Interval #2: The Eagle Takes Flight, Pt. 1
France after the success of the Congolese Intervention was a country in a state of uplift and joy. Armand Fallières' popularity amongst the French people was at its highest point during the entirety of his presidency, with his party, the Democratic Republican Alliance, looking poised to win the upcoming French legislative elections. France's Prime Minister, Aristide Briand, was confident that it would allow him to form a second government between the Radicals, who were mostly represented by the Radical Party (PRRRS) and the left-wing Republicans in the Democratic Republican Alliance (ARD). Thus, the results of the 1910 legislative elections were expected well ahead of time: the ARD gained a total of 44 seats, with the PRRRS making minor gains in the form of only 3 extra seats. This was roughly equal to the number of seats won by the only other major party that had made significant gains in the election, the socialist SFIO (French Section of the Workers' International), who saw their number of seats in the Chamber of Deputies nearly double from 54 to 100 seats.
Briand, who belonged to the small number of Independent Socialists, was surprised but also concerned by these results. He himself had been unwilling to join the SFIO during its creation in 1905, mostly due to a combination of slight ideological differences and his frustration with party leadership, which had forbidden him from getting a position within the government of Georges Clemenceau as Minister of Public Instruction and the Fine Arts in 1906, prompting him to break away from the SFIO and join the Independent Socialists. He feared that the strict party organization and increasing control of its leaders could weaken the growth of the socialist movement in France and might even decrease public support for the socialist cause.
After months of negotiating to form the new government, Braind set to work introducing a series of social welfare programs and reforms, increasing pensions for workers and farmers as well as introducing compulsory sickness and old-age insurance. On the foreign policy front, both Fallières, Stéphen Pichon and the new Minister of the Colonies, Jean Morel, set to work partially restoring relations with Britain after the chaos and uncertainty of the Katanga Papers and during the final days of the Congolese Intervention. Though the Entente Cordiale was most certainly defunct, Fallières wanted to ensure that some kind of cordial agreement remained between the two countries to prevent future schisms from taking place. Though British Prime Minister Arthur Balfour was easily approachable on this matter, he believed it was too early to drum up enough support in Parliament for such a measure, and thus reluctantly was forced to decline the offer, though he reassured Fallières that he would remain personally committed to its adoption. Unfortunately for Fallières, this was nothing compared to the crisis that was looming on the horizon…
Ever since the Scramble for Africa, Morocco's position relative to the European powers had been rather dubious. Though its independence had been guaranteed at the Conference of Madrid (1880), countries like France, Spain and Germany had made several attempts to increase their influence and expand their spheres of interest into the region. Germany in particular had been aggressive in its approach to this matter, with Kaiser Wilhelm II's attempt to support Moroccan sovereignty and weakening of French influence over the country resulting in the First Moroccan Crisis (1905-1906), which ended up damaging Germany's relations with Britain and France and helped strengthen the Entente Cordiale. The event which ended the crisis, the Algeciras Conference (1906), had failed to provide closure on the issue, with simmering tensions remaining between Germany and France over various conflicting economic interests that couldn't be resolved. Due to the Brussels Conference (1909) causing a breakdown in relations between Germany and the members of the Congolese Intervention, a proposed convention on Morocco to be held in February 1909 between Germany and France had been vehemently rejected by Wilhelm II himself.
By 1911, Morocco itself was in a state of chaos. The Sultan, Abd Al-Hafid, who had taken power from his younger brother Abdelaziz following public outrage and a rebellion in Morocco once the details the Algeciras Conference became public, was now faced with a rebellion of his own. Trapped inside his palace in the city of Fez, Abd Al-Hafid could only watch helplessly as native rebels threatened to take control of the city. In order to protect French interests in Morocco and prevent the situation from spiraling out of control, the French government decided to send in troops to put down the rebellion. Unfortunately for Morel and Fallières, this decision turned out to be less effective than hoped: due to France's growing military commitments across Africa (especially in the Congo region), the number of troops involved had to be cut in half from 20.000 to 10.000, lessening France's ability to put down the revolt and forcing an increased dependence on soldiers from Morocco itself, most of whom had a mixed opinion of Abd Al-Hafid. Nevertheless, military assistance from Spain helped in partially bridging this gap in manpower, meaning that the rebellion's end was well on its way by the end of May.
For Wilhelm II, this decision proved to be unacceptable: he knew that France's control over Morocco had been growing tighter and tighter in the last few years, with the putting down of this "rebellion", which he considered either gravely exaggerated or even completely made up, being the final step in France seizing Morocco as a protectorate. Based on this information and hoping to face France's perceived imperial expansion head-on, Germany's new Foreign Secretary, Alfred von Kiderlen-Waechter, decided to dispatch a naval cruiser to the Moroccan port of Agadir in an attempt to put pressure on the French and encourage increased rebellion against them. This cruiser, the SMS Panther, which had been heading home from Kamerun (Cameroon) back to Germany for a major overhaul and was meant to pick up coal supplies in Morocco on the way home, was now diverted from its mission to accomplish this task. French forces stationed in Agadir were most certainly surprised when the German steamer showed up at the port on July 1st, with the reaction from Britain and France being near-immediate, both nations firmly condemning the German action.
For Arthur Balfour, the situation was a major headache: directly resisting German aggression and siding with France in Morocco would completely go against what his "peacemaker diplomacy" had been advocating, which would likely damage his public perception and make many in Parliament question the honesty of his proposals, whilst going in the opposite direction and have Britain not intervene at all went against many of the terms established in the Entente Cordiale, still considered to be Britain's de-jure foreign policy, and his personal commitment to it, as well as possibly damaging Anglo-French relations to the point of no return. Even his Foreign Secretary was clueless on how to approach the situation when taking account of all these underlying factors, with the Earl of Minto rapidly cobbling together various bits and pieces of information to formulate a British response. This confusion and uncertainty left the British government paralyzed in what would later become known as the "Agadir Crisis" (sometimes also referred to as the "Second Moroccan Crisis").
Meanwhile, under pressure from Wilhelm II himself to amplify German pressure on the French to leave Morocco, Waechter decided to expand Germany's naval presence at Agadir even further, sending out the larger Bremen-class cruiser SMS Berlin and the smaller SMS Eber in order to assist the Panther, joining it on July 4th. This sent the French government into an uproar, with many demanding that the President make the Germans back down from their aggressive behavior and remove their ships from the port, by force if necessary. Though openly and personally stating before the entire National Assembly that he would not back down in the face of German aggression, Fallières was in an ever-increasing state of panic behind closed doors: attempts by France's ambassador to Germany, Jules Cambon, to get any kind of compromise or negotiation out of the government in Berlin turned up nothing, as it either refused these offers outright or gave demands the French government would be unable to accept. He even managed to get in contact with Imperial Chancellor Theobald von Bethmann-Hollweg, who was willing to decrease the number of German ships at Agadir but refused to remove them entirely until all French troops had left Morocco. Fallières was under the impression that the Chancellor had conceded to the desires of Waechter and Wilhelm II.
As the situation continued to deteriorate further and further for another three days, even the more moderate members of the French government became more and more eager to remove the Germans from Agadir by force. Large sections of the French Navy had been readied for a possible naval clash off the Moroccan coast, with the French Medditeranean Fleat planning to move out if the German cruisers hadn't left the harbor by July 10th. Events in Agadir, however, took a slightly different turn. Though historians have debates to this day over the exact cause, either an accidental ignition or a weapon crate that wasn't sealed properly, the entirety of the city woke up on the morning of July the 7th to a massive explosion, witnessing much of the harbor go up in flames due to a raging inferno. It is believed that this explosion at the port was interpreted by the still sleepy and stunned French commanders as a German attack, ordering their troops to man the coastal forts and return fire to the enemy. The result was a two hour-long firefight between the German naval cruisers and the French troops stationed in the port, leaving tens dead, hundreds injured, and an uncountable number of bodies on the ocean floor.
The Agadir War had begun…