TNO Co-prosperity Sphere ISOT to Thousand Week Reich

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What if Japanese's Co prosperity sphere from axis victory scenario Hoi4 mod The New Order: Last days of Europe is transport to Thousand Week Reich? Both are axis victory scenario yet they are very different! Japan was defeated and occupied in TWR, while in TNO Japan is one of the major power in the world.
Isot premise
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Bangkok, Thailand
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He/Him
TNO Co Prosperity sphere map by u/KrKUT

Official Thousand Week Reich world map

So what would happen if 1962 Co-prosperity sphere from hoi4 mod The New Order:Last days of Europe is ISOT to another timeline. Specifically Thousand Week Reich timeline in 1952.

While TNO timeline Axis win the second world war in TWR Germany still win the war while Japanese empire lose the war and is now occupied by the American.


So what will happen if this ISOT occur?
Japan is not only militarize but have access to resource of all Asia. This combine with it having one of the strongest navy in the world where it came from, they also have ICBM capability (which is something TWR is yet to achieve).


With all this being said Co-prosperity sphere is hardly stable and a lot of nation in it despise Japan and the crack in it is already showing. Japanese economic plan heavily exploit the member of co prosperity sphere which generate a lot of discontent. Japanese mainland also suffer issue of corruption and inter service rivalry between IJA and IJN seem to get worse as days goes by.
How will the Toronto Accord and The German react to this event?
 
Japan has ICBM's and multi-megaton warheads. America doesn't. Japan might consider finishing the job it started in 1941.
 
No. One of first things you can do in the mod is test Ivy MIke which, for all it's megatonnage, was not a practical weapon. Also considering the geopolitical layout of TWR, the USA would be lacking in terms of foward basing for it's bomber fleet. Pearl harbor II: Judgement day would very much be on the cards here.
 
Japan's technology is an entire generation ahead of America's and America has no way of retaliating against a country with ICBMs, surface to air and air to air missiles, anti-ship missiles, and supersonic jets and a willingness to escalate to armageddon over a shrimp boat.

Japan reduces America, Britain, and Germany to wastelands and plants its boot firmly on the throat of the world as the sole superpower and the Earth descends into the eternal hell of the Empire of the Rising Sun for decades to come before the sole hope of internal revolution can manifest to save the planet from its new hegemon.

America's nuclear retaliation is entirely ineffectual; being reliant on slow and easily intercepted bombers that have no hope of surviving the trip to any major Japanese sites while the Empire quickly comes to dominate the skies and its navy more or less deletes the British and American pacific fleets while the USA and UK are ground into the dirt for decades to come, with the survivors likely seeing their countries be turned into miserable extractive de-facto colonies while their remaining industry is largely dismantled to eliminate the possibility of competing with the Zaibatsu.

What will follow will be a very dark period in history for the world as the entirety of it is swallowed into Japan's imperialisation economy with only countries Japan essentially allows to develop industry having any that's not almost exclusively geared towards enriching the Home Islands. The immiseration around the world will be cataclysmic and enormous numbers of people will die as they always do when an empire of this sort of scale consolidates and enforces its extractionist order and takes a look at which parts of the world it'd like to turn into outright settler colonies.
 
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