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Haha. That should say 1451, to be sure.
This is a bit of a minor question, but Wikipedia lists a good number of reservations that have no people living in them (I'm guessing it's trust land and the like), but did those get ISOTed as well along with the populated reservations?
One question that maybe I missed when checking past posts. Do the ISOTed people do even know the date? They might think that Columbus is a century or more away from happening or that he came and went without being seen. In that sense the perception of time will have an effect on the future policy regarding Europe.Great discussion, just as a general response to some points:
Essentially, the translocation created a timeline that branched off from our own. If you like, you can even imagine that the reservations were copied and pasted into the past rather than actually disappearing from our present day. I don't have a "unified setting" but if I did it would contain hundreds of parallel universes.
As for the question of contact, I'm not a butterfly purist. If I was, then the change in land area covered by crops and the emissions from new industries in the New World would change weather patterns, ensuring that even in the Old World people's births, deaths, and livelihoods could be changed subtly.
However, for the purposes of this story, Columbus will still be born in 1951, still go to sea for a living, and still gain employment with the Spanish Empire to seek a westward route to the Indies. That said...
The reservations certainly believe something Should Be Done about Columbus when he arrives, and until then contact with Europe should not be made. However, the 15th Century Natives may not be so convinced of the necessity of doing so, and finding ways to prevent them from breaking the quarantine will factor into Federation politics in the future. Remember that by the time Columbus does arrive, the youngest people who remember life before the translocation will be in their nineties (and there won't be very many of them). The role European contact played on the Natives in our history will be impressed on the Federation's future generations through schooling and history books, but this itself factors into views about the translocation and how that will change over time.
Safe to say, it will be regarded as a historic fact by the well-informed - there's too much physical evidence, too much documentation, and its the only reasonable explanation for the history of this timeline. A rather different matter is what it means practically, how important it is to people's decisions, and whether it's actually relevant anymore...that will vary from person to person.
One question that maybe I missed when checking past posts. Do the ISOTed people do even know the date? They might think that Columbus is a century or more away from happening or that he came and went without being seen. In that sense the perception of time will have an effect on the future policy regarding Europe.
I'd think a big deciding factor on whether or not the Federation contacts Europe depends on just how well populated the Americas become, because if by the time Columbus arrives America is still sparsely populated with large tracts of unused land it would kind of be playing with fire to contact Europe. At that time many kingdoms in Europe were pretty desperate to expand, so even if they know the Federation is advanced and could easily kick their ass they may decide that it's easier to ask for forgiveness then it is for permission and just send out colony expeditions anyway.The reservations certainly believe something Should Be Done about Columbus when he arrives, and until then contact with Europe should not be made. However, the 15th Century Natives may not be so convinced of the necessity of doing so, and finding ways to prevent them from breaking the quarantine will factor into Federation politics in the future. Remember that by the time Columbus does arrive, the youngest people who remember life before the translocation will be in their nineties (and there won't be very many of them). The role European contact played on the Natives in our history will be impressed on the Federation's future generations through schooling and history books, but this itself factors into views about the translocation and how that will change over time.
Yep. It's usually totally useless land, so it'll remain uninhabited, probably only a few local people will even notice what happened.
I'd think a big deciding factor on whether or not the Federation contacts Europe depends on just how well populated the Americas become, because if by the time Columbus arrives America is still sparsely populated with large tracts of unused land it would kind of be playing with fire to contact Europe. At that time many kingdoms in Europe were pretty desperate to expand, so even if they know the Federation is advanced and could easily kick their ass they may decide that it's easier to ask for forgiveness then it is for permission and just send out colony expeditions anyway.
How sparsely populated we talking? Most of the real depopulation happened after the Columbian Exchange. In 1600 before the diseases hit much of the Eastern Seaboard there was still a huge amount of canoe traffic in the Chesapeake and across the Atlantic coast. Spanish and French sailing ships reported giant canoes of 100 people or more trading goods.
I do believe that diseases still hit the local population? So the area may already be empty. But.....How sparsely populated we talking? Most of the real depopulation happened after the Columbian Exchange. In 1600 before the diseases hit much of the Eastern Seaboard there was still a huge amount of canoe traffic in the Chesapeake and across the Atlantic coast. Spanish and French sailing ships reported giant canoes of 100 people or more trading goods.
.....then again I had been forgetting the fact that the Federation will be bringing in a large amount of population expanding technologies, so it may not matter.The post-ISOT plagues will bring the population down, but not by that much. And even crude modern medicine and farming techniques will lead to a population explosion.
And the worst part is that without support of modern labs there is no way of knowing who got it before the symptoms became obvious, at which point any quarantine is going to be superfluous since it will have infected entire populations.One concern I have is truly modern epidemics. AIDS could be a colossal issue in a world without condoms. And the threat isn't limited to North American native inhabitants.
One concern I have is truly modern epidemics. AIDS could be a colossal issue in a world without condoms. And the threat isn't limited to North American native inhabitants.
I've crunched the numbers on this.
39,782 Native Americans and Alaskan Natives had HIV diagnoses as of 2016, however 78% of Native Americans live outside reservations. If we assume HIV is evenly distributed (it probably isn't, but let's assume) then there are about 8,000 people with HIV in the world after the translocation. That's a pretty manageable number I would say, as long as the reservation governments and medical institutions knew what they were doing. Hell, it could burn itself out once the medicine runs out, which would he tragic, though otherwise it has the potential to become a serious health crisis down the line.
Either way, I'll be addressing it eventually but feel free to keep guessing.
I was about to ask about how the Isabella Reservation is handling things, because they're the largest in my area and Central Michigan University is right there, but then I checked a map and apparently CMU is less than a mile outside the rez borders. It's not one of the state's top-tier schools - that list is really just UoM and MSU - but it's still second-rank and a major loss for the ISOTted populations.
How soon do you plan on covering the Great Lakes and Desert Southwest regions?
I've crunched the numbers on this.
39,782 Native Americans and Alaskan Natives had HIV diagnoses as of 2016, however 78% of Native Americans live outside reservations. If we assume HIV is evenly distributed (it probably isn't, but let's assume) then there are about 8,000 people with HIV in the world after the translocation. That's a pretty manageable number I would say, as long as the reservation governments and medical institutions knew what they were doing. Hell, it could burn itself out once the medicine runs out, which would he tragic, though otherwise it has the potential to become a serious health crisis down the line.
Either way, I'll be addressing it eventually but feel free to keep guessing.
The lack of modern medicaments and the suspension of doctor/patient confidentiality laws will make tracking Bloody Marys easier in the regions with large reservations since promiscuos people will get every STD under the sun and I bet that when that happens the authorities are going to hang whoever is found guilty of trying to cause a pandemic. That plus the already agressive quarantine measures will prevent the worse of the disease from spreading too far. Hopefully in less developed areas the geographic and social isolation will limit the damage to a few villages.This would require every reservation doing the right thing, even the ones collapsing because of their size or lack of resources. And no one having HIV and not knowing about it, or lying about it. A lot of people people carrying HIV have no symptoms and that's why it's so dangerous in that situation.
The lack of modern medicaments and the suspension of doctor/patient confidentiality laws will make tracking Bloody Marys easier in the regions with large reservations since promiscuos people will get every STD under the sun and I bet that when that happens the authorities are going to hang whoever is found guilty of trying to cause a pandemic. That plus the already agressive quarantine measures will prevent the worse of the disease from spreading too far. Hopefully in less developed areas the geographic and social isolation will limit the damage to a few villages.
Hopefully in less developed areas the geographic and social isolation will limit the damage to a few villages.
And isolation isn't really a thing. As people said earlier, North America had very developed trade routes.
Will there even be an attempt at colonization? Weren't most of them opotunisnstic, usually, the first contact were explorers or traders if they report back a strong tech advanced civilization I doubt the same colonization efforts would be launched. Might be a lot more missionaries and traders though.If I had to hazard a guess as to how European contact would go, there will be a brief period of conflict as the Europeans try to colonize as they did OTL.