Vorpal did not debunk it. He debunked the 'science' that those guys think is responsible and reaffirmed just how ridiculously unlikely momentum violation would be. Until they can actually point at something and say "That's causing the force" it is technically not debunked.
Although you should obviously assume it is a measurement error. It is exceedingly unlikely that it is anything else.
Or we could wait until it's been debunked by an official source like I dunno, one of the organizations trying to replicate it like Glenn Research Center? I love Vorpal's analysis (if begrudgingly) but he's not the be all, end all source for this sort of thing.
To be fair, debunking this experimentally would be preferable as that would be the only thing that demonstrates conclusively that it is indeed the bullshit it no doubt is. Frankly I'd just remove the casing its stored in and just house the components on flat board, and repeat the test.
You can be pretty certain that it's bollocks after that when it no doubt still generates some marginal tiny force.
Vorpal did not debunk it. He debunked the 'science' that those guys think is responsible and reaffirmed just how ridiculously unlikely momentum violation would be. Until they can actually point at something and say "That's causing the force" it is technically not debunked.
Although you should obviously assume it is a measurement error. It is exceedingly unlikely that it is anything else.
My comments were only regarding the theoretical claims, yes.
That said, a better title might be something like
EMDrive System Further Tested in Vacuum
which is both the important news and free of spin.
It would be completely trivial to put the opposite spin on this. The report is that over four-fifth of their thrust-to-power disappeared when put in vacuum, everyone in the last thread that said various variations of "vacuum or GTFO" is at minimum four-fifths right. Since there is no released error analysis, the degree to which the news confirms or disconfirms the EmDrive is based solely on the belief or disbelief that the remaining one-fifth is attributable to some other error, just as most of it already was.
What happened was that someone at NASASpaceFlight referred to various calculations made by Sonny, especially derivations of the Bohr radius, in support of the Q-thruster idea. I simply looked this up—most of the physics part that I picked apart was from a pdf hosted at ntrs.nasa.gov and attributed directly to Sonny. Unless there are serious shenanigans at the actual NASA website, there's no reason to disbelieve that those calculations indeed come directly from Eagleworks Labs, and so are not just some random person on the web.
McCulloch's idea is strange because the inertial mass of photons is zero in vacuum. Well, whatever; let's assume he meant to define m = E/c² instead; since E = pc, that would actually make his starting equations tautologically true. Then offhand, the biggest problem with this "mass is affected by Unruh radiation through a Hubble-scale Casimir effect" idea, which is interestingly vaguely similar to Sonny's (except not based numerology of the Planck force), is that we've seen exactly the same thing before regarding the Pioneer anomaly [arXiv:astro-ph/0612599], where it actually overestimated the anomalous acceleration... which means that it's just plain falsified, because to statistical significance, the anomalous acceleration is the result of thermal radiation.
So ironically enough, the fact that the acceleration in the Pioneer probes is no longer anomalous now provides falsification to McCulloch's modified inertia idea. This is very much controversial and outright far-fringe.
Yeah, when I was reading up on the author's introduction to MiHsC, I started getting really annoyed about a lack of a source of momentum for photons, which his explanation for the EM Drive banks on. If he'd suggested the walls reacting to the bouncing photons in an asymmetric way, there'd be a ready mechanism for his theory of inertia to create interesting results. As is, it's just bizarre.
Further reading in the author's blog has revealed other oddities, like his claim that he can replicate Podkletnov's superconductor gravity shield (blatant crank physics) and Tajmar's gravitomagnetism result. As far as I can tell, he provides a source of inertia, but doesn't address the equivalence principle or an alternative to General Relativity. The latter is especially bizarre as MiHsC is essentially a set of correction terms to GR, but introduces breaks from relativity in the form of FTL being possible (via minimum acceleration) and a complete lack of anything resembling equivalence. It really needs a whole new treatment of relativity, but what's there is...lacking.
I wasn't aware until now that the Pioneer anomaly had falsified MiHsC. Amusingly, the author has a rant about how his model is totally simpler and how a 2000 element finite element model is overly complex and can't be trusted. You know, because overturning one of the fundamentals of physics is simpler than modelling thermodynamics using industry standard practices.
I think you may be confusing this is Milgrom's 'modified inertia', which despite being called the same, is a very different thing, being a path-dependent offshoot of MOND. As far as I know, it never went much of anywhere. However, MOND itself does have a relativistic formulation, so it is indeed far less controversial, though the main problem with things like TeVeS is that they're worse that the 'disease' they're trying to cure. But that's a wholly different story.
I did, actually, but I was grabbing the "quantized inertia" thing straight from title because I hadn't refreshed myself on which alternate model of cosmology it was yet.
You know, since the theory that Vorpal was recently analysing has an effect dependent on the outside magnetic field, and Earth has a magnetic field... maybe that's the source for our 50 micro-Newtons of force?
My completely uninformed hope is that the EM drive actually works by ablating the reaction chamber and shooting out bits of it out the back. After about 12 billion what ifs and possible road blocks a electric drive that doesn't need to hold any kind of gas could or have finicky grids to worry about could have some interesting uses as a long term, low maintenance drive. My money is still on simple experimental error though.
My completely uninformed hope is that the EM drive actually works by ablating the reaction chamber and shooting out bits of it out the back. After about 12 billion what ifs and possible road blocks a electric drive that doesn't need to hold any kind of gas could or have finicky grids to worry about could have some interesting uses as a long term, low maintenance drive.
Vorpal did not debunk it. He debunked the 'science' that those guys think is responsible and reaffirmed just how ridiculously unlikely momentum violation would be. Until they can actually point at something and say "That's causing the force" it is technically not debunked.
My completely uninformed hope is that the EM drive actually works by ablating the reaction chamber and shooting out bits of it out the back. After about 12 billion what ifs and possible road blocks a electric drive that doesn't need to hold any kind of gas could or have finicky grids to worry about could have some interesting uses as a long term, low maintenance drive. My money is still on simple experimental error though.
In which case you are certainly better off using a proper electric drive which has much higher efficiencies of fuel usage. Some of the Argon propellant based ion drives get 80% efficiency iirc. Something which is very unlikely to be reached from something which ablates its casing unintentionally.
In which case you are certainly better off using a proper electric drive which has much higher efficiencies of fuel usage. Some of the Argon propellant based ion drives get 80% efficiency iirc. Something which is very unlikely to be reached from something which ablates its casing unintentionally.
What do you mean with "percent efficiency"? Percents of what? "Input energy to reaction mass kinetic energy" or something?
As far as I'm aware the efficiency of a rocket engine is determined by its exhaust velocity. A rubber balloon has an exhaust velocity of a few meters per second. The F1 engines of the Saturn V had 2.6km/s(sealevel). The space shuttle main engines manage 4.4km/s(vacuum). and Magnetoplasmadynamic could theoretically hit 110km/s. So kinda hard to link that to a percentage.
What do you mean with "percent efficiency"? Percents of what? "Input energy to reaction mass kinetic energy" or something?
As far as I'm aware the efficiency of a rocket engine is determined by its exhaust velocity. A rubber balloon has an exhaust velocity of a few meters per second. The F1 engines of the Saturn V had 2.6km/s(sealevel). The space shuttle main engines manage 4.4km/s(vacuum). and Magnetoplasmadynamic could theoretically hit 110km/s. So kinda hard to link that to a percentage.
Energy efficiency[edit]
Ion thrusters are frequently quoted with an efficiency metric. This efficiency is the kinetic energy of the exhaust jet emitted per second divided by the electrical power into the device.
Plot of instantaneous propulsive efficiency (blue) and overall efficiency for a vehicle accelerating from rest (red) as percentages of the engine efficiency- note that peak vehicle efficiency occurs at about 1.6 times exhaust velocity.
Ion thrusters are frequently quoted with an efficiency metric. This efficiency is the kinetic energy of the exhaust jet emitted per second divided by the electrical power into the device.
The actual overall system energy efficiency in use is determined by the propulsive efficiency, which depends on vehicle speed and exhaust speed. Some thrusters can vary exhaust speed in operation, but all can be designed with different exhaust speeds. At the lower end of Isps the overall efficiency drops, because the ionization takes up a larger percentage energy, and at the high end propulsive efficiency is reduced.
Optimal efficiencies and exhaust velocities can thus be calculated for any given mission to give minimum overall cost.
Science seems to have been very accepting of this idea. That's why they're continuing to test it.
"Hang on, this isn't consistent with all the other experiments we've done for the last 300 years, let's do some more experiments on this before we declare we know what's going on" is just prudence.
My completely uninformed hope is that the EM drive actually works by ablating the reaction chamber and shooting out bits of it out the back. After about 12 billion what ifs and possible road blocks a electric drive that doesn't need to hold any kind of gas could or have finicky grids to worry about could have some interesting uses as a long term, low maintenance drive. My money is still on simple experimental error though.
One of the few things I do understand is that this is unlikely because the thrust profile they get off their instruments while testing this thing has an abrupt start of force when electricity happens and an abrupt end of force when they turn it off. If it was a thermal effect or some similar sort of whatsit that would use the chamber as reaction mass, it would slowly ramp up as power was applied and then tamper off when it stopped.
Yeah, when I was reading up on the author's introduction to MiHsC, I started getting really annoyed about a lack of a source of momentum for photons, which his explanation for the EM Drive banks on. If he'd suggested the walls reacting to the bouncing photons in an asymmetric way, there'd be a ready mechanism for his theory of inertia to create interesting results. As is, it's just bizarre.
...
Amusingly, the author has a rant about how his model is totally simpler and how a 2000 element finite element model is overly complex and can't be trusted. You know, because overturning one of the fundamentals of physics is simpler than modelling thermodynamics using industry standard practices.
Heh. The last bit explains the first: the objective is to find an equation that fits the data, not find a physically coherent mechanism. That's why McCulloch's idea is 'simpler' than a 2000 element thermodynamical model. It's pretty typical behavior among cranks. Hell, McCulloch himself is probably aware of this at least on some subconscious level, since he explicitly states that photons aren't supposed to work that way but proceeds regardless.
Further reading in the author's blog has revealed other oddities, like his claim that he can replicate Podkletnov's superconductor gravity shield (blatant crank physics) ...
I've never heard of Tajmar, but looking him up just now, he's a pretty interesting contrast to McCulloch.
Tajmar had an idea that the Cooper pair mass anomaly in spinning superconductors can be explained by a gravitomagnetic field. The gravitomagnetic field should be thirty-something orders of magnitude weaker than the magnetic field, so this part doesn't make any sense to me, but I'm not going to try to sort it out right now, so let's just roll with it... Tajmar did an experiment in 2006 that supported his theory. At STAIF 2006, he repudiated Podkletnov. In 2007, an independent experiment failed to replicate his results [pdf]. Finally, another experimental test by Tajmar (2011) was a hundred times more sensitive than any before it and yielded no result, contradicting his own earlier experiments.
To summarize, Tajmar had a somewhat far-out idea and proceeded to test it pretty thoroughly. Tajmar: +3. McCulloch: -eleventybillion. My favorite part:
"It's obviously very difficult to actually [replicate experiments]. The replication aspect in experimental physics—that's a very, very important aspect." — Martin Tajmar at STAIF 2006
Some people in this thread could also learn a bit from this man.
As far as I can tell, he provides a source of inertia, but doesn't address the equivalence principle or an alternative to General Relativity. The latter is especially bizarre as MiHsC is essentially a set of correction terms to GR, but introduces breaks from relativity in the form of FTL being possible (via minimum acceleration) and a complete lack of anything resembling equivalence.
Yeah, but it's the complete lack of address about the equivalence principle that prevents it from being considered to be some correction to GTR. Even with weak equivalence, test particles fall the same way in a gravitational field, regardless of mass or composition, and weak equivalence actually has very impressive experimental tests (to about 10-13). So messing with mass shouldn't do anything at all to the Pioneer probes as far as gravity is concerned, for any metric theory of gravity (not just GTR).
Mind, that's not to say that McCulloch's idea absolutely can't be the Newtonian limit of some properly relativistic theory of gravity, but that in order to fit with any metric theory of gravity whatsoever, much less be a correction to one, the its mass interpretation would need to be jetissoned and its effect mimicked by some other means. So the idea was pretty much destined to be a controversial footnote from its inception even if the Pioneer anomaly wasn't resolved, but all that's moot at this point, since it predicts wrong things anyway.
One of the few things I do understand is that this is unlikely because the thrust profile they get off their instruments while testing this thing has an abrupt start of force when electricity happens and an abrupt end of force when they turn it off. If it was a thermal effect or some similar sort of whatsit that would use the chamber as reaction mass, it would slowly ramp up as power was applied and then tamper off when it stopped.
I mean, the photoelectric effect shouldn't be in play here from what I know, but you certainly can get abrupt on-off behaviour from ablative processes. Heck, mechanical ablation would work that way if you had some way of turning the wind on and off abruptly.
Heh. The last bit explains the first: the objective is to find an equation that fits the data, not find a physically coherent mechanism. That's why McCulloch's idea is 'simpler' than a 2000 element thermodynamical model. It's pretty typical behavior among cranks. Hell, McCulloch himself is probably aware of this at least on some subconscious level, since he explicitly states that photons aren't supposed to work that way but proceeds regardless.
Mainstream physics values mathematical consistency and existing theories: a top-down approach. In contrast I like looking at the observations for anomalies (things that don't fit the old theories) and have developed MiHsC that way: a bottom-up approach. — Mike McCulloch
Nice smilely. Have you ever read the articles on Podkletnov and his experiments? They read like N-Rays, only without the contingent of French "replications" to lend it credence. There are some really sad quotes from him about how his work proves that UFOs are totally real. It reminds me of this SMBC comic:
"We have proof of principle of gravity shielding and gravity beams! Rockets are obsolete! Gravitational radiation is harmful to the body! UFOs are real! Why won't they listen?!"
I've never heard of Tajmar, but looking him up just now, he's a pretty interesting contrast to McCulloch.
Tajmar had an idea that the Cooper pair mass anomaly in spinning superconductors can be explained by a gravitomagnetic field. The gravitomagnetic field should be thirty-something orders of magnitude weaker than the magnetic field, so this part doesn't make any sense to me, but I'm not going to try to sort it out right now, so let's just roll with it... Tajmar did an experiment in 2006 that supported his theory. At STAIF 2006, he repudiated Podkletnov. In 2007, an independent experiment failed to replicate his results [pdf]. Finally, another experimental test by Tajmar (2011) was a hundred times more sensitive than any before it and yielded no result, contradicting his own earlier experiments.
To summarize, Tajmar had a somewhat far-out idea and proceeded to test it pretty thoroughly. Tajmar: +3. McCulloch: -eleventybillion. My favorite part:
"It's obviously very difficult to actually [replicate experiments]. The replication aspect in experimental physics—that's a very, very important aspect." — Martin Tajmar at STAIF 2006
Some people in this thread could also learn a bit from this man. '
I just desperately hope that White will live up to Tajmar. He'd made noises in that direction before he started publishing his wacky quantum vacuum theory.
Yeah, but it's the complete lack of address about the equivalence principle that prevents it from being considered to be some correction to GTR. Even with weak equivalence, test particles fall the same way in a gravitational field, regardless of mass or composition, and weak equivalence actually has very impressive experimental tests (to about 10-13). So messing with mass shouldn't do anything at all to the Pioneer probes as far as gravity is concerned, for any metric theory of gravity (not just GTR).
Mind, that's not to say that McCulloch's idea absolutely can't be the Newtonian limit of some properly relativistic theory of gravity, but that in order to fit with any metric theory of gravity whatsoever, much less be a correction to one, the its mass interpretation would need to be jetissoned and its effect mimicked by some other means. So the idea was pretty much destined to be a controversial footnote from its inception even if the Pioneer anomaly wasn't resolved, but all that's moot at this point, since it predicts wrong things anyway.
There's some confusion in how he describes what's going on, but I think the idea is more that the Pioneer probes are running into a minimum acceleration that's essentially causing them to pinwheel slightly, like stars at the edge of a galaxy. Looking at his Pioneer anomaly paper, it seems that mass comes in from an explicit violation of equivalence at low acceleration. The probes retain their gravitational mass, but lose a small amount of inertial mass, getting more acceleration for the same amount of force. This explanation is, of course, completely incompatible with GR.
Mainstream physics values mathematical consistency and existing theories: a top-down approach. In contrast I like looking at the observations for anomalies (things that don't fit the old theories) and have developed MiHsC that way: a bottom-up approach. — Mike McCulloch
Have you ever read the articles on Podkletnov and his experiments? They read like N-Rays, only without the contingent of French "replications" to lend it credence. There are some really sad quotes from him about how his work proves that UFOs are totally real.
I haven't read Podkletnov's papers, but his research is conspiracy theory fodder that I've encountered before, and that's even without getting to the UFO stuff. About fifteen years ago, NASA spent a bit over half a million dollars on trying to replicate Podkletnov's experiment, but the team fell apart allegedly because the lead, Ning Li, was more interested in proving her pet theory of how antigravity works than actually doing a careful experiment. Add in Li getting funded by DOD soon afterward and then abruptly disappearing and you're on your way to the perfect tinfoil brew.
It reminds me of this SMBC comic:
...
"We have proof of principle of gravity shielding and gravity beams! Rockets are obsolete! Gravitational radiation is harmful to the body! UFOs are real! Why won't they listen?!"
Once upon a time I posted this on SV while cutting out the evening part... and it wasn't just to save space. I will thus proceed to once again distract myself from this aspect of the comic by munching on some beef tensors instead.
There's some confusion in how he describes what's going on, but I think the idea is more that the Pioneer probes are running into a minimum acceleration that's essentially causing them to pinwheel slightly, like stars at the edge of a galaxy.
It gets even more confused when one considers that this is his proposed explanation for both dark matter and dark energy, even though this would require opposite direction for the minimum acceleration. And one can't posit one way for internal galactic dynamics and opposite way for inter-galactic interactions; not only would that be completely ad hoc, but the dark matter content of galaxies affects the cluster and supercluster dynamics too.
One of the few things I do understand is that this is unlikely because the thrust profile they get off their instruments while testing this thing has an abrupt start of force when electricity happens and an abrupt end of force when they turn it off. If it was a thermal effect or some similar sort of whatsit that would use the chamber as reaction mass, it would slowly ramp up as power was applied and then tamper off when it stopped.
There could be a variety of effects, both transient and steady, so things are not nearly so clear-cut, especially since their temporal resolution is not so great, the last year's graph showing a ramp-up in about three seconds—so not necessarily all that abrupt either.
Anyway, though the vacuum test is very suggestive, I'm not quite convinced that air effects have been entirely ruled out just yet. A vacuum at 5×10-4 Torr is good, but not quite definitive when the forces are so tiny. As a comparison, a light mill (aka Crookes radiometer) can a few micronewtons of force just from ordinary light. Most of them are made at softer vacuum, but a slow rotation can show up down to 10-6 Torr or so.
...
Basically, they've lowered the pressure and saw most of the force vanish, thus demonstrating that air made an important contribution. It therefore important to try to investigate at what point, if any, the force stops dropping (for the same power).
EDIT: Nevermind, I'm mistaken about the vacuum level—they did do runs at levels, including better than the 5×10-4 Torr linked earlier.