Shadows on the Silverbird (Mafia)

Guys, I've told you a number of times now what my power is. I'm kind of a lookout, but I can only see whether my target is visited or visits someone, and how many total visits there were involving that person. For instance, last night I watched atk and saw that there were two people who did actions around them. It can be assumed this was the person who killed them and the person they visited.

As for my name, it's Deslan the Hunter.
 
Right so the thing is I did indeed kill atk50 and as we can see he flipped necro scum.

At this point I think Pawn was probably lying to get us murdering vets, not that such is a new opinion. Kinda wish I'd eaten cookie side's corpse, so I would be able to confirm if he is roleblocker or not, but I went for Astaroh-m. Actually, come to think roleblock may be a necro-scum power? Hmm.

Personally, while he could be lying I'm presently inclined to think Cheese is in fact as he claims, simply because no contradicting info has ever come up. The lack of Mutineer kill (discounting my use of the power) and the fact that necro scum flipped as clearly part of a team has me thinking one necro scum left.

Which, incidentally, means Estro and TheMaskedReader are back on the table as possible Necro-scum.

... Ideally, we would compile a night action log to determine if eg the roleblocker failed to occur when Necro Scum double killed/when a specific player was jailed.
 
Hmmm. We've got five left, one of whom is me. We either 100% need a scum lynch (if there is indeed a third mutineer) today, or... If there's only one scum left, we could no-lynch today, have me cop check one of the surviving candidates, and lynch them if they flip scum and have me kill the other in the following night? Maybe? I'm not entirely sure this tracks...

Especially with not being entirely sure on there being a third mutineer.

If there is a third mutineer, it has to be either Estro or Cheese, and Cheese doesn't fit roleblocker unless this is a gutsy fake-claim that he's managed to avoid having backfire. TheMaskedReader got attacked by them and Nictis outted Cookie Side, which I mean I guess it could be bussing but uh I doubt it given it still left Nictis under suspicion of possible necro-scum-ness.
 
Revisiting something real fast...

Right, so vanilla. Cheese is now the most suspect person in my mind, having not claimed vanilla or anything else.

Vanilla is actually inherently fairly suspect, as it's the most common role type we have seen. I'm not convinced Estro is scum, specifically, but merely having a vanilla claim, which is not in fact one of the earlier claims, is not much defense.
 
Guys, I've told you a number of times now what my power is. I'm kind of a lookout, but I can only see whether my target is visited or visits someone, and how many total visits there were involving that person. For instance, last night I watched atk and saw that there were two people who did actions around them. It can be assumed this was the person who killed them and the person they visited.

As for my name, it's Deslan the Hunter.
Why would you watch someone you know was going to die? It's somewhat curious on that regard, as looking elsewhere might have provided more useful information, such as perhaps the living scum. It just seems like a poor choice for you, as well as something very obvious to say.
Right so the thing is I did indeed kill atk50 and as we can see he flipped necro scum.

At this point I think Pawn was probably lying to get us murdering vets, not that such is a new opinion. Kinda wish I'd eaten cookie side's corpse, so I would be able to confirm if he is roleblocker or not, but I went for Astaroh-m. Actually, come to think roleblock may be a necro-scum power? Hmm.

Personally, while he could be lying I'm presently inclined to think Cheese is in fact as he claims, simply because no contradicting info has ever come up. The lack of Mutineer kill (discounting my use of the power) and the fact that necro scum flipped as clearly part of a team has me thinking one necro scum left.

Which, incidentally, means Estro and TheMaskedReader are back on the table as possible Necro-scum.

... Ideally, we would compile a night action log to determine if eg the roleblocker failed to occur when Necro Scum double killed/when a specific player was jailed.
Something else I find interesting is that nobody has found this supposed chemical roleblock that TMR suffered {LINK}. Nobody has claimed it, and the power that you got, thinking it might be that, was rather more... elemental in nature. A chemical roleblock looks to be out of theme for the purple scum. So it's either resting with someone alive, or it did belong with Cookieside.

That sleep also happened on the first night, so it doesn't leave them out for the double kill, which was night two.

Vanilla is actually inherently fairly suspect, as it's the most common role type we have seen. I'm not convinced Estro is scum, specifically, but merely having a vanilla claim, which is not in fact one of the earlier claims, is not much defense.
While this is true, as Vanilla is a quick and easy claim, unlike TMR, I had flavour with mine. While the death of QT shows that multiple deckhands is possible, I would like to say mine has more, ah, substance.

Also, with ten posts across the entire game, Cheese has a fifth of as many posts as the least posty member still alive. Less than a fifteenth of the most. Given the state of the game, and the stringency of the correct lynch, I'd expect them to be trying to help out town more now, instead of the almost "oh, why are you hassling me on this" attitude he's had.

If I was to codify suspicions, it would be probably Cheese first, TMR next, and then Nictis for last night, although that was apparently angsty drama stuff from previous games and i really don't want to start it again.
Hmmm. We've got five left, one of whom is me. We either 100% need a scum lynch (if there is indeed a third mutineer) today, or... If there's only one scum left, we could no-lynch today, have me cop check one of the surviving candidates, and lynch them if they flip scum and have me kill the other in the following night? Maybe? I'm not entirely sure this tracks...
And while they could kill you, unless they have another double kill up their sleeve, they couldn't kill both you and nictis, which means that town could still get the information. Unless Nictis is that ballsy scum game. It's not a bad idea, I suppose. If the Mutiny is still alive, we'd be fucked, but that it looking less and less plausible.

Gotta appreciate Pawn Lelouch managing to fuck stuff over even while dead. That's skill.
 
If cheese is necro, I suppose his watcher ability would be something like a life force sense, fluff wise.
 
Something else I find interesting is that nobody has found this supposed chemical roleblock that TMR suffered {LINK}. Nobody has claimed it, and the power that you got, thinking it might be that, was rather more... elemental in nature. A chemical roleblock looks to be out of theme for the purple scum. So it's either resting with someone alive, or it did belong with Cookieside.

That sleep also happened on the first night, so it doesn't leave them out for the double kill, which was night two.

Ah, no. Yun also claimed roleblocked at one point, night 2 as I recall.

And while they could kill you, unless they have another double kill up their sleeve, they couldn't kill both you and nictis, which means that town could still get the information. Unless Nictis is that ballsy scum game. It's not a bad idea, I suppose. If the Mutiny is still alive, we'd be fucked, but that it looking less and less plausible.

Gotta appreciate Pawn Lelouch managing to fuck stuff over even while dead. That's skill.
Pawn is a very competent player, yes.
 
I personally am inclined to think the list goes TMR->Estro->Terra->Cheese.

If all the Mutineers are dead, then we're not quite at MYLO. If there is still a Mutineer, then we might be at LYLO.

Busy, will think on it more later.
 
I personally am inclined to think the list goes TMR->Estro->Terra->Cheese.

If all the Mutineers are dead, then we're not quite at MYLO. If there is still a Mutineer, then we might be at LYLO.

Busy, will think on it more later.
One reason I am significantly more suspicious of Cheese than I was like five minutes ago is what Esteo just pointed out of targeting atk50 being very strange. Targeting TMR or Estro could have caught the last scum, potentially. Claiming to target atk50 could well be scum completely faking a power use, ala how in Curtain Call I claimed to rolecop Blade to get the opening to attack on a night I was certain Blade would be roleblocked.
 
Anyway, I'm going to bed now, and I'd hope this would remain unsaid, but given yesterday, don't lynch me before i can wait up. That's just a dick move
 
I mean honestly we shouldn't even cast votes until we analyze out the most likely scum. Because if we are wrong about remaining scum, a vote or two on someone could allow scum to 'accidentally' hammer a townie. Which would be bad. Or me, which for me is even worse what with needing strictly to live.
 
So I went back to grab all of atk50's posts to see if he was shielding anyone and also reviewed stuff incidentally. Well, I skipped his confirmation post but whatever.


I think you're reffering to... this?

[X]Lynch Pawn Lelouch

My next post will have a different vote, but I'll do the classic meme to start.

His classic memevote. Pawn is already dead so even paranoidly thinking it means something it has no relevance.

I believe that the captain would fit the naming scheme. I think the main difference is that captain is a title as well as a job.

Here's an example to further illustrate what I mean:

Article:
Mario [as in Mario Jumpman Mario himself] is a plumber. Plumber is his job but not his title, therefore he is Mario the plumber.

Mario is a man. He goes by Mister Mario. Mister is his title, not his job, therefore it goes before his name. [Note that this doesn't track in certain historical settings, i.e. "Macbeth, thane of Cawdor"]

Mario is a doctor. Doctor is both a title and a job, therefore he is Doctor Mario.

Or, even simpler: If it is not in a historical setting, any titles go before the name, whether or not they are the Job. Jobs that are not titles go after. [I'm sure there's some exception to this, but I haven't thought of one].


This is the rule I use for naming people in fiction. Using this model, Captain [Name] would seem to be a logical way to name the character, and I think it's plausible that Cyric used a similar system of naming.

Now, as for the two cop thing: I'm suspicious. I don't love that two people are claiming what is essentially the same type of role. While there's a good amount of differences that help lend aid to there being two cops, I see FAR more information and lore coming from the Shaman, which makes me believe that is a legitimate claim. If you want to prove your innocence, give us more information, @Astaroh-M. Just lore would probably be enough.

In the meantime though,

[X]Null
[X]Lynch Astaroh-M

Goes against Astaroh, irrelevant info at this point.

Damn, my formatting messed up. How do you to the collapsible notes thing?

I think he was asking about spoiler tabs? Not really relevant tl game.

Not necessarily. I was mostly just looking for a little more information. That being said, I am a man of my word. I don't want to take down astaroh just yet, and there's more pressure to be applied.

[X]Null
So then, on to the next question: Who should I vote for instead? I would join the Pawn Wagon but frankly there's enough votes there, and he's promised a response. None of the other existing wagons have that much going for them either.

So, we need a new one. I think we should apply some inactivity pressure. I don't have many posts, but I've also been in the game for less time, so I think it's okay that I'm bugging people who haven't posted but have been in the game the whole time. Of the ones who I think we could pressure because of low posts there's Hybrid, Yun, and Cake. Cake is here, so I don't want to do that. Yun is a newbie, but you don't get off entirely free, and Hybrid. Of the three, I'm going to vote for hybrid. While @Yun should post more as well, Hybrid does not have the newbie defense. You've played other games, @Hybrid, so you know that you should post more.

Post and I'll pick someone else.

[X]Lynch Hybrid

Goes to pressure a low poster. Given those still alive are all high posters, there's not much we can extract out of it, although of us five TMR has the least posts.

Has Yun been in other games?

Damn, it really has been a while.

Responding to me mentioning Yun having other games. Basically irrelevant.

If you expect me to give Huge detailed analysis on the playerbase, or make insightful comments, you are going to be dissapointed.
I haven't got into the habit of keeping notes besides just writing if i suspect a player of being town, or scum. The most i can give you in short time, before i go to sleep is about this.

Terra Informatie and analytic. Nothing that gives me a town/scum read.
LDJ Dead Town.
QT Even tough i only remember him from probably wrong setup speculation, i have a slight feeling he is Town.
TMR Tentatively scum, is the impression i got in those initial post and his LMBF/ Adbla vote change.
Adbla Dead Town
Yun No idea, neutral
Archeo He feels somewhat Townish to me
Pawn No read, so neutral
Hybrid Seems as bad a player as me, also doesn't present a unique opinion.
Astaroh Before the captain claim he felt scummy to me, after that it was somewhat confusing, so i don't feel like moving my vote.
Dance/atk50 No idea
LMBF He is scum, incompetent or both.
Nictis He reads solid Town to me, he seems too emotionally invested.
BB Tentative town due to claiming, though becouse her posts makes me think she is nice=Town which is a bit confusing for me.
Crystal No idea
Estro Feels Town, though that might be their usual way of playing like BB
Cake Posted little but voted LMBF and TMR so feels Town to me

I grabbed this because Cookie Side is confirmed mutineer. Unfortunately even if we assume a third mutineer which I soubt at this point, he gives a neutral read on his only confirmed teammate. Of those of us left alive, he rates Estro as slight town, Nictis as Solid Town, TMR as slight scum, me as neutral, and this was before cheese replaced in and I don't recall who Cheese replaced. Not hugely helpful.

If hybrid doesn't come back, I'll be voting LMBF. I agree with Terra's reasoning not to move the vote.

LMBF has not posted enough, and dropping that claim on day 1 (Despite what the general consensus on that type of claim at that timing) is not good play. Whether LMBF is a jailor or a roleblocker, a role like that is incredibly valuable to town and it is foolish to reveal that so soon. That's not even getting into the fact that nobody has stepped forward to corroborate the lore behind that.

This might not be coherent. I'm tired and distracted. But I'm making my intention clear.

Let me know if you want something cleared up.

Standing firm on lynching LMBF, backing my reasoning.

Fair enough. If I'm being honest I forgot about that.

I don't recall context, he's saying he forgot something but I don't remember what he was responding to.

I've already addressed this. It's security. Like terra said, LMBF is already comfortably in the lead. We're just making sure Hybrid is lynchable if he comes back in the last few minutes of the phase. I also made my reasoning why I would otherwise vote to lynch LMBF.

Re-affirming his position on making Hybrid lynchable.

Also, @Cakestepid the vote tally currently has you voting for nobody (literally [] Lynch and then no name). You might want to fix that.

Helping a player with input type issues.

Hey everyone. Expect a drop in activity from me this phase, sorry. I'm out of town. I'll be reading though.

Announcing inactivity.

I have time for one quick post before I lose contact, so here I am.

In short: what interaction?

I mean, if you're talking about the memevote, that's what I always do. Or if you're talking about me joining a different wagon, I thought I made my reasoning clear. We had been promised a response, there was suitable pressure on Pawn, and I'm not very vote-happy in hammer games. I don't want to put someone who is going to respond and is comfortably in the lead vote-wise within the danger zone where hammer is easily achieved. Based on that reasoning, I decided that ample pressure could be placed on someone else as well, while we waited for a response.

I'm about to leave the ground, so I'll be losing signal.

Responding to me reading him and pawn as teammates which has proven woefully wrong, in spite of both being scum.

First night I watched Nictis, and one person visited them (or perhaps they visited someone)

@Nictis any idea what this is? I don't think this ever got answered. If we don't know who visited you, then that could mean you visited someone.

I've got to agree with Estro here. You did go through and kill multiple members of the crew.
I don't believe you.

[X]Lynch Cookie Side

Going against cookie side.

If you're serious:






I thought that was pretty clear.

I think he's quoting something? I don't remember.

No green kill, but no QT? If Nictis is to be believed (And as cookie side's death proved, he is), then QT is the last member of the mutineers.

I'll be the first to cast my vote.

[X]Lynch QTesseract

Pushing for QT's death...

Besides, QT claimed vanilla, yes? We aren't losing a valuable power role by lynching them, yes?

[X] Lynch QTesseract

And then TMR immediately backs him.

TMR has a bad habit of as scum swiftly and openly supporting scum buddies, see Arch-Demon's Amusement. I believe this, among other things, is circumstantial evidence in favor of TMR as second Necro-scum.

I can confirm that something was up with QT last night. I was unable to observe them for reasons unknown to me

This could be playing dumb, but alongside his general inactivity implies to me his claim is actually a legit power given his apparent confusion.

well, it's down to me, terrabrand, Nictis, Cheese, and Estro. I know I'm not scum, for the sake of argument, let's assume I could be. Nictis is confirmed medium, though with necromantic forces, he could be scum. TB is confirmed corpse-power thief, and he killed a necromancer, so without some weird plays going on here he's confirmed survivor. However, he's still the survivor, and could betray us if it'll let him live. The mutineers did NOT KILL last night or Crystalwatcher managed to foil their kill. TB did the kill on who he said he would. With luck, all mutineers are dead. I don't want to bet on that.

Worst case scenario: 1 v 1 v 1 v 2. One surviving scum member from each team, TB is kingmaker and will eventually decide who lives and dies, though we might get lucky.

TMR throwing out a lot of 'distrust Terrabrand' and 'there's another mutineer' type messages. I don't like it.

Observation I failed to grab a quote for; neither Nictis nor Estro attempted to dissaude me from killing atk50 while being actively around while I was pushing him as my kill target. This makes me suspect neither is a necromancer, alongside other stuff from my review that, frustratingly, I didn't quote. Bleh, being sick sucks.

Anyways. At this point, I'm inclined to think Necro-scum is between TMR and Cheese, and I suspect TMR a lot more right now. Thoughts?
 
@Nictis any idea what this is? I don't think this ever got answered. If we don't know who visited you, then that could mean you visited someone.
Crystal visited me Night One. I'm certain that Cheese is actually using the power he has, since he knew about when Crystal and Astaroh visited me. I'm less certain about him not being a Mutineer because I am still trying to find the third member.

Okay, so. We have two options for action.

1: We assume we're at MYLO, this requires the Mutiny or the Scarlet Hand to be dead. Considering atk's flip, the Scarlet Hand are probably still alive.
2: We assume that we're at LYLO, this requires that both factions are alive. That is... unlikely since it would require uneven numbers, but possible.

Both of these assumptions are ignoring Terrabrand, because while he's likely to side with Town, he technically can side with anyone.

If it's MYLO, we're at five members, if we no lynch then Terrabrand can investigate someone tonight, Cheese can do the same (Any numbers that aren't Terrabrand copping or them dying is proof that they are the killer, so no numbers is likely proof that they are innocent) one person is killed tonight, likely Cheese since he's functionally a cop at this point and can't join scum, we wake up with four and use whichever investigation survived to knock off the last of the scum.

Or we can lynch, try to chance getting the killer so there's no risk to Terrabrand... I'm currently against this, but if we can figure it out without investigating then we could do it (Or we could wait the night to confirm)

If it's LYLO... We're at five members, two die in the night, it's down to Terrabrand and whoever survives. It's possible that scum would crossfire and win the game for Town, but let's not bet on that, shall we? In this case, Terrabrand gets to play Kingmaker (Which is why I'm calling it LYLO, since he could choose scum) the only question is if he's playing Kingmaker between the two scum or one scum and a Town.

I'm betting that we're at MYLO, because I cannot find the last bloody Mutineer. So, either we lynch someone just in case both sides of Scum are still alive, or we No-Lynch and let the two investigators do work.
 
Or we can lynch, try to chance getting the killer so there's no risk to Terrabrand... I'm currently against this, but if we can figure it out without investigating then we could do it (Or we could wait the night to confirm)

My one concern about leaning on investigation is the possibility of the necro scum having their own godfather.

I believe the risk to me is negligible, and indeed I believe lynching today increases, not decreases, the risk to me.
 
Goes to pressure a low poster. Given those still alive are all high posters, there's not much we can extract out of it, although of us five TMR has the least posts.
This is incorrect, TMR has 55 posts, Cheese has 10. I know cheese replaced someone, but that was like, honestly a while ago at this point. Like, that aforementioned low poster in what I'm quoting has one less post than Cheese does.
I believe the risk to me is negligible, and indeed I believe lynching today increases, not decreases, the risk to me.
I can see your logic here. Hmm.
 
This is incorrect, TMR has 55 posts, Cheese has 10. I know cheese replaced someone, but that was like, honestly a while ago at this point. Like, that aforementioned low poster in what I'm quoting has one less post than Cheese does.
Hmmm. I keep overlooking Cheese, honestly. Lemme double check something... *checks*

The pressure post was on page 19. Cheese didn't replace in until 21, and the person he was replacing already needed replacing by the time atk50 replaced in.

Thus, the results are kinda inconclusive on 'atk50 shielding scumbuddy', because he probably wouldn't pressure someone going to be replaced or modkilled regardless of respective alignments.
 
While this is true, as Vanilla is a quick and easy claim, unlike TMR, I had flavour with mine. While the death of QT shows that multiple deckhands is possible, I would like to say mine has more, ah, substance.
I did have flavor! Sure, nothing too verifiable, but I did have flavor.
TMR throwing out a lot of 'distrust Terrabrand' and 'there's another mutineer' type messages. I don't like it.
I mean, you are the one person amongst us who I am absolutely sure doesn't have an incentive to not betray town.
Anyways. At this point, I'm inclined to think Necro-scum is between TMR and Cheese, and I suspect TMR a lot more right now. Thoughts?
And I'm inclined to suspect Cheese. His watcher role would be a good support movement for the Necromancers, his claim has no flavor connection to any of the others (me sharing the Deckhand job with 2 others, Estro being a pair with the uh, skinner?)

Here, @Nictis? Ask QT or the other Deckhand what their skill was. Mine was Man the Ship. I, well, man the ship, but have no skills applicable to this situation.
 
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