Oh, yeah. I must have mixed something up. I was for some reason thinking we're talking about the FGP instead of the part where Oro wanted to vivisect either a voting Clan Head or the wife and sister of a voting Clan Head. Which is quite frankly insane. Wasn't that what Shikamaru threatened to have his Clan leave over? And then Asuma got kinda pissy about that? As if the Hokage allowing your wife to be vivisected isn't a good reason to consider the social contract utterly broken.[x] Interlude: Ami Buys Groceries
My view is that it's more advantageous for Oro to live in Leaf and benefit from the FGP + harvested enemy ninja delivered straight to his Basement, than to live on his own. If Leaf tried to just take those advantages from him, then yes, it'd be better for him to go. But Oro was bidding for more than that: he'd essentially wanted a carte blanche on kidnapping and vivisecting anyone, up to and including Clan Heads.
A Leaf that resulted from establishing that would've plausibly become not a place worth living in (in the sense that the clans would be better off dissolving it and e. g. joining minor villages or defecting to majors or something). Drawing a line there and going "either you remain happy with what you have, or Leaf burns one way or another and you lose all of these advantages" seems like the correct move here, whereas caving in is the losing one.
I believe you want chapters 473.2, 475, and 477.I need to reread those chapters. Did we tell Shikamaru about that particular part of the conversation? And what would KEI coordinator Naruto say, given that for some weird ass reason he was one of exactly two people Asuma wanted most to save face in front of? Can someone maybe remind me in which chapter the conversation with Asuma happens?
Yeah. Not just bad decision theory, also being pissed at people trying to follow good decision theory. SMH.Wasn't that what Shikamaru threatened to have his Clan leave over? And then Asuma got kinda pissy about that? As if the Hokage allowing your wife to be vivisected isn't a good reason to consider the social contract utterly broken.
Yup. Just to be clear, I was not arguing that it would be reasonable for Hazou to blame Ami, quite the contrary. Despite the Oro-related stress and "excuses" [ie, Mari throwing Kei under the bus, or Ami leaving Hazou alone with a hostile S-rank] he could use to fuel a rant, Hazou was not cruel to Mari or Ami. Hazou has showed impressive self-control.Specifically, they took turns covering for each other (Ami for why Hazō gave her the octocat, Hazō for why Ami brought it to the party), then Orochimaru told Ami to spend the night at one of the outbuildings, then he menaced Hazō for a while until Hazō offered him clan adoption.
Funny, I was thinking the same thing!
I don't recall this, do you have a quote for it? I recall Tsunade being pissed at Shika for it, but she doubted Oro's intentions. Rather than feeling it wasn't the correct response to Oro acting like thatYeah. Not just bad decision theory, also being pissed at people trying to follow good decision theory. SMH.
...And that was how Hazō died of heat-seeking pie poisoning, having forgotten that Orochimaru is cold-blooded.Hazō's Automatic Zone Of Out Serendipity, or Hazō's.
Suggested difficulty: Hazō
Suggested downsides: 100+ element array, simultaneously activated. Astrological constraints. Willingness to say Hazō far too many times.
Hazō's Hazō's peel back the paint in a one Zone area, allowing a lie hating entity with an absurd sense of humor access to the zone. This lie hating entity causes increasingly improbable and dangerous things to happen to those who tell lies near it.
Mechanically, in order to make a deceit roll you must first pass a (very obvious) Chaos roll, starting at Great and working up the ladder. The first Chaos roll is nonlethal.
Chaos rolls are explicitly a way for QMs to have fun, as the lie hating entity is the person writing the update. Choose a fun/ridiculous challenge for the liar to try, and then try to keep a straight face afterwards even if they succeed.
"You no longer want to disect me, Orochimaru?"
"Correct"
*Orochimaru is swarmed by heat seeking pies*
I don't recall this, do you have a quote for it? I recall Tsunade being pissed at Shika for it, but she doubted Oro's intentions. Rather than feeling it wasn't the correct response to Oro acting like that
I don't have a quote on hand, but I remember some offhand comment about how Asuma wagged his finger at Shikamaru afterwards and told him never to do that again. @faflec? It might've been an outside-chapter WoG or an author's note or something.Hmm. In 477 it's only Tsunade who gets mad at Shikamaru. Am I misremembering a latter minor dressing down of Shikamaru by Asuma?
IIRC, it was more like "I get why you thought this situation was serious enough for you to make that threat. I am letting your threat move me *this one time*, because I think you're in the right, but don't mistake that for thinking you can threaten me with this in general."I don't have a quote on hand, but I remember some offhand comment about how Asuma wagged his finger at Shikamaru afterwards and told him never to do that again. @faflec? It might've been an outside-chapter WoG or an author's note or something.
Rereading this heartwarming chapter I have a couple of questions related to Kei's Shadow Clones and how they affect her:
He specifically isn't a dominating personality, nor is he consistently resolute about game theory. This has upsides as well as major downsides, but is a somewhat understandable choice (insomuch as it is a "choice" vs inherent nature).
Rereading this heartwarming chapter I have a couple of questions related to Kei's Shadow Clones and how they affect her:
- Snowflake mentions purposefully hiding her memories of events by making these events be triggered by initiative that Kei is incapable of. Does this gambit expand beyond her thoughts to the point of obscuring lived observation?
- I assumed this goes both ways. Yet Snowflake remembers all the pertinent details of Kei's optimization of Hydralisk replanting. Is Snowflake's ability to remember Kei's memories better than the reverse or is this merely a case of Keiko doing optimization without using her Bloodline?
- Kei and Snowflake repeatedly exchange memories of finding each other aesthetically pleasing despite looking identical. How come this results in Snowflake having an apparently easier time to question her internal self-assessment due to this clear inconsistency than Kei does?
- Snowflake, who shares Kei's memories and a lot of her psyche, especially when it comes to the intimidation and threats of violence that are not contrary to initiative, still thought Kei "would find new and creative ways to exploit the fact that Snowflake was functionally immortal". This was said purely in Snowflake's mind and did not seem like a joke made by someone who knows that the true thoughts and motivations behind Kei's propensity to threats is actually benign. Does this mean that Kei is indeed physically (or otherwise) abusive towards Snowflake?
Note that people voting to do the thing does not guarantee that the thing will happen as you have described it. NPC agency may intervene. Dragons may gatecrash. Akane may be found perfectly alive and well, having been Orochimaru all along.
Mm. It doesn't particularly seem to me that Oro was being strongly committed to that course of actions there. Indeed, we dealt with the problem just by having Tsunade glare at him a little, whereupon he dropped all demands. This wasn't Oro acting in accordance with the deepest foundations of his self-identity such that his course couldn't be corrected. Rather, he just saw free lunch and decided to grab it. The moment the lunch got a cost, he cringed and all of a sudden lost his appetite.Elaborating on Asuma's Game Theory:
DEFINITIONS:
A Very Committed Position is something like: "We do things my way, or else. I am willing to kill you over this, no matter how small 'this' may be, or how inconvenient it would be to fight/kill you".
An Infinitely Committed Position is something like: "I'd rather die(and let my family die) than compromise on this"
----
Asuma is in a world full of A and S rankers that like to take Very/Infinitely Committed Positions.
Ideally, everyone in this environment thinks carefully about what they demand, because nobody will ever back down, and anything can escalate infinitely.
Sadly, many S-rankers will thoughtlessly take Very Committed Positions, because they are used to everyone folding all of the time.
If Asuma consistently took an Infinitely Committed Position("death before compromise!") of "never get pushed around" He'd end up in a battle to the death with every Essie who offhandedly makes a threatening demand. He would die and leaf would suffer
Jiriaya could do this, because everyone meeting him is thinking "I better not piss him off: He's dangerous and unyielding". Other Essies will think carefully before making Very/Infinitely Committed threats to him. All A-Rankers and many S-Rankers who take Very Committed Positions will ultimately back down because they don't want to fight Jiraiya to the death.
Asuma can't afford to be Infinitely Committed, He has way to much to lose, and not enough power to protect it.
When someone threatens him for something small/medium, he wants change the framing(turn it into a trade, pass it off as a well-earned reward, pass the buck, reframe what they want, ect).
Failing that, he wants to fold, while communicating that he won't always fold in the future.
This isn't easy, but I think he does it well. Asuma is weak(ish), so he's made peace with being exploited sometimes, as long as you don't push it and try to exploit him to much.
If you put Noburi on it full-time (i.e. told him to stop working at the hospital), he could read two sets of notes and also benefit from his ACE training.
IIRC, it was more like "I get why you thought this situation was serious enough for you to make that threat. I am letting your threat move me *this one time*, because I think you're in the right, but don't mistake that for thinking you can threaten me with this in general."
This is a least a tiny bit bluffing(Shikimaru can back his threat up, Asuma is not dedicated enough to game theory to not be at least a tiny bit moved by future threats)
This is at least partially true(Asuma would kill shika(or something else drastic) if shika decided to treat the hokage like a puppet on the threat of leaving)
---
Also, Orochimaru hasgame theoryVirtues as well. He might plausibly take his ball and leave leaf, even if it got him a slightly worse deal. He's know to be temperamental and has much fewer attachments than Asuma. Is a 15% risk of that worth Asuma holding his ground? I think Asuma's would answer "depends on what Oro wants, and how often I expect him to make demands like this".
Not saying I love Asuma's choices, but I don't think I we should dismiss them as trivial missplays from Asuma's perspective, given the kind of man he's chosen to be.*
*reasonable, personable, responding to the specific circumstances.
He specifically isn't a dominating personality, nor is he consistently resolute about game theory. This has upsides as well as major downsides, but is a somewhat understandable choice (insomuch as it is a "choice" vs inherent nature).
I mostly agree with this!Mm. It doesn't particularly seem to me that Oro was being strongly committed to that course of actions there. Indeed, we dealt with the problem just by having Tsunade glare at him a little, whereupon he dropped all demands. This wasn't Oro acting in accordance with the deepest foundations of his self-identity such that his course couldn't be corrected. Rather, he just saw free lunch and decided to grab it. The moment the lunch got a cost, he cringed and all of a sudden lost his appetite.
And I think this really is how essies mostly behave, when it comes down to it. The model you've outlined is what they want you to believe, that they're these forces of nature to whom only surrender is possible. But that only holds until there's something they want that you can withhold or threaten. If they can't just physically take whatever they want, if they need your cooperation, and you don't instantly fold to provide it, they become surprisingly talkative. See e. g. our Dragon-pieces negotiations with Oro, some parts of Ami's career, Conjura's apparently idiotic decisions around hostages, and why essies are able to "switch modes" and consider compromises at all when they know they're facing another essie.
(Which is all 100% reasonable behavior, by the way. Crafting a mythos of an unstoppable force around yourself so you can use cheap intimidation to make everyone bow to you, but still being able to recognize when this isn't working and switch to negotiations, is... I mean, yeah? Obviously you do that if you can, incredibly convenient.)
Edit: Actually, the negotiations over the Dragon pieces are particularly telling here. Oro sees a shiny, tells us he'll have it. Mari and Noburi go "sure sir, whatever you want sir". Hazou stands his ground instead... and lo and behold, Oro starts negotiating.
... I think I want to get all of the above across to Mari. I think she has some sort of unhealthy learned helplessness around S-rankers. See also her recent thoughts about how if Asuma is a threat to the Gouketsu, the best she can do is not provoke his ire.
Edit 2: This model is based on how real-life essies behave, by the way. See the Mafioso Nature.
Prospective Noburi Build
(mid-to-longterm)
Noburi has stated that he wants to focus on medical stats and his bloodline abilities.
I've made a table that reflects Noburi's current skillset (though I'm only counting stats that are 10+ for the sake of time efficiency).
50 Water Whip Vamp Dew Medknow 40 Alertness Athletics Chakra Mednin 30 Physique Syrup Trap W.D. Bullet Resolve 20 Empathy Substitution Hoz. Mantle Rapport Deceit 10 Stealth Intimidation Presence Water Clone A.U.B. Bomb Surging Seas Hiding in Mist
Now that he has Mednin 40, let's go ahead and raise up a 60-stat.
My personal recommendation is Vampiric Dew. Vampiric Dew is a unique bloodline that allows Noburi to do awesome, unique stuff in the hospital that only he can do (such as operating without the use of dangerous/addicting drugs).
Furthermore, level 60 may very well unlock new abilities through Noburi's bloodline. He gained the ability to drain through mist at Vampiric Dew 25, after all.
60 Vamp Dew 50 Water Whip Medknow 40 Alertness Athletics Chakra Mednin 30 Physique Syrup Trap W.D. Bullet Resolve 20 Empathy Substitution Hoz. Mantle Rapport Deceit 10 Stealth Intimidation Presence Water Clone A.U.B. Bomb Surging Seas Hiding in Mist
And from then, Noburi has enough supporting stats to either raise up another 50-stat, to fill the 50-slot that Vampiric Dew previously occupied.
Noburi wants to be a solid medic, and we're hoping to blow Tsunade's expectations away so that she'll take him up as her apprentice (which, in turn, unlocks S-rank shinies in the form of S-tier stunts/jutsu).
Not to mention that, with Orochimaru's lootboxes, Mednin 50 is cheaper than it would otherwise be.
60 Vamp Dew 50 Water Whip Medknow Mednin 40 Alertness Athletics Chakra 30 Physique Syrup Trap W.D. Bullet Resolve 20 Empathy Substitution Hoz. Mantle Rapport Deceit 10 Stealth Intimidation Presence Water Clone A.U.B. Bomb Surging Seas Hiding in Mist
From here, Noburi has room to raise another 10-stat to a 20-level slot. I recommend raising Surging Seas. It's a solid jutsu with great crowd control/area denial/AoE uses, and should (eventually) be leveled much higher.
60 Vamp Dew 50 Water Whip Medknow Mednin 40 Alertness Athletics Chakra 30 Physique Syrup Trap W.D. Bullet Resolve 20 Empathy Substitution Hoz. Mantle Rapport Deceit Surging Seas 10 Stealth Intimidation Presence Water Clone A.U.B. Bomb Hiding in the Mist
And now we have enough room for another 30-stat,. I recommend Hozuki's Mantle, because it's crazy-useful, and boost any melee stat (and that includes Water Whip)!
This, combined with Noburi's Water Whip 50, will synergize pretty damned well, lol.
60 Vamp Dew 50 Water Whip Medknow Mednin 40 Alertness Athletics Chakra 30 Physique Syrup Trap W.D. Bullet Resolve Hoz. Mantle 20 Empathy Substitution Rapport Deceit Surging Seas 10 Stealth Intimidation Presence Water Clone A.U.B. Bomb Hiding in the Mist
And from here, we have enough room to raise a 30-stat into a 40-slot.
Water Dragon Bullet is a really, really good stat, and Physique 40 unlocks another stress box, which gives Noburi some extra tankiness. Both are some great options, and you can't really go wrong with either choice.
For the sake of this build, we'll raise Physique, but you can't really go wrong with either one.
60 Vamp Dew 50 Water Whip Medknow Mednin 40 Alertness Athletics Chakra Physique 30 Syrup Trap W.D. Bullet Resolve Hoz. Mantle 20 Empathy Substitution Rapport Deceit Surging Seas 10 Stealth Intimidation Presence Water Clone A.U.B. Bomb Hiding in the Mist
I don't have a quote on hand, but I remember some offhand comment about how Asuma wagged his finger at Shikamaru afterwards and told him never to do that again. @faflec? It might've been an outside-chapter WoG or an author's note or something.
"The Hokage summoned Shikamaru earlier this morning."
"What did he say?" Hazō asked. And if it was about the Orochimaru incident, why only Shikamaru?
"He began by congratulating him on successfully navigating a challenging crisis without collateral damage," Kei said. "However, he went on to note that while citing obscure Leaf laws, or intending to invoke them, is not in itself illegal, blackmail most certainly is. He reaffirmed his promise to prioritise the spirit of the law with regard to this incident, but also stated that, should Shikamaru ever use this particular matter as a means of leverage again, he could expect to meet the same fate as Amori Goemon."