Well this is a thinker. Either follow the Eldar advice and potentially set things up to hurt our base of support and long-term effectiveness or go with our gut and take a very significant, very real short-term risk in the hope that we can survive and then be better off than we would be otherwise. Certainly, we have invested reasonably into our naval forces: We've got two functioning cruisers, some fireships, a properly thought-out defensive plan, and some orbital macrocannon batteries to fight a Strike Cruiser and its attendant escort squadron. Certainly not more if we make them rush.
That should favor us, but probably not massively. Meaning that even if we win the battle, we likely can't prevent a planetary attack scenario, where it's potential Eldar support, a prepared trap, and bombardment hardening, including heavy AA proliferation, against a full company of Space Marines. In many ways, less than ideal. We've got the numbers for a conventional fight, but not so much the force concentration to fight Astartes without relying on Aspect Warriors, who are not necessarily a super-reliable rebel asset. Only around a hundred of them even if they all make planetfall successfully, though, so it could be worse.
There's definitely benefits to either option. Targeted Assassinations is much safer, for one thing. But honestly?
Honestly, Open Trap doesn't actually fix our rebel problem, I'm now realising. It exploits it to help us against the Space Marines, but we have plans for handling the Marines. Not to say that there aren't benefits from forcing the Marines to fight us early and not at full capacity, but I'd rather secure our backline.
[X]- Targeted Assassinations