Is it possible, at all for a small number of Carthaginian ships to have ever reached the Americas? Could they possibly have survived the voyage across the Atlantic? Even taking into account "idea" weather conditions for the voyage.
As Erandil notes, it has been proven that it is physically possible for such ships to make it across the Atlantic, but that would still be lucky chance, basically. And in any case there would be no incentive for a conscious attempt at such an ocean crossing - not before, once again, Carthaginian ships would use just the Mediterranean high sea. And any vessel stranded at the Atlantic high sea by a storm or whatever would try to get back eastwards ASAP. Even if by some completely unlikely stroke of luck some ship did end up in the Americas, you still couldn't build up a reliable shipping route.
Actually, while looking for more information about the navigation skills of the Carthaginian I stumbled across the "Phoenicians Before Columbus Expedition" which actually set out to answer pretty much exactly this question and managed to successfully cross the Atlantic. (Though information about the whole thing seems quite lacking, at least in regards of some quick googling, so no idea how rigorous they followed the archaeological data).
Not everything that has been written down in ancient times is fact...
The legendary trip of Abu Bakr probably never happened and is speculated to be a cover story for Musa's usurping the previous Mansa Qu, as the story is absent of most Malian sources (notably the Epic of Sundhiarta) and was more of a hearsay by Mamluk scribe al-Umari with members (but not the king himself) of the Malian entourage in Egypt. So, not a good historical precedent.I mean there is the case/legend of that Mali king sending two thousand ships (and himself) towards the america's despite suffering from very much the same issues so I would be careful about saying stuff like it being impossible that somebody would try something like that since somebody was insane enough to do so and convince a lot of people to go along with the idea.
The legendary trip of Abu Bakr probably never happened and is speculated to be a cover story for Musa's usurping the previous Mansa Qu, as the story is absent of most Malian sources (notably the Epic of Sundhiarta) and was more of a hearsay by Mamluk scribe al-Umari with members (but not the king himself) of the Malian entourage in Egypt. So, not a good historical precedent.
Im actually playing a game of this via the Extended TL Mod for EU4. And Thats the exact scenario I was thinking of doing a TL for. Thanks to being in quarantine, I've got plenty of time to research and build a TL.Now that's an interesting thought..
Lets take a step further
Carthagian crossing the Atlantic (perhaps the last ships survivors of the Punic War, chased by the Genocidal Romans and escorted by the Last War Galley ), creates a colony (or colonies) and worship their gods. Along with that god as well.
It's a shame the Aztec only came much later, i would find their theological discussion on sacrifices most interesting.
Well, once again, that falls under "physically possible", which is not the same at all than "feasible" or "plausible".
And I thought that while the Phoenicians were superior navigators to the Greeks, going beyond the Med and all, inside the Med the seafaring of both was rather similar. I may be mistaken, though.
Now, as for the Canary Islands, that would be among those "short hops". Unfortunately, unlike the Norse, the Carthaginians wouldn't have a convenient chain of islands to use for island hopping. And as for legends, Pliny also mentions Hanno circumnavigated all of Africa, but that's most certainly made up. He probably didn't come beyond the Gabon, if at all. Not everything that has been written down in ancient times is fact...
If Namibia and South Africa were right next to Carthage? Probably not an insurmountable barrier, no. But being as they literally thousands of kilometres away, that's another thing entirely. Sufficiently stocked up and equipped expeditions can pass through this barrier, but where would they stock up so far from home?The story does have detailed descriptions of the astronomical and navigational features of a trip up the African coast from south to north, so I don't rule out the circumnavigation. The only things stopping it are the Skeleton Coast and rounding the Cape of Good Hope, really, and I'm not sure either one are truly that much greater of an obstacle for ancient mariners than Bojador.
Also, it's only about 2,220km from the Cape Verdes to the Fernando de Noronha archipelago on a direct line. That's only twice as long as the normal Norse leg from Iceland to Greenland (also on the direct line, not distance actually traveled), so we are not talking about orders of magnitude of additional difficulty.
If Namibia and South Africa were right next to Carthage? Probably not an insurmountable barrier, no. But being as they literally thousands of kilometres away, that's another thing entirely. Sufficiently stocked up and equipped expeditions can pass through this barrier, but where would they stock up so far from home?
Especially since with their primitive sailing techniques and a circumnavigation requiring pasisng the horse latitudes, they would have to rely on rowing power.
That archipelago is tiny. If you go from Iceland in a northwesterly direction, you will eventually hit Greenland. With Fernando de Noronha that would be an utter stroke of luck, especially after such a distance. Especially once again with the problem of the horse latitudes. Plus, the Norse were very much used to crossing rough high seas in their longboats. They regularly had in the North Sea. The Carthaginians, by contrast, mostly coastal hugged the relatively calm Mediterranean Sea. Frankly, the Norse were better seafarers.
Now that's an interesting thought..
Lets take a step further
Carthagian crossing the Atlantic (perhaps the last ships survivors of the Punic War, chased by the Genocidal Romans and escorted by the Last War Galley ), creates a colony (or colonies) and worship their gods. Along with that god as well.
It's a shame the Aztec only came much later, i would find their theological discussion on sacrifices most interesting.
There is evidence that the Carthaginians sacrificed babies, but then the Greeks and Romans also regularly killed babies (or at least abandoned them to die, which is basically the same thing most of the time). Killing babies was basically pre-Christian Mediterranean society's equivalent of birth control. To me it looks like the Carthaginians and the Greeks and Romans basically just chose different window-dressing for the practice; the Carthaginians dressed it up as religious sacrifice, the Greeks and Romans preferred abandonment so there was a fig leaf of a chance that somebody would rescue and adopt the baby.There is absolutely no evidence that the Carthaginians practiced mass human sacrifice on anything close to Mesoamerican levels. It certainly wasn't a defining element of their culture. And even if it was, the form that their sacrificial rites took has nothing to do with the Aztec ones.
Two thousand years later, and the Roman propaganda still hasn't gone away.
There is evidence that the Carthaginians sacrificed babies, but then the Greeks and Romans also regularly killed babies (or at least abandoned them to die, which is basically the same thing most of the time). Killing babies was basically pre-Christian Mediterranean society's equivalent of birth control. To me it looks like the Carthaginians and the Greeks and Romans basically just chose different window-dressing for the practice; the Carthaginians dressed it up as religious sacrifice, the Greeks and Romans preferred abandonment so there was a fig leaf of a chance that somebody would rescue and adopt the baby.
It's unlikely any returned. The most plausible means is essentially what happened to multiple Japanese mariners before the 19th century--their ship was dismasted but remained afloat and drifted across the Atlantic to the vicinity of the mouths of the Amazon, where the survivors were taken in and/or enslaved by locals. We know that happened multiple times to Japanese fishermen whose boats were dismasted in storms--they caught rainwater and hung nets from the sides to stay alive, and drifted with the current until driven against the shore of the Pacific Northwest.
We have much, much stronger evidence for the Polynesians trading to at least a limited extent with South America, of course.
The problem is that a demasted Phoenician ship just turns into a very large row boat. A boat that can still just row in the general direction east. So it is much harder for a phoenician ship to be lost upon the winds and currents then later ships that weren't human powered any time the wind wasn't right. Also that large crew makes planed trips into deep water by an insane person much harder. Once the rowers start getting hungry and food is dwindling they have the option to just bash the captain's skull in and turn right around. And they are going to have food issues as those ships weren't exactly built with keeping enough food an water for a full crew for months.
So, basically, yes- a Carthaginian ship could have made it to the Americas by hilariously lucky accident. It just doesn't matter, because not only would they need an equally lucky accident to make it back... the world impact is nil without the seafaring technology to do it all over again, intentionally.
Well if they brought with them a cross section of old world diseases there might have been an effect. The amazon had villages and the like to let epidemics spread and there were trade links from it to the Andes and Caribbean. So after a 1000 years of genetic drift when some dude comes to the new world and well it won't be great for the Americans but it will be equally as bad for the Europeans as both now have a versions pandemics that neither has any real defense for. That kind of puts a stop to the mass colonization we saw in our timeline. But well not exactly the kind of things people imagine when they think of a bunch of people making it to the new world early.