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That assumes that the 'canon Emperor' took no actions to influence Cadia, and that everything that happened in the main timeline will just happen on its own. Which seems like a really dubious bet to me.[X] Plan DragonParadox
The problem with Cadia, is that the only reason why Abbadon won, was because he used the last of his fleet to slam his blackstone fortress into Cadia as the ultimate hissyfit after realising he'd lost the Crusade. Anything else he says is a fabrication he made, to cover for the fact that this was his last 'fuck you' card.
Leaving things as is, should mean that this scenario is pretty much set in stone, unless we fuck with it.
I think you are drastically overestimating what this line of actions would actually be able to achieve. And beyond that...To ultimately mess with his plan without him just destroying cadia immediately, is to fuck with the chaos gods directly - they are empowering and enhancing his forces.
If we can fast track the birth of Ynnead, and safeguard it from the morons in deathwatch - this will (at least momentarily) shatter Slaanesh's strength, leaving he/her/it immediately vulnerable to their siblings, who will immediately attempt to capitalise on the 'upstarts' weakness.
With that potential disruption we could potentially manifest our will directly on the BSF, or unleash a miniature warpstorm above cadia destroying Abbadons fleet.
The idea that the Emperor, or the Imperium, would about-face on Xenos - or that the Eldar or Tau would be stupid enough to believe that they have - is so out-of-character I refuse to believe any attempt to do so would accomplish anything other than wasting actions.Honestly, our best bet is the tau. Yea they're naive as fuck, but they're at least open to reason and won't try and backstab us….yet.