Space, Rockets, Satellites, oh my!

I guess at this point one of the bigger advantages of methane, or hydrogen for that matter, is that you can still keep making them easily enough with out fossil fuels. So in the longer term future there's probably some reasonable prospects for those fuel types from that.
 
I guess at this point one of the bigger advantages of methane, or hydrogen for that matter, is that you can still keep making them easily enough with out fossil fuels. So in the longer term future there's probably some reasonable prospects for those fuel types from that.

Not really. We just have a lot of experience designing methane gas turbines because of all the natural gas powerplants that were built.
And the fact that SpaceX picked it for Muskian Mars aspirations, and then the engineers that work a few years there to pad their resumes take that experience with them when they leave for greener pastures at other companies.

If space launch is eating up enough global hydrocarbons to even show up on the pie chart, then you have the flight rate to justify infrastructure based alternatives like beamed power.
 
Not really. We just have a lot of experience designing methane gas turbines because of all the natural gas powerplants that were built.
And the fact that SpaceX picked it for Muskian Mars aspirations, and then the engineers that work a few years there to pad their resumes take that experience with them when they leave for greener pastures at other companies.

If space launch is eating up enough global hydrocarbons to even show up on the pie chart, then you have the flight rate to justify infrastructure based alternatives like beamed power.
SpaceX isn't the only company that shifted to Methane or Hydrogen in recent decades. And regardless of it not contributing much, it's still yet one more factor to account for eventually.

So I still think it's useful that these can be resolved more neatly. Why choose more pollution after all?
 
SpaceX isn't the only company that shifted to Methane or Hydrogen in recent decades. And regardless of it not contributing much, it's still yet one more factor to account for eventually.

So I still think it's useful that these can be resolved more neatly. Why choose more pollution after all?
Yeah a lot of Chinese company and even the state are shifting to Methane as well.

Long March 9 superheavy lift rocket are now methalox resuable rocket which look similiar to Starship (but potentially made with aluminum).

Currently leading Chinese company that are on course to build China first Falcon-9 size resuable rocket are also using methane. Which is the case with Landspace, who just also happen to be the company that launch first methalox rocket into orbit.

Then there is the most popular dedicate engine maker in China JZYJ whose Longyun-80 methalox engine can be found in many upcoming resuable rocket both from state sector and private sector.
 
Last edited:
Yeah. It's pretty good choice if you're doing a single fuel booster and upper, there's existing experience form LNG power plants, and it makes common domes and cryodensification easy.
It's a good propellant. But it's not some magic bullet like pop sci reporting likes to make it out.

You also have to keep in mind that space launch is small enough as a sector and quite risk averse, so you get a lot of 'follow the leader' behavior.

It was 'known' back in the day that SRB boosters and hydrogen uppers were the best way forward.
Then it was 'known' that SSTO was the future of space launch.
It was 'known' that commercial providers simply could not provide a cost effective launch service.

The current crop of heavy launchers will work, but do not take that to be vindication that there aren't potentially better alternatives.
 
It's a good propellant. But it's not some magic bullet like pop sci reporting likes to make it out.
Obviously it isn't, though I'm not sure who you're really talking to in this thread with this comment. I do not think anyone claimed it was exceptional, like all the other fuels it's a trade off between various factors.

To give some considerations that can go in to choosing what to use as a fuel in a rocket.

Awhile ago I did read that methane was a bit harder to keep stable then some other fuels though and so a bit more of a detonation risk inside the engine. Though I guess with increasing expertise and better modelling capabilities that is less of a risk then it once was. Another issue is obviously that high efficiency fuels tend to give less good thrust to weight ratios on engines, thus why hydrogen engines historically were often paired and still at times are paired at launch with SRB, just so there is some more force lifting the rocket up in the first minute or two. Fortunately over the decades technology has apparently advanced enough to make engines light enough and performant enough to make quite powerful methane engines, a factor that might also be contributing in current interest in it. Especially as I believe for now hydrogen engines still seem to be more limited there. Still historically speaking this would have thus made methane engines less interesting.

Some other factors beyond those two would be that methane can be made a liquid in a temperature range pretty close to liquid oxygen, which means you probably don't need different equipment for it. The similar temperature range means you don't need to make two fully separate tanks either, but can just make one larger tank with a barrier in it, this allows for a small weight saving, which is nice for a rocket. It's a bit more efficient then kerosene as well of course, though still well short of hydrogen. And as I mentioned before, one can easily enough make it synthetically in the future, so it should have a better long term future as a fuel then a fossil fuel derived one.


As a last potential longer term consideration, there is one more efficient and potent fuel cycle that one could use to burn things. Which would be to detonate the fuels, this has for a very long time been a big problem to do effectively though, but recently some advancement have seemed to make rotating detonation engines practical options. How ever I've heard those only so far work with hydrogen and methane, so they're some what limited fuel wise. Still they are supposed to give a reasonable boost in rocket ISP, though I've not really heard a solid figure on how much, but based on various things I did run in to I'd guess it would probably be somewhere in the 5-15 percent range. A boost that large would be quite substantial, though for now I only know of NASA having created a functional demonstrator. Still as such this might in decade be used to squeeze out a final improvement in chemical rocket engines efficiencies then.



In any case, I hope this helps clarify for you that rocket fuels are thought about in some more depth here then just basic pop-sci levels of knowledge.
 
Obviously it isn't, though I'm not sure who you're really talking to in this thread with this comment. I do not think anyone claimed it was exceptional, like all the other fuels it's a trade off between various factors.

To give some considerations that can go in to choosing what to use as a fuel in a rocket.

Awhile ago I did read that methane was a bit harder to keep stable then some other fuels though and so a bit more of a detonation risk inside the engine. Though I guess with increasing expertise and better modelling capabilities that is less of a risk then it once was. Another issue is obviously that high efficiency fuels tend to give less good thrust to weight ratios on engines, thus why hydrogen engines historically were often paired and still at times are paired at launch with SRB, just so there is some more force lifting the rocket up in the first minute or two. Fortunately over the decades technology has apparently advanced enough to make engines light enough and performant enough to make quite powerful methane engines, a factor that might also be contributing in current interest in it. Especially as I believe for now hydrogen engines still seem to be more limited there. Still historically speaking this would have thus made methane engines less interesting.

Some other factors beyond those two would be that methane can be made a liquid in a temperature range pretty close to liquid oxygen, which means you probably don't need different equipment for it. The similar temperature range means you don't need to make two fully separate tanks either, but can just make one larger tank with a barrier in it, this allows for a small weight saving, which is nice for a rocket. It's a bit more efficient then kerosene as well of course, though still well short of hydrogen. And as I mentioned before, one can easily enough make it synthetically in the future, so it should have a better long term future as a fuel then a fossil fuel derived one.


As a last potential longer term consideration, there is one more efficient and potent fuel cycle that one could use to burn things. Which would be to detonate the fuels, this has for a very long time been a big problem to do effectively though, but recently some advancement have seemed to make rotating detonation engines practical options. How ever I've heard those only so far work with hydrogen and methane, so they're some what limited fuel wise. Still they are supposed to give a reasonable boost in rocket ISP, though I've not really heard a solid figure on how much, but based on various things I did run in to I'd guess it would probably be somewhere in the 5-15 percent range. A boost that large would be quite substantial, though for now I only know of NASA having created a functional demonstrator. Still as such this might in decade be used to squeeze out a final improvement in chemical rocket engines efficiencies then.



In any case, I hope this helps clarify for you that rocket fuels are thought about in some more depth here then just basic pop-sci levels of knowledge.

Yeah, hydrogen's achilie's heel is it's low density, which means hydrolox rockets have proportionally more tank mass and this dings their total dV on the (Mdry + Wet)/Mdry part of the rocket equation.

Now, the detonating engine part is not quite right... in the context of rockets.

A RDE will not meaningfully improve the specific impulse of a rocket because that's a function of the temperature of combustion and mass of exhaust products and that's all limited by the chemistry of the propellant.

What an RDE rocket does do is allow you to drastically reduce the size and weight of the turbopump assembly because the pressure addition step is handled by the detonation wave. This means you could in theory have pressure fed rockets that perform competitively with turbopump fed ones, saving you quite a bit of money.

It's actually for air breathing propulsion that RDE increases efficiency, because the bulk of the power generated in a jet engine is actually syphoned off by the turbine to power the compressor. Because the RDE removes the need for high pressure compression, more of the fuel's energy can go to moving air and thus creating propulsive force.
 
Now, the detonating engine part is not quite right... in the context of rockets.

A RDE will not meaningfully improve the specific impulse of a rocket because that's a function of the temperature of combustion and mass of exhaust products and that's all limited by the chemistry of the propellant.
This doesn't match what I've heard and read on the topic. I did fairly quickly find this video from Scott Manley quickly that discusses how part of the work available in current combustion cycles isn't being extracted and how thus there is an amount of energy that can still be extracted by a detonation engine. This is also summarized in this graph, where one can see that in a modern rocket engine that uses constant pressure using the Brayton cycle, that one can get less work then if one uses a constant volume cycle like the Humphrey cycle. Getting more work out of the same fuel is obviously an efficiency gain.

In short, detonation engines can use a more efficient thermodynamic cycle.


As a more real world demonstration, this article on RDE also notes ISP improvement:
'The experimental research showed that compared with liquid rocket engines based on isobaric combustion, rotating detonation rocket engines can work stably at a lower equivalence ratio, and the specific impulse is increased by 6%-8% under the same combustor size and injection conditions, and the advantages of rotating detonation combustion mode are verified by experiments.'

Of course the simplifications that a detonation engine allow which you highlighted would be nice gains as well, but they as such do actually also actually grant real efficiency gains as well. And considering how hard getting even half a percent gain now would be in current systems, this is actually a fairly substantial one, and probably the last major boost we'll ever be able to get.
 
spacenews.com

Rocket Lab launches fourth set of Kinéis satellites

Rocket Lab launched a fourth set of satellites for French company Kinéis Feb. 8 as it extends its lead in the small launch sector.
A Rocket Lab Electron lifted off from the company's Launch Complex 1, Pad A, at 3:43 p.m. Eastern. The vehicle's kick stage deployed its payload of five satellites a little more than an hour after liftoff in orbits with planned altitudes of 646 kilometers and inclinations of 97 degrees.

...

The launch is the first this year for Rocket Lab, which conducted 16 Electron launches in 2024, including two of the HASTE suborbital variant of the rocket. The company has not disclosed a specific target for 2025 but stated it projects exceeding that mark.

That activity has made Rocket Lab the leading player in the small launch market as many of its competitors have struggled technically or financially.

...

In his [Feb. 4 keynote speech], [founder and chief executive Peter] Beck said he was unconcerned about emerging "super heavy" rockets like SpaceX's Starship. "They're great for particular purposes but they don't solve every problem," he said, noting that large passenger jets like the Airbus A380 have not wiped out the market for smaller aircraft.

spacenews.com

Boeing warns SLS employees of potential layoffs

Boeing has notified employees working on the Space Launch System program that up to 400 of them could lose their jobs.
Boeing SLS employees were informed Feb. 7 that the company was making preparations to cut up to 400 jobs from the program because of "revisions to the Artemis program and cost expectations." The specific positions being considered for elimination were not announced but would account for a significant fraction of the overall SLS workforce at the company.

...

NASA has not announced any revisions to the Artemis program, and a panel of NASA and industry officials said at the SpaceCom conference Jan. 29 they were pressing ahead with preparations for the Artemis 2 mission, the first crewed SLS/Orion flight, scheduled for April 2026. They argued that the current architecture remains the fastest way to return humans to the moon.

However, the Trump administration is considering revisions to the architecture that include canceling key elements like SLS and Orion. Elon Musk, the SpaceX chief executive who is a close adviser to President Trump, has criticized the current approach to Artemis.
 
Two selected proposal from Chinese tender for low cost cargo spacecraft. Apparently with target of >1.8 tons cargo to Chinese Space Station.


Well this is way sooner than I expect, I guess they have been working a lot behind the scene.

Haolong-1 space plane will be launch this year aboard Landspace's Zhuque-3 (notable due to the fact that this is essentially one of the more important mission entrusted to private sector). Qingzhou disposable cargo spacecraft from Shanghai microsat will also launch this year aboard CAS Space Lijian-2.
spacenews.com

China to launch 2 new space station cargo spacecraft on commercial rockets in 2025

HELSINKI — China will launch a pair of low-cost space station resupply spacecraft this year on new commercial launch vehicles, highlighting advances for the country’s space ecosystem. The missions …

If Haolong launch and carry cargo to Chinese space station before Dreamchaser it would be kinda epic…
 
Last edited:
www.space.com

Blue Origin launches 'Perfect 10' space tourists on New Shepard rocket (video)

"Every crew has a special crew name, and this crew has named themselves a Perfect 10. Well, that makes perfect sense to me, considering the fact that this is, in fact, our 10th human flight."
Blue Origin launched its 10th space tourism mission this morning (Feb. 25), sending six paying passengers to suborbital space.

After a slight delay due to a hold, Blue Origin's suborbital New Shepard vehicle lifted off from the company's West Texas site today at 10:50 a.m. EST (1550 GMT; 9:50 a.m. local Texas time). Blue Origin's New Shepard booster touched down in the dusty Texas desert around seven minutes after liftoff, and the flight's capsule returned to the ground three minutes after that.

...

Blue Origin called today's flight NS-30, because it was the 30th overall flight of New Shepard. The mission was the 10th crewed mission of the vehicle, which consists of a reusable booster and a reusable capsule.
 
spacenews.com

Virgin Galactic to start assembly of first new spaceplane in March

Virgin Galactic will start assembling the first of a new generation of suborbital spaceplanes next month with commercial flights planned for mid-2026.
In an Feb. 26 earnings call, company executives said assembly of the first Delta SpaceShip will start in March at a new facility near Phoenix. That would put the company on a path to begin test flights in the spring of 2026 and commercial flights, starting with research payloads, in the middle of 2026.

...

The company said it is confident that, once assembled, the spaceplane can quickly go through a flight test program because it is derived from VSS Unity, the suborbital spaceplane it retired last summer.
 
Blue Ghost has successfully landed on the moon. Congrats to Firefly and NASA!

https://x.com/Firefly_Space/status/1896117316326244674
@Firefly_Space 2025-03-02 0836 UTC said:
We have confirmation #BlueGhost stuck the landing! Firefly just became the first commercial company in history to achieve a fully successful Moon landing. This small step on the Moon represents a giant leap in commercial exploration. Congratulations to the entire Firefly team, our mission partners, and our @NASA customers for this incredible feat that paves the way for future missions to the Moon and Mars.

Standby for the first image, expected in the next 30 minutes! #BGM1

https://x.com/NASA/status/1896118330421088306
@NASA 2025-03-02 0840 UTC said:
We're baaack! 🌕

Blue Ghost has landed, safely delivering 10 NASA scientific investigations and tech demos that will help us learn more about the lunar environment and support future astronauts on the Moon and Mars.


https://x.com/Firefly_Space/status/1896125390386606333
@Firefly_Space 2025-03-02 0908 UTC said:
Would you look at that view! #BlueGhost captured its first image on the Moon that embodies everything this bold, unstoppable Firefly team has worked so hard for over the last 3+ years. And we're just getting started! Find out what's next for #BGM1 at 4:30am during our press conference with @NASA

 
Last edited:
Up...date? At least now we know where it's going.
www.space.com

Space mining company AstroForge identifies asteroid target for Odin launch next month

"Odin's role is to gather critical imagery of the target asteroid, preparing the way for our next mission, Vestri, which will aim to land on the asteroid and begin extraction."
www.space.com

SpaceX rocket launches private moon lander and NASA 'trailblazer' to hunt for lunar water (video)

If all goes according to plan, the Athena lander will touch down near the moon's south pole on or around March 6.
So only one out of three? :sad:
spacenews.com

Lunar Trailblazer, Odin spacecraft suffering problems after IM-2 launch

Two spacecraft, one from a startup and the other built by a major aerospace company, are experiencing problems after their launch as rideshares on a lunar lander mission.
NASA said in a statement about four hours after launch that Lunar Trailblazer had powered up and started transmitting as planned. However, in a subsequent statement late Feb. 27, NASA said that communications with the spacecraft had been lost at about 7:30 a.m. Eastern that day, or roughly 12 hours after launch.

That loss of communications came after telemetry indicated "intermittent power system issues" with the spacecraft. Contact was restored several hours later and NASA said controllers were working "to reestablish telemetry and commanding to better assess the power system issues and develop potential solutions."

...

A second spacecraft launched on the IM-2 mission is Odin, built by asteroid mining startup AstroForge to fly by an asteroid and determine if it is metallic. The company has had difficulties communicating with the spacecraft since deployment, though.

... On Friday, AstroForge said the spacecraft's solar panels were generating power, with tracking data showing it at its expected position. But the probe has not sent full telemetry on its status.

Odin is tumbling ever so slowly as it flies through space, [AstroForge founder Matt] Gialich added, confirming one theory based on observations of the spacecraft.

AstroForge's mission team is working through the weekend on recovery efforts, but options may be limited.

...

The IM-2 lander itself is in "excellent health," Intuitive Machines said in a statement Feb. 27. It will perform several trajectory correction maneuvers before arriving at the moon, entering orbit ahead of a landing on March 6.
 
www.space.com

Intuitive Machines lands near lunar south pole, but fate of private Athena probe unclear

Athena is on the moon, but mission team members are still working to understand its situation.
The Houston-based company's second lunar lander, named Athena, touched down at the Mons Mouton region of the moon's south pole on schedule today (March 6) at 12:31 p.m. EST (1731 GMT).

It wasn't a picture-perfect landing, however. While Athena continued sending data home to Earth and began generating power on the lunar surface, the mission team could not immediately determine if it landed fully upright as planned.

...

The intended landing site was Mons Mouton, a plateau about the size of Delaware in the south polar region of the moon. The region is of strategic interest to NASA given the potential for regions around the south pole to have water ice deposits that are both a priority for scientists and could support future human expeditions.

Europe's Ariane 6 deploys spy satellite in first full mission
Europe's new Ariane 6 rocket successfully deployed a French spy satellite in its first fully operational launch on Thursday, completing a return to space for a continent facing questions over its role amid a security rift with the United States.

The uncrewed launcher lifted off from Europe's spaceport in Kourou, French Guiana, at 1:24 p.m. local time (1624 GMT). Controllers later said its CSO-3 reconnaissance satellite had separated smoothly, completing a trio of military platforms.

...

The launch was just the second flight of the Ariane 6, after a mostly successful debut in July 2024. The rocket reached orbit and deployed its satellite payloads, but failed to perform a final deorbit burn, stranding the upper stage and two reentry vehicles still attached to it in orbit.

At the time of that launch, Arianespace had planned to conduct the second Ariane 6 before the end of the year after diagnosing the issue that prevented the upper stage from deorbiting. In November, though, the company delayed the launch to February, citing only ongoing work to address "a small number of deviations" seen in data from the flight.
 
Intuitive Machines's second lunar lander has made it to the moon, but unfortunately IM-2 appears to have followed in the footsteps of its predecessor by falling over onto its side again...

spacenews.com

IM-2 lunar lander on its side after touchdown

The second lunar lander mission by Intuitive Machines reached the surface of the moon March 6, but its status after landing was not clear.
Article:
At a briefing about three and a half hours after the Athena lander reached the south polar region of the moon on the IM-2 mission, executive said the lander was "somewhat on its side" although its exact orientation remains uncertain.

[ . . . ]

It wasn't clear what caused the spacecraft to land on its side, but Altemus and Tim Crain, senior vice president of Intuitive Machines, said laser altimeters were providing some "noisy" data during testing in lunar orbit. "It just remained noisy all the way until touchdown," Crain said. "That's where we're going to look as we investigate what impact that might have had on the system

[ . . . ]

IM-2 is the second mission by Intuitive Machines, both flown as part of the NASA CLPS program. The IM-1 mission landed on the moon in February 2024 but hit the surface faster than expected, snapping a landing leg and causing the Odysseus lander to fall on its side. The company was still able to operate the lander for about a week, collecting some data from its payloads.

Maybe they should rotate the payload 90 degrees next time, so that it's pointed right side up after landing. /jk
 
Article:
Multiple people familiar with the White House proposal said cuts to NASA's "Science Mission Directorate" could be as high as 50 percent. These sources emphasized that no decisions are final, and there are some scenarios in which the cuts to NASA's science programs would be less. But the intent is to slash science.


Well Trump and Musk are looking to slash any sort of science NASA could do down to the bone.
 
Intuitive Machines's second lunar lander has made it to the moon, but unfortunately IM-2 appears to have followed in the footsteps of its predecessor by falling over onto its side again...

spacenews.com

IM-2 lunar lander on its side after touchdown

The second lunar lander mission by Intuitive Machines reached the surface of the moon March 6, but its status after landing was not clear.
Article:
At a briefing about three and a half hours after the Athena lander reached the south polar region of the moon on the IM-2 mission, executive said the lander was "somewhat on its side" although its exact orientation remains uncertain.

[ . . . ]

It wasn't clear what caused the spacecraft to land on its side, but Altemus and Tim Crain, senior vice president of Intuitive Machines, said laser altimeters were providing some "noisy" data during testing in lunar orbit. "It just remained noisy all the way until touchdown," Crain said. "That's where we're going to look as we investigate what impact that might have had on the system

[ . . . ]

IM-2 is the second mission by Intuitive Machines, both flown as part of the NASA CLPS program. The IM-1 mission landed on the moon in February 2024 but hit the surface faster than expected, snapping a landing leg and causing the Odysseus lander to fall on its side. The company was still able to operate the lander for about a week, collecting some data from its payloads.

Maybe they should rotate the payload 90 degrees next time, so that it's pointed right side up after landing. /jk
Update.
spacenews.com

IM-2 lunar lander mission ends

Intuitive Machines says its second lunar landing mission is over after concluding the toppled lander cannot generate sufficient power.
In a statement March 7, the company said its IM-2 mission was over less than 24 hours after the Athena spacecraft landed, but fell on its side, in the Mons Mouton region near the south pole of the moon. In a separate NASA statement later the same day, the agency said lander operations ended at 1:15 a.m. Eastern, less than 13 hours after landing.

...

Intuitive Machines says it estimated that the lander touched down 250 meters from its intended landing site at Mons Mouton and was inside a crater. The low sun angles there making landings and spacecraft operations challenging. However, NASA said in its statement that the lander touched down more than 400 meters from the intended site.
 
Back
Top