tau Ceti is nearly twelve light years away, so the first opportunity to see the Fleet wouldn't be until 2032 or so, as that's how long it'd take for the light to reach us. And sure enough, it did.
She pauses to access her phone, then pulls up a hologram of a seemingly random segment of space, dominated by the glare of an unseen star. Faintly, one can see a few wisps of particulate, so imperceptible that they could easily been missed. It is reminiscent of the way microdroplets split and dance over the surface of a hot cup of tea.
I'm sure you're familiar with this photo. Those wisps are, in essence, space dust. Ice crystals, presolar grains, that sort of stuff. Each grain is on a scale best measured in micrometers or smaller, but from a distance the clouds can be detected.
Those coalesced little brushes you see there are the wakes of the Colonization Fleet's ships, as they barreled through the dust at about half a percent of the speed of light. By that point, they'd already cleared their version of the Oort Cloud.
That was a bit of an "Welp" moment for us.
Q: Welp?
A: I mean, we already knew that the Fleet would be leaving around that time, thanks to all the info we got from the Race on Earth, but it was the last nail in the coffin. For all we knew beforehand, the Fleet could have been delayed, or it was the greatest deception ever pulled in history. There were even crackpots claiming that the Race lied about coming from Tau Ceti, or theorizing that the Hearth fithp were commencing an assault.
But that photo confirmed it. The Colonization Fleet was real, and it was already halfway here.
Now, this is where the observation stuff gets really wonky. Relativistic speeds and all that- blue shifts, distortion, yadda yadda. We weren't concerned for the most part about the early stages of the Fleet's transit to our star. We were more concerned about deceleration, or lack thereof.
Q: Lack thereof? Was there a fear of relativistic attack?
A: Yes.
She frowns.
Okay, there was a fear, but it was small. The likelihood of the Fleet learning something was up, then deciding to do a suicide attack with civilian craft despite being the most narrow-minded and inflexible thinkers in the galaxy is... was small. Let's be real- no way in hell it would've happened. We had a firm grip on communications towards the Fleet, which was mum until they would have woken up, and by the time they detected our own ship heading to Home, they'd be too deep into the deceleration phase to be a risk.
But, that didn't stop us from making sure that we could see every single last one of those torches turned back our way when they started decelerating. If just one of those ships didn't turn around on schedule, then there would've been hell to pay.
Thankfully, like everything else the Race does, the Fleet turned around and started decelerating all at once, like clockwork.
That was about three years ago. When I saw all the flames on the screen, I poured myself a little victory shot.
Q: Only three years ago? Wouldn't have the torches been visible from much farther away?
A: Despite the ridiculous thrust and performance on them, Race ships actually don't accelerate the entire trip. At some point, their exhaust velocity just can't make them go any faster. Which is for the best- if they were accelerating the whole time during that twenty year trip, at their max speed a marshmallow could hit with more than ten times the energy of the bomb that destroyed Hiroshima. A ship... that would make the Foot look like a firecracker.
They do it in spurts, I think. First they crank up the gees to get a nice velocity going, then they stop when clearing the Oort Cloud, and then they speed up more and more as the interstellar medium gets sparser. They coast for a bit, and then they hit the deceleration closer to the target, since the flare of the drives help handle the problem of debris.
But hopping across the stars isn't as easy for them as the Race makes it out to be. They actually pack on a crapload of Whipple shielding as they head out, and by the time they actually get here the shielding is practically nonexistent. At max speed, a milligram hits like a battleship shell. I'm honestly surprised they've never lost a ship transiting between stars.
She pauses for a moment, brow knitted.
Putting together all the problems of interstellar travel like that... well, I guess it helps to explain the complexities of our little pickle here.