Like honestly tempted to vote Meso actually because of the angles they're pushing this early and how narrow the perspective they're pushing through seems to be. Throw the Vanilla "claim" that they turned around on it sounds like they could have turned it into a serious claim IF they wanted to but it obviously went sour quick. Ahhh
Right, for some reason, quotes and spoilers don't always mix for me. The little click to expand doesn't happen. So uh. Sorry for the wall, but I know I wouldn't like to be unable to read this. Gonna try to spoil sections that don't have long quotes, but.
Not really a good look imo but that's just my bias toward my own ideals; it's important to carry cautious optimism in regard to Town leaders, but outright calling it suspicious isn't really the way to do things.
See, the thing is that being paranoid doesn't really help at all. Paranoia leads to constant questioning of people even if they haven't really done anything wrong, and just impedes progress as it happens. A certain degree of trust is required in Mafia to be able to get anything done. It's fine to be wary of people, but it's better to do so after they've done something to justify wariness.
Moving on from that, my next question to you is: what makes you see Broken Base as more of a Town leader at this stage in the game, since you cited growing suspicion of Town leaders in your scumread of her?
Rosen keeps poking this, while 1K keeps saying that they have a bias against them due to how they typically play, not a noteworthy read. Meanwhile, Rosen keeps treating it as a noteworthy read, up and including voting them when they don't provide reasons from this game as to why that have that bias.
Rosen is feeling a lot like what happened in the previous two games so a decent townread there, and you're doing ok but you haven't really done much that feels outside your scumrange atm. Most everybody else is a shade of null, though I don't like how it feels like @Dawiusz kinda exited the game after they started getting pressure, and I'm still waiting for Byzantine to prove me wrong concerning his tone; I'll probably shift my vote, though, because I'm not sure he'd be a good play for today.
I'm honestly a bit surprised because of how they've been playing Rosen is a pretty strong townread to me, and as somebody who has been interacting with him so much I'd have expected you to come to a similar result from the inside. What's your read on 'em?
So she says she townreads Rosen again, then is rather confused at 1K's lack of townreading them, then asks for reads again, after the literal things she's responding to here being "I don't have actual reads yet." Reminder that this is after 27 hours of the game. We're not even halfway done with D1.
This post specifically is something she mentioned later as thoughts and impressions are totally different from reads, but I only accept that in a technical sense. If it affects the game, it's a read of some sort, and there's no reason to seek out information not affecting the game.
MEANWHILE
And I already told you that I'd rather not spare the time for paranoia. If you meta a bit and say "well BB is usually at the helm at this point but she's taking more of a backseat here" or something along those lines (full disclosure that isn't what I think; just throwing it out there for the sake of example) then I'd be fine with what you're thinking, but right now it's just a whole lot of "well BB is suspicious because she's usually an early Town leader and that's suspicious."
I'd rather take assumptions like that out as soon as possible so we can focus on the game itself, or individual players' meta. Playing based on full player base meta is a big no-no in any situation.
You're asking the same question, getting the same answer with stress that it's not an actual read and shouldn't be followed, but it's the best answer she can give you, and you're treating it like it's 1K that's making the big push here. This is just bad.
Full disclosure before I get a "that's not what I said though" comment, I'm exaggerating a bit here because I don't want what's currently out there to devolve into something similar to this.
Oh but it's fine because after saying that, it's not what's happening now. It's just that what's happening now is on this path and is probably going to devolve into it.
That was sarcasm.
Then why did you say it? That's not what I was doing. That wasn't what I was moving towards, either. I was answering base's question honestly, and my answer was that I had no reads besides the ones I have attached to players. It was a passing comment you are focusing in on for no real reason.
I said it because that's something I can realistically see happening. It doesn't have to be you that does it, but anybody can just sit here and say "our Town leader is suspicious because they're the Town leader!!!" and have a non-zero chance of actually gaining traction on that argument. I've seen it happen and it's just never helpful.
It's also why I'm pressing you so much on your "passing comment" about why you have the read you have on BB; it's a combination of me wanting to steer away from the whole "Town leader = instantly suspicious" argument, and me thinking that you having a light scum-read on someone that hasn't even exhibited the behavior you described yet (that being BB being light scum-read for fitting into a Town leader role, when there really hasn't even been that kind of establishment yet) is suspicious in itself.
I'm legitimately getting really frustrated at this point so I'm just not going to respond on this dumb argument past this, but the whole point of bringing it up was to acknowledge that I have that bias. I am consciously trying to work around it. I don't need you to tell me it's irrational. I know. I don't need you to tell me not to follow it - I wasn't in the first place. You are overblowing this to the point of ridiculousness.
I don't see the reason to post a light scum-read without saying you aren't actually considering following through on it though? At that point it's just shading for the sake of shading which I don't like for completely different reasons
So after 1K calls him out on this, he just kinda doubles down on it.
Also calls 1K actually saying what little she has when asked suspicious and shading again. It's kind of getting old at this point.
Yeah honestly I don't know whats up with this guy right now; his posts have just been...odd...to me, but nothing that I really want to push, at least pending future posts from him. I'll let you pursue that as you please for the time being.
Aaaand Rosen follows right onto Daw.
Though it seems I've misremembered, as they go back to 1K a bit after this before starting the Daw push in earnest. Thought this was just the end of it.
Like I mentioned the paranoia- anyone here that can talk with me about 1K? Like I'm looking at her ISO this game and I find the mixture of active involvement in the game (easily the second highest poster, getting into a pretty public fight with Rosen) that she is simultaneously taking absolutely nothing away from (Has basically no reads) rather unnerving. Anybody here that played last game that can convince me I'm being silly?
My biggest issue is still the same as before; not that she hasn't really given reads thus far, but that so far her only semblance of a read has already been clarified that it shouldn't be taken seriously, seemingly as a dismissal to my pressure based on the read in question. I do agree that it's very strange that 1K hasn't actually gotten anything else out of the thread thus far, and its especially odd that she doesn't have any kind of read on me, as she's interacted with me the most (though to be fair, she did mention at some point that my pressure wasn't something she wanted to vote me over, but that was toward the beginning of interactions between us. Personally, I don't really see that as a concrete read in any case).
Going further off of this, I would be pretty quick to take a look at LD should 1K flip scum at some point, considering how defensive she got after I jumped on him for his answers. On the other hand, Tykan's defense of LD makes me think Town, as the defense was more of a "if you're going to call A out for something, then why didn't you call B out for the same thing" kind of deal. Not really a defense of sorts, but something that tries to get consistencies in order rather than just hard-defending someone.
See 1K said something incredibly similar to this and it's getting into my head and worrying me. Because that tells me that 1K is somebody that is open to kinda going with the flow as scum; she doesn't see much of a need to go out on limbs or commit herself to risky propositions, and just do enough that looks superficially town. And in many ways I think that's what is bothering me about her early game here; it looks pretty good on paper; she's engaged, active, emotive when she needs to be. But... there isn't any meat there or much sign that she's really looking into people. When I have a hot moment I'm going to go check her ISO last game and see how similar or different it is to this; i'd be interested in 1K's feedback too.
I'm somewhat scumreading -Rosen but I'm not sure if that's just me being angry with them, which has been something that consistently makes me scumread people, so I didn't mention it. Byzantine and Dawiusz have come off a little strangely but again, they're new so I don't know if it's weird weird or scummy weird. I like what I've seen of Byzantine so far more than Dawiusz, but that could just be their activity level. Cyri and QT being AWOL is theoretically understandable but worrying. The problem with that and the rest of our lurkers is that in this small of a game it feels highly likely we've got at least one lurking scum, so that has me more sus of them, especially since they don't have the excuse of being new. I disagree with IH's reads/analysis so far from what I remember, but I don't really see a scum angle in their posts, so that's a nill. Not really anything substantial around the board.
I pretty much never get much of anything D1. Whether I'm scum or town I'm generally inclined towards safer plays unless I'm feeling like there's no other option than to take a risk. I do not do well without information. There's a reason why most of my contributions are related to setup - I am bad at reading people, and I don't like using evidence that isn't conclusive. Given how we have exactly no info at the start of D1, and D1 lynches are pretty much never based on conclusive evidence, I do even worse. This has been a consistent pattern with my play for pretty much all of my time playing mafia.
I literally also did this, and I wasn't just defending LD, I was pushing back against the LD scumread and BB townread you made. Your read was bad. I was arguing against it because bad reads are bad for town. Again, I would've been fine with just a pressure vote, but you took it further from my point of view.
Then 1K comes back in, it's been a good 9 hours I think since the argument started, and comes up with a few itsy reads. Notably, there's a slight nudge towards Daw and again arguing the reads got from Rosen's questions were bad.
I don't think I've particularly done an about-face, I think the situation is continually evolving. I said that Byzantine's opening tone was bad. I stand by that. Then Dawuisz draws most of my attention, I try and sort him, don't like his responses at all, and then he vanishes. In itself, this makes me feel better about Byzantine, because I'm willing to bet money we don't live in a Byzantine/Dawuisz world- he's definitely still worth looking at independently, but he looks a bit better when my main suspect is somebody who mainly drew my attention by shading him in a suspicious way.
And I'm reading his posts and just not... seeing much that's suspicious? I think that Byzantine is engaging with the game pretty well, posts like this are basically identical to where my thought process is at while still feeling like independent work, which always gets townie points from me, and there are posts like this one which just feel like they come from a townie headspace.
Imagining newbie scum writing that just feels weird to me. Not to mention that he said that he was going to leave and then just... came back and kept playing the game- I was a little worried that as scum he was going to just disappear after he got heat, as I noted earlier, and he has chosen to actively do the opposite of that, which is a good sign in my head.
Like actually writing all this out is making Byzantine into an early townread along with you and Rosen; we'll need to see if things hold up, but I don't see Byzantine!Scum the way things are playing out right now. Which, I mean, fits pretty well into your BB/Byzantine/X world I guess lol but it is what it is.
I don't necessarily want to debate early voting as a strategy- strategy discussions become NAI pretty quickly and become irrelevant noise. Remind me post-game. But you don't see him defending as "Hey, this way I can have other townies make arguments and suspect people while I don't have to actually commit to anything!" Which is exactly the reason scum do this as rather worrying? Or how he has since completely vanished from the thread since he got called out?
-Rosen, is behaving almost identically to last game; i.e. asking a not-particularly-important question and then focusing way too hard on one or two particular responses. I don't agree with their reasoning at all, but... it's nearly identical behaviour to last game, where they were town, so scumreading is... dubious, to say the least.
Also ok, I'll look through a few of your games then and get a broad sense of your tendency towards reads, if that's your perception of how you play. I haven't necessarily picked up on that, but it's definitely not impossible.
Oof, not all of this is relevant but I'm not sure what to cut.
Anyways, some more townreading of Rosen, backing off of 1K firmly (Yeah, I was just wrong about her not posting and disengaging with words), and a couple posts about Byzantine being good and Daw being not-that. For reference, this is the post she didn't see a newbie scum making.
That is completely true, and is making me irrationally suspicious of you because Wine. Bleh.
Looking at 1K's opening last game and it definitely feels superficially similar to here. In retrospect, think the game will have to play out more before I can come up with a solid conclusion on these sorts of grounds, though. We're still pretty early in- think this slot is just one I'm not going to be able to snap-judge.
Looking at 1K's opening last game and it definitely feels superficially similar to here. In retrospect, think the game will have to play out more before I can come up with a solid conclusion on these sorts of grounds, though. We're still pretty early in- think this slot is just one I'm not going to be able to snap-judge.
Anyways, after that it settles down. Rosen keeps arguing with 1K, but it's more on his methods and today's questions, which doesn't really read AI to me. BB stays out of that unless I missed something.
This quote's interesting. Basically the one thing BB says about Rosen that isn't visibly townreading him. But in the end, it's just asking someone who's scumreading Rosen who, as far as I can tell, never responds to this question who they'd think was scum with Rosen. Feels like easy setup to a "Hm, but I don't think that's likely because X or Y".
Anyways, and then Daw responds and fuck these walls of posts I have no idea how I'd make that argument readable. Let's at least call this post here.
They go after one person for doing something whilst giving someone else a free pass for the exact same thing.
I also dislike how Rosen when after 1K for using knowledge of past games and being extra wary of being pocketed by town leader who is secretly scum after being pocketed by town leader who was secretly scum in the last game and generally getting pocketed by town leaders.
In other news, I won't bother to address the whole "your reads are bad" argument for reasons I won't yet disclose, as it's fairly important that I don't currently.
While I didn't notice it straight away, I strongly dislike how Rosen has decided to blame the anti-town disruption that they caused with their pointless and useless aggression. "Oh, I'm not anti-town, everyone else is anti-town." That is an absolutely terrible stance for Rosen to take as town as they are refusing to acknowledge that their actions causing chaos and disruptive might be their fault and instead blaming everyone else for it causing chaos and disruption.
More justification of their anti-town behaviour by trying to pretend it has generated useful information when all it has done is cause disruptive chaos.
This is about all I got time to find and it happened before I subbed in. There was other stuff after I subbed in, but I haven't got time in RL to go through all of that before the day ends.
In summary, nothing really sticks out as scum to me, but taken together combined with my own bad feelings about it, I would be calling it scum if not for that the fact Rosen has played like this before. That said, I will firmly stand by the fact that Rosen has been anti-town in their actions and in general, they have outshined anything else to suspicious to me today. So while I don't think that Rosen is necessarily scum, but their behaviour has certainly not been that of town.
So regardless of their alignment, I don't see how keeping Rosen around is useful to town. The fact that they might be town doesn't outweigh their scummy behaviour and causing chaos for town.
I'm going to push for a Rosen lynch because I don't see how letting them continue anti-town behaviour is beneficial for town. They may or may not be scum, but they are unrepentantly acting like it.
I may or may not be active again before the day ends, but I'm sticking to my Rosen lynch because as I said above, I don't see how letting their scummy behaviour continue is beneficial to town and if we are going to lynch someone day one, I feel that Rosen is a good vote because getting rid of the chaos and disruption that they cause will benefit town regardless of their mechanical alignment.
Ahh...Nani is gone and I can see that angle making sense.
Things I'm noting:
Byz: Seems flustered, has been on spotlight since 1st hour of game...however honestly don't think they have actually done anything scummy.
IH: Called Byz on a pre-game scum slip however most of their posts I like and sound good. Town lean
BB/Nictis: Seemed floaty and a bit of everywhere, is now focused on rosen despite bb seeming linked. In addition BB's angles reminded me of DBZ mafia but I don't know how to put it into words.
Meso: The big thing for me against meso is both the VT "claim" that he dismissed himself, and that he's pushing Byz based on another players voting action...it's just...odd and off. If you think they're scum because BB pulled off him real fast, then you should be focusing the one who pulled off him. Byz could be Town and BB could be scum and by focusing on Byz you've completely let bb slide by that. If both are scum BB/Nictis's flip is more beneficial as it clears up the air as to was that scum moving away from a vote or is it town moving away, if scum, it coiuld mean a lot more, if it's town though it means the move away is completely NAI. Your using the reasonings that should be used for a BB lynch, to instead lynch Byz. That rings wrong with me the most.
I desperately want to go with my read on Meso here but at the same time I'm certain a tie is bad for town, at this time I'm going to put this down, however I would like to shift onto Meso.
[X] Lynch Nictis
This lynch both clears up a lot and sets a bunch of analysis to digest from people, especially if we're invest low or if say cop gets shot N1.
@Nictis courtesy ping as I've moved you into lynch spot.
I've kinda already talked too much, if anything. My opinion hasn't changed, though I will note I'm liable to change my vote at the last minute to save myself (as I know I'm town but don't know that about anyone else up) or prevent a tie with minimal reasoning since I start teaching 10 minutes before the day ends.
I'm still struggling with where to put my vote. BB/Nictis is still one of my few town reads, so I'm definitely not up for it.
So I have to decide where too put my vote. I lost confidence in my Nani suspicion with his last post so it comes down too the three people I wanted to reread yesterday.
... Guess what, I didn't
I can't say I dislike a Nictis lynch, and I know I should be picking between the people with wagons so my vote isn't wasted, as that weakens town, but honestly voting him for that, when i don't have any actual reason, feels blegh. Put a gun to my head and I'd probably end up changing to voting Rosen rn but I'm kinda hoping people will switch to Nani or someone can make a case for one of the front runners I like.
@Oshha you're reading SO much into that whole "everybody else is anti-Town" thing. I literally never said anything of the likes, so don't sit here and act like I did.
And since when is any conversation within a Day bad? EVERYTHING generates information, regardless of whether it ends up bearing fruit or not. You saying that what I'm doing is not useful completely ignores basically the entirety of Day 1 as if it never happened, and you'll just be going into Day 2 as if it were Day 1. You're making the same mistake as 1K earlier of just not trying to communicate with the person you're not on the same page with, but in your case you're doing so specifically to push your narrative to get me lynched. If you read the posts I've made you'll see that I have legitimate justification for why I didn't push no Comi's response to my questions, and that my justification for my over-aggressiveness is to generate as much Day 1 information as possible. What you are doing is simply ignorant to what I have posted thus far in the Day, and I refuse to stand for it.
The saddest thing is that I don't even see this as scummy behavior; I just see it as frankly horrid Town play. I would seriously suggest you look through again and not try to twist my posts into something that fits your narrative.
I'm sticking to my Rosen lynch. I don't see any reason to switch away from it except to save Nictis, who I have a slight town lean on. I am not happy with a Nictis lynch.
So my bad timeline last night was, if it isn't obvious, because I really wanted to go to sleep.
My reason for voting Nictis is the reasoning quoted above- I'm not sure it's the best lynch but it's one I'm happy with.
I'm waffling over where to vote atm- I don't think I'm voting -Rosen today, I'm prolly not voting -Meso unless someone brings up new arguments.
That being said, I will be voting for self-preservation since I have a lot of things I'd like to tackle tonight.
[x] Lynch Nictis
I don't like this lynch but currently I would place my own endeavors at a higher priority than trying to save one of my Town reads. I believe it will help more moving forward to move in this direction.
It is bad when it generates useless information. I don't consider information for the sake of information to be good when it is possible to get bad information.
I don't particularly believe you are scum at this point when you have previously acted like this as town. But that is the only reason I don't have a hard scum read on you and if anyone else had acted like, I would be hard scum reading them for it. If I had a proper scum read on someone else, I would vote for them over you, but I don't and I find your behaviour to be scummy enough for a lynch, especially when I don't like any of the other potential lynchs.
Nictis asked me to go provide examples of behavior I was referring to. I did.
Also, damn it. I can't trust that this isn't a gambit with them both being scum, but I can't overlook the whole pushing Nictis over the edge with half an hour left in the day. Main base of suspicion on BB/Nictis, at least, is heavily based on the tie between them. If it's a bluff, I can't call it. Still don't want to D1 lynch Rosen again, and with time left and voting options as they are, that leaves me with precious few options here.
[X] Lynch Mesonoxian
If I've mathed right, this will put it at a threeway tie, so someone else has to break it. However, I don't feel like Nictis is worth it with what looks like a deciding vote coming from the one I'd pegged as his partner, and I want Rosen to at least be able to get to Day 2 at some point.
To be clear, I don't think that Rosen is scum, but that is only because they have acted like this as town before. If it wasn't for that past record, I wouldn't seriously entertain the idea of them not being scum based on their behaviour in this game.
Meanwhile the other lynches are either newbies or people I got town reads on. Given I've got any other scum reads on anyone else, I'm going for Rosen over their scummy behaviour because while they may not be scum, they are certainly acting like it.